Sirius vs IF Elfsborg• Allsvenskan, Sweden

#11.2:0.42-2FT18/10 · Studenternas IP, Uppsala2.0:0.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.19PINX3.60PIN23.24PINMargin at best4.3%Books6Markets74Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 08:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.21	3.59	3.20	4.4%
1xBet	2.14	3.48	3.16	7.1%
Bet365	2.15	3.50	3.10	7.3%
Marathonbet	2.12	3.48	3.16	7.6%
William Hill	2.15	3.30	3.10	9.1%
BetVictor	2.15	3.40	3.00	9.3%
Best of all books	2.21	3.59	3.20	4.4%
Average	2.15	3.46	3.12	7.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SiriusIF Elfsborg

Last 10#1Table position#52.29Points per game1.7111Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 52.00.4Goals against · last 50.638Attack rating6360Defence rating4050Form rating5080H2H rating2056Goals model4459Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:01 UTC

Sirius

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	H	IF Elfsborg	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	Gais	1-0	W
2 Oct	A	Brondby	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Orgryte IS	2-1	W
14 Sep	H	Degerfors IF	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Vasteras SK FK	1-0	W
31 Aug	H	Malmo FF	0-1	L
26 Aug	A	Friska Viljor	2-0	W
21 Aug	H	BK Hacken	0-3	L
15 Aug	A	Mjallby AIF	3-4	L

IF Elfsborg

6W 2D 2L · goals 20:7 · per match 2.0 for, 0.7 against

18 Oct	A	Sirius	2-2	D
12 Oct	H	Halmstad	4-0	W
2 Oct	H	BK Hacken	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Djurgardens IF	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Kalmar FF	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	IF Brommapojkarna	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Degerfors IF	2-0	W
23 Aug	A	IFK Goteborg	1-1	D
18 Aug	A	Västra Frölunda	4-0	W
14 Aug	H	Vasteras SK FK	3-0	W

Head to head

9Sirius wins

3draws

8IF Elfsborg wins

20 meetings · goals 39:34 · last 10: 5W 0D 5L for Sirius

19 Jul 2026Allsvenskan	Allsvenskan	IF Elfsborg1-3Sirius
8 Mar 2026Svenska Cupen	Svenska Cupen	IF Elfsborg1-2Sirius
26 Oct 2025Allsvenskan	Allsvenskan	Sirius4-0IF Elfsborg
23 Apr 2025Allsvenskan	Allsvenskan	IF Elfsborg4-3Sirius
6 Oct 2024Allsvenskan	Allsvenskan	Sirius4-1IF Elfsborg
29 Apr 2024Allsvenskan	Allsvenskan	IF Elfsborg2-0Sirius
6 Aug 2023Allsvenskan	Allsvenskan	IF Elfsborg1-0Sirius
8 May 2023Allsvenskan	Allsvenskan	Sirius3-4IF Elfsborg
18 Sep 2022Allsvenskan	Allsvenskan	IF Elfsborg3-0Sirius
14 May 2022Allsvenskan	Allsvenskan	Sirius2-0IF Elfsborg

Allsvenskan tableAllsvenskanupdated 22 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Allsvenskan table, Sirius sit 1st with 55 points from 24 games, while IF Elfsborg are 5th with 41 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sirius	24	17	4	3	55:30	+25	55
2	Djurgardens IF	24	15	2	7	50:21	+29	47
3	Hammarby FF	24	14	4	6	50:21	+29	46
4	BK Hacken	24	11	9	4	43:30	+13	42
5	IF Elfsborg	24	11	8	5	37:24	+13	41
6	Vasteras SK FK	24	11	5	8	35:36	-1	38
7	Malmo FF	24	11	3	10	38:34	+4	36
8	IFK Goteborg	24	10	6	8	34:43	-9	36
9	AIK Stockholm	24	9	7	8	38:42	-4	34
10	Gais	24	8	6	10	30:25	+5	30
11	IF Brommapojkarna	24	8	6	10	36:43	-7	30
12	Mjallby AIF	24	5	8	11	28:40	-12	23
13	Kalmar FF	24	6	4	14	23:38	-15	22
14	Degerfors IF	24	5	5	14	21:37	-16	20
15	Orgryte IS	24	4	6	14	29:54	-25	18
16	Halmstad	24	3	5	16	16:45	-29	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.15X27%3.46230%3.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.95 → 2.14 +9.7%X3.57 → 3.48 -2.5%23.48 → 3.13 -10.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.75	2.12	4.3%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
1xBet	1.71	2.06	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	2.06	7.0%
BetVictor	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Best of all books	1.75	2.12	4.3%
Average	1.71	2.07	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.58	2.23	8.1%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.20	8.7%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.59	2.23	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sirius 45%Draw 45%IF Elfsborg 10%

The statistical model rated Sirius at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and IF Elfsborg at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.15 | 3.46 | 3.12, which imply roughly 46.5% for a Sirius win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Allsvenskan table: Sirius are 1st (55 pts, 55-30 goals), IF Elfsborg 5th (41 pts, 37-24).

