Valerenga11th21 pts
Molde4th27 pts
Valerenga11th21 pts
Molde4th27 ptsIn the Eliteserien table, Valerenga sit 11th with 21 points from 17 games, while Molde are 4th with 27 points from 17 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Valerenga at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Molde at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.59 | 3.86 | 2.34, which imply roughly 25.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Eliteserien table: Valerenga are 11th (21 pts, 28-34 goals), Molde 4th (27 pts, 32-26).
Over their last five matches, Valerenga averaged 3 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Molde averaged 2.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Molde and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Valerenga vs Molde — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 41 |
| 2 |  Viking | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 |
| 3 |  Tromso | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| 4 |  Molde | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 |  Brann | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 |
| 7 |  Rosenborg | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 |  Fredrikstad | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 10 |  Ham-Kam | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 11 |  Valerenga | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 |
| 12 |  KFUM Oslo | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 |
| 13 |  Sandefjord | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 |
| 14 |  Kristiansund BK | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Start | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.61
X
3.86
2
2.31
Double chance
1X
1.57
X2
1.46
12
1.23
Both teams to score
Yes
1.33
No
3.03
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.09
Under 1.5
6.49
Over 2.5
1.35
Under 2.5
2.98
Over 3.5
1.90
Under 3.5
1.86
Over 4.5
2.98
Under 4.5
1.35
Over 5.5
5.21
Under 5.5
1.13
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
19.33
Over 8.5
41.00
Over 7.5
17.58
Under 7.5
1.02
Over 6.5
9.70
Under 6.5
1.05
Over 1.75
1.06
Under 1.75
6.05
Over 2
1.08
Under 2
5.55
Over 2.25
1.19
Under 2.25
3.76
Over 2.75
1.40
Under 2.75
2.64
Over 3
1.51
Under 3
2.40
Over 3.25
1.71
Under 3.25
2.07
Over 3.75
2.09
Under 3.75
1.67
Over 4
2.44
Under 4
1.50
Over 4.25
2.68
Under 4.25
1.38
Over 4.75
3.50
Under 4.75
1.22
Over 5
4.60
Under 5
1.13
Over 5.25
4.90
Under 5.25
1.11
Over 6
9.20
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
12.50
Draw no bet
1
1.97
2
1.76
Asian handicap
Home 0.25
1.75
Away 0.25
1.59
1st half
1
2.95
X
2.53
2
2.69
First team to score
Home
1.93
No Goal
23.33
Away
1.82
Corners 2-Way
Over 13.5
3.03
Under 13.5
1.33