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Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF• Eliteserien, Norway

#132.2:2.02-4FT11/10 · Color Line Stadion, Ålesund1.0:1.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.491XBX3.90BFR22.84PINMargin at best1.0%Books10Markets75Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:13 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.403.782.843.3%
1xBet2.493.742.654.6%
Dafabet2.403.802.705.0%
Bet3652.383.752.626.9%
Betfair2.303.902.637.1%
Betano2.303.752.707.2%
Marathonbet2.423.642.587.6%
BetVictor2.253.752.609.6%
William Hill2.303.502.6210.2%
SBO2.343.522.5011.1%
Best of all books2.493.902.841.0%
Average2.363.712.647.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AalesundSarpsborg 08 FF
Last 10#13Table position#91.04Points per game1.279Form pts · last 582.2Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 51.669Attack rating3144Defence rating5670Form rating3040H2H rating6046Goals model5452Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 01:40 UTC

Aalesund

4W 2D 4L · goals 33:24 · per match 3.3 for, 2.4 against

11 OctHSarpsborg 08 FF2-4L
19 SepAMolde2-1W
16 SepAFørde4-3W
13 SepAKFUM Oslo1-2L
4 SepHStart2-0W
30 AugAViking1-2L
22 AugALangevag13-0W
16 AugHValerenga5-5D
9 AugAHam-Kam1-1D
2 AugHTromso2-6L

Sarpsborg 08 FF

3W 4D 3L · goals 17:15 · per match 1.7 for, 1.5 against

11 OctAAalesund4-2W
30 SepAFollo2-0W
18 SepHKFUM Oslo1-3L
13 SepAFredrikstad1-1D
6 SepHValerenga2-2D
30 AugATromso0-0D
22 AugASparta Sarpsborg2-0W
16 AugHSandefjord1-2L
8 AugAViking1-2L
2 AugAMolde3-3D

Head to head

2Aalesund wins
1draws
7Sarpsborg 08 FF wins

10 meetings · goals 10:21 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for Aalesund

22 Oct 2023EliteserienEliteserienAalesund3-2Sarpsborg 08 FF
29 May 2023EliteserienEliteserienSarpsborg 08 FF3-1Aalesund
11 Sep 2022EliteserienEliteserienAalesund1-3Sarpsborg 08 FF
22 May 2022EliteserienEliteserienSarpsborg 08 FF1-2Aalesund
13 Sep 2020EliteserienEliteserienAalesund0-1Sarpsborg 08 FF
2 Aug 2020EliteserienEliteserienSarpsborg 08 FF4-0Aalesund
19 Nov 2017EliteserienEliteserienSarpsborg 08 FF1-0Aalesund
5 Apr 2017EliteserienEliteserienAalesund1-3Sarpsborg 08 FF
26 Aug 2016EliteserienEliteserienAalesund2-2Sarpsborg 08 FF
12 May 2016EliteserienEliteserienSarpsborg 08 FF1-0Aalesund

Eliteserien tableEliteserienupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Eliteserien table, Aalesund sit 13th with 24 points from 23 games, while Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th with 28 points from 22.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt23182358:20+3856
2Viking23182359:22+3756
3Tromso22116541:30+1139
4Molde22114746:34+1237
5Rosenborg22104840:31+934
6Lillestrom22103930:31-133
7Brann22921139:34+529
8Fredrikstad23851028:36-829
9Sarpsborg 08 FF2277828:31-328
10KFUM Oslo22841027:36-928
11Ham-Kam23751133:48-1526
12Sandefjord22661022:28-624
13Aalesund2359939:51-1224
14Valerenga22651135:45-1023
15Kristiansund BK23541423:47-2419
16Start22441424:48-2416

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.36X25%3.71235%2.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 14:201 2.36X 3.712 2.64
12.48 → 2.36 -4.8%X3.70 → 3.71 +0.3%22.45 → 2.64 +7.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.462.824.0%
Bet3651.442.706.5%
BetVictor1.402.807.1%
Betano1.422.727.2%
Betfair1.362.888.3%
1xBet1.362.7010.6%
Marathonbet1.362.7010.6%
Best of all books1.462.883.2%
Average1.402.767.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.402.807.1%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
Betano1.382.827.9%
1xBet1.342.998.1%
Betfair1.333.008.5%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
Marathonbet1.342.938.8%
Best of all books1.403.004.8%
Average1.362.908.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aalesund 35%Draw 35%Sarpsborg 08 FF 30%

