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Fredrikstad vs Tromso• Eliteserien, Norway

#81.6:1.01-1FT11/10 · Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad1.6:2.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.901XBX3.50BFR22.46PINMargin at best3.7%Books10Markets71Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 08:06 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.853.552.493.4%
1xBet2.863.432.474.6%
Dafabet2.803.452.465.4%
Bet3652.753.402.456.6%
Betano2.873.402.356.8%
Marathonbet2.783.342.407.6%
Betfair2.803.402.308.6%
William Hill2.753.302.388.7%
BetVictor2.703.302.389.4%
SBO2.703.182.3511.0%
Best of all books2.873.552.493.2%
Average2.793.382.407.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FredrikstadTromso
Last 10#8Table position#31.26Points per game1.776Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 52.450Attack rating5071Defence rating2967Form rating3315H2H rating8547Goals model5350Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 01:40 UTC

Fredrikstad

6W 3D 1L · goals 19:7 · per match 1.9 for, 0.7 against

11 OctHTromso1-1D
20 SepAValerenga1-1D
16 SepAStjørdals-Blink1-0W
13 SepHSarpsborg 08 FF1-1D
4 SepHBodo/Glimt1-2L
30 AugALillestrom4-1W
22 AugAEidsvold IF7-1W
16 AugHKristiansund BK1-0W
8 AugAStart1-0W
1 AugHSandefjord1-0W

Tromso

3W 3D 4L · goals 16:18 · per match 1.6 for, 1.8 against

11 OctAFredrikstad1-1D
20 SepHHam-Kam3-2W
16 SepAAlta2-1W
12 SepARosenborg3-5L
6 SepAKristiansund BK0-2L
30 AugHSarpsborg 08 FF0-0D
27 AugABrighton0-4L
22 AugAUlfstind5-0W
20 AugHBrighton0-0D
16 AugAMolde2-3L

Head to head

0Fredrikstad wins
2draws
3Tromso wins

5 meetings · goals 0:8 · last 5: 0W 2D 3L for Fredrikstad

15 Mar 2026EliteserienEliteserienTromso4-0Fredrikstad
2 Aug 2025EliteserienEliteserienTromso0-0Fredrikstad
29 Jun 2025EliteserienEliteserienFredrikstad0-1Tromso
29 May 2024EliteserienEliteserienTromso3-0Fredrikstad
25 May 2024EliteserienEliteserienFredrikstad0-0Tromso

Eliteserien tableEliteserienupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Eliteserien table, Fredrikstad sit 8th with 29 points from 23 games, while Tromso are 3rd with 39 points from 22.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt23182358:20+3856
2Viking23182359:22+3756
3Tromso22116541:30+1139
4Molde22114746:34+1237
5Rosenborg22104840:31+934
6Lillestrom22103930:31-133
7Brann22921139:34+529
8Fredrikstad23851028:36-829
9Sarpsborg 08 FF2277828:31-328
10KFUM Oslo22841027:36-928
11Ham-Kam23751133:48-1526
12Sandefjord22661022:28-624
13Aalesund2359939:51-1224
14Valerenga22651135:45-1023
15Kristiansund BK23541423:47-2419
16Start22441424:48-2416

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.85X28%3.36239%2.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.891.993.2%
SBO1.891.954.2%
1xBet1.871.954.8%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Betfair1.871.906.1%
Betano1.782.006.2%
Marathonbet1.831.917.0%
BetVictor1.801.879.0%
Best of all books1.892.002.9%
Average1.851.945.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.652.206.1%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
William Hill1.672.107.5%
1xBet1.652.118.0%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Betano1.602.188.4%
Marathonbet1.652.088.7%
Best of all books1.672.205.3%
Average1.652.127.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fredrikstad 35%Draw 35%Tromso 30%

The statistical model rated Fredrikstad at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Tromso at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.85 | 3.36 | 2.37, which imply roughly 35.1% for a Fredrikstad win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Eliteserien table: Fredrikstad are 8th (29 pts, 28-36 goals), Tromso 3rd (39 pts, 41-30).

Over their last five matches, Fredrikstad averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Tromso averaged 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Fredrikstad or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Fredrikstad

3-4-3

Coach: Casper Röjkjaer

Goalkeeper

  • 77M. Børsheim

Defence

  • 28S. Owusu
  • 4F. Holmé
  • 12U. Fredriksen

Midfield

  • 16D. Eid
  • 6S. Leach Holm
  • 14M. Nilsson
  • 13S. Sørløkk

Attack

  • 11L. West
  • 23H. Skogvold
  • 18B. Fiabema
Substitutes (9)
  • 7B. Thoresen
  • 21J. Jezierski
  • 9S. Laghzaoui
  • 24L. Owusu
  • 5S. Rafn
  • 30J. Torkildsen
  • 10J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez
  • 29G. Wesseh
  • 27Chris Irénée Ntamack Pondy

Tromso

5-3-2

Coach: J. Vik

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Haugaard

Defence

  • 37S. Innvær
  • 4V. Skjærvik
  • 21L. Hien
  • 30I. Vådebu
  • 29A. Warneryd

Midfield

  • 5D. Edvardsson
  • 11R. Jenssen
  • 70M. Bjørlo

Attack

  • 10T. Nyhammer
  • 22H. Larsen
Substitutes (9)
  • 7L. Olden Larsen
  • 12O. Lauvli
  • 27M. Mikkelsen
  • 24V. Osuji
  • 33M. Jatta
  • 15V. Erlien
  • 17I. Dahlqvist
  • 9D. Braut
  • 8J. Grundt

Match Statistics

FredrikstadTromso
1.55Expected Goals1.53
706Passes accurate327
13Shots insidebox10
13Shots outsidebox1
12Blocked Shots2
9Free Kicks10
5Shots on Goal5
4Goalkeeper Saves4
9Shots off Goal4
1Offsides0
782Total passes400
26Total Shots11
2Yellow Cards3
8Corner Kicks2
0Red Cards1
10Fouls9
66%Ball Possession34%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.793.382.40

Double chance

1XX212
1.541.401.30

Draw no bet

12
2.041.74

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.652.12

1st half

1X2
3.362.172.94

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0311.51.90

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.95
1.51.253.67
2.51.851.94
3.53.041.34
4.55.851.11
5.511.11.04
6.521.21.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.82
11.018.40
1.251.124.75
1.751.293.09
21.392.76
2.251.642.21
2.752.071.72
32.391.52
3.252.661.37
3.753.581.21
44.901.11
4.255.251.09
4.756.551.05
59.101.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.731.44
-0.252.391.55
02.031.76
+0.251.722.05
+0.51.562.38
+0.751.382.84
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.511.01.02
-210.51.01
-1.757.301.03
-1.55.711.10
-1.255.151.12
-14.701.16
-0.753.311.29
+11.233.82
+1.251.184.19
+1.51.154.59
+1.751.096.05
+21.019.00
+2.51.029.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.095.38
7.51.243.53
8.51.472.51
9.51.811.91
10.52.281.56
11.53.011.33
12.53.981.18
13.55.201.10
14.57.101.04
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.124.12
81.262.90
8.251.352.85
8.751.482.40
91.562.24
9.251.662.09
9.751.851.83
101.991.74
10.252.121.62
10.752.411.45
112.531.39
11.252.861.36
123.271.20
134.321.10
145.491.05