Lillestrom5th26 pts
Fredrikstad8th23 pts
Lillestrom5th26 pts
Fredrikstad8th23 ptsIn the Eliteserien table, Lillestrom sit 5th with 26 points from 17 games, while Fredrikstad are 8th with 23 points from 17 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Lillestrom at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Fredrikstad at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.71 | 3.82 | 4.43, which imply roughly 26.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Eliteserien table: Lillestrom are 5th (26 pts, 23-21 goals), Fredrikstad 8th (23 pts, 18-27).
Over their last five matches, Lillestrom averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Fredrikstad averaged 0.6 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Fredrikstad.
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 41 |
| 2 |  Viking | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 |
| 3 |  Tromso | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| 4 |  Molde | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 |  Brann | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 |
| 7 |  Rosenborg | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 |  Fredrikstad | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 10 |  Ham-Kam | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 11 |  Valerenga | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 |
| 12 |  KFUM Oslo | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 |
| 13 |  Sandefjord | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 |
| 14 |  Kristiansund BK | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Start | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.71
X
3.81
2
4.43
Double chance
1X
1.19
X2
2.07
12
1.23
Both teams to score
Yes
1.63
No
2.14
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.19
Under 1.5
4.26
Over 2.5
1.65
Under 2.5
2.16
Over 3.5
2.61
Under 3.5
1.47
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
12.13
Over 4.5
4.69
Under 4.5
1.16
Over 5.5
8.70
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
17.38
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.19
Under 1.75
3.78
Over 2
1.24
Under 2
3.34
Over 2.25
1.47
Under 2.25
2.56
Over 2.75
1.80
Under 2.75
1.93
Over 1.25
1.07
Under 1.25
5.85
Over 3
2.05
Under 3
1.71
Over 3.25
2.32
Under 3.25
1.57
Over 3.75
2.99
Under 3.75
1.33
Over 4
3.78
Under 4
1.21
Over 4.25
4.19
Under 4.25
1.17
Over 4.75
5.55
Under 4.75
1.08
Over 5
7.80
Under 5
1.02
Over 7.5
41.00
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
8.70
Draw no bet
1
1.29
2
3.28
Asian handicap
Away 3
1.02
1st half
1
2.19
X
2.33
2
4.55
First team to score
Home
1.55
No Goal
13.67
Away
2.61
Corners 2-Way
Over 15.5
6.70
Under 15.5
1.09