The statistical model rated Aalesund at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Sarpsborg 08 FF at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.36 | 3.71 | 2.64, which imply roughly 42.4% for a Aalesund win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Eliteserien table: Aalesund are 13th (24 pts, 39-51 goals), Sarpsborg 08 FF 9th (28 pts, 28-31).

Over their last five matches, Aalesund averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Sarpsborg 08 FF averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Aalesund or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Aalesund

5-3-2

Coach: K. Rekdal

Goalkeeper

  • 1Luca Podlech

Defence

  • 7K. Nessø
  • 22E. Engqvist
  • 28D. Mbacke
  • 3Ó. Guðmundsson
  • 14U. Charles

Midfield

  • 21M. Christensen
  • 18E. Hagen
  • 15E. Osenbroch

Attack

  • 8I. Skotheim
  • 27H. M. Reed
Substitutes (9)
  • 45P. Aukland
  • 19S. Kartum
  • 10M. Kristensen
  • 26T. Larsen
  • 17E. Myrlid
  • 9P. Ngongo
  • 16J. Ørsahl
  • 25U. Syversen
  • 38T. Leikanger

Sarpsborg 08 FF

4-4-2

Coach: E. Sel

Goalkeeper

  • 87L. Øy

Defence

  • 32E. Wichne
  • 4B. Utvik
  • 24S. Rosted
  • 20P. Reinhardsen

Midfield

  • 10S. Sørli
  • 8S. Christiansen
  • 17N. Williams
  • 77O. Skarsem

Attack

  • 11D. Karlsbakk
  • 33A. Nibe
Substitutes (9)
  • 6A. Sher
  • 12C. Niyukuri
  • 2M. Lode
  • 1J. Pryts
  • 5L. Høyland
  • 21A. Hiim
  • 22V. Halvorsen
  • 18Bop Gueye
  • 7Camil Mmaee Nwameben

Match Statistics

AalesundSarpsborg 08 FF
374Passes accurate337
18Shots insidebox15
5Shots outsidebox3
8Blocked Shots1
14Free Kicks17
7Shots on Goal8
4Goalkeeper Saves5
8Shots off Goal9
457Total passes421
23Total Shots18
1Yellow Cards2
8Corner Kicks6
0Offsides1
17Fouls14
0Red Cards0
53%Ball Possession47%
1.75Expected Goals2.4

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.363.712.64

Double chance

1XX212
1.441.551.25

Draw no bet

12
1.761.99

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.362.90

1st half

1X2
2.752.473.03

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8521.01.92

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.4
1.51.106.09
2.51.402.76
3.52.021.76
4.53.271.30
5.55.831.11
6.511.31.03
7.523.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0312.0
1.751.085.45
21.114.95
2.251.243.34
2.751.482.46
31.602.22
3.251.831.95
3.752.271.60
42.591.40
4.252.881.32
4.753.801.19
54.951.11
5.255.301.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.721.40
-0.52.311.60
-0.252.061.75
01.792.00
+0.251.582.29
+0.51.462.65
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.58.631.02
-27.901.02
-1.755.471.10
-1.54.191.18
-1.253.901.22
-13.511.26
+0.751.333.09
+11.214.04
+1.251.174.33
+1.51.144.76
+1.751.086.00
+21.018.90
+2.51.039.13
+3.51.0113.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.114.97
9.51.233.44
10.51.402.73
11.51.682.10
12.52.001.72
13.52.561.44
14.53.311.27
15.54.401.15
16.56.001.07
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
81.065.10
91.143.85
101.282.82
10.251.362.83
10.751.472.42
111.552.24
11.251.632.14
11.751.801.88
121.941.83
12.252.011.70
12.752.241.52
132.421.47
13.252.601.42
13.752.621.38
142.981.25
153.871.14
164.901.07