Over their last five matches, Sirius averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; IF Elfsborg averaged 2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sirius or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Sirius

4-2-3-1

Coach: Andreas Engelmark

Goalkeeper

34D. Celic

Defence

5H. Castegren
2Mohamed Soumah
4T. Anker
22O. Krusnell

Midfield

10M. Heier
6M. Lindberg
7J. Persson
24V. Svensson
11I. Bjerkebo

Attack

29Ake Andersson

Substitutes (9)

1I. Diawara
20V. Ekström
17N. Jönsson
16O. Liimatta
21C. Nildén
15S. Sandberg
30Z. Vancsa
18A. Wikman
25O. Adindu

IF Elfsborg

4-2-3-1

Coach: Björn Hamberg

Goalkeeper

31I. Pettersson

Defence

16A. Jensen
6R. Wikström
4T. Isherwood
23N. Hult

Midfield

18J. Magnússon
19J. Beck
25A. Sigurpálsson
29M. Kamara
10S. Olsson

Attack

21L. Ãstman

Substitutes (9)

11T. Silverholt
9A. Zeneli
12T. Sander
5O. Nordvall
22D. Krasniqi
8S. Holmén
15S. Hedlund
17P. Frick
3J. Esenga

Match Statistics

SiriusIF Elfsborg

0.96Expected Goals1.24

449Passes accurate402

9Shots insidebox9

4Shots outsidebox5

3Blocked Shots3

12Free Kicks7

5Shots on Goal6

4Goalkeeper Saves2

5Shots off Goal5

1Offsides2

510Total passes463

13Total Shots14

2Yellow Cards2

6Corner Kicks8

7Fouls12

0Red Cards0

53%Ball Possession47%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.15	3.46	3.12

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.66	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.23

1st half

1	X	2
2.67	2.26	3.68

2nd half

1	X	2
2.44	2.56	3.31

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.37	13.7	28.7
HT X	5.43	5.67	7.33
HT 2	23.7	13.8	5.17

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	13.3	2.22

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	12.1
1.5	1.20	4.05
2.5	1.71	2.07
3.5	2.69	1.41
4.5	4.99	1.14
5.5	9.50	1.02
6.5	21.0	1.01
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.90
1.25	1.10	5.15
1.75	1.23	3.43
2	1.30	3.02
2.25	1.52	2.41
2.75	1.88	1.85
3	2.15	1.62
3.25	2.41	1.49
3.75	3.08	1.28
4	4.05	1.16
4.25	4.39	1.14
4.75	5.80	1.07
5	8.00	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.44	1.49
-0.5	2.15	1.67
-0.25	1.86	1.89
0	1.58	2.30
+0.25	1.43	2.65
+0.5	1.38	3.09

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.30	1.03
-2.25	6.80	1.10
-2	6.53	1.07
-1.75	4.85	1.13
-1.5	3.73	1.23
-1.25	3.48	1.26
-1	3.08	1.32
+0.75	1.23	3.74
+1	1.11	5.33
+1.25	1.10	5.73
+1.5	1.08	6.12
+1.75	1.02	7.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	5.17
7.5	1.13	4.18
8.5	1.28	2.95
9.5	1.53	2.27
10.5	1.88	1.83
11.5	2.36	1.49
12.5	3.04	1.27
13.5	4.08	1.15
14.5	4.72	1.08

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	4.97
8	1.17	3.57
8.75	1.30	2.91
9	1.36	2.67
9.25	1.42	2.44
9.75	1.59	2.15
10	1.68	2.07
10.25	1.81	1.93
10.75	2.04	1.72
11	2.14	1.64
11.25	2.24	1.50
11.75	2.58	1.38
12	2.75	1.34
13	3.49	1.18
14	4.55	1.09

Next Allsvenskan matches

23 Oct	IF Elfsborg – Malmo FF
23 Oct	Vasteras SK FK – Halmstad
24 Oct	Sirius – AIK Stockholm
24 Oct	BK Hacken – Degerfors IF
24 Oct	Kalmar FF – IF Brommapojkarna
24 Oct	Djurgardens IF – Orgryte IS

All Allsvenskan fixtures and the table

Latest Allsvenskan results

19 Oct	Degerfors IF 1-2 Kalmar FF
18 Oct	Orgryte IS 4-2 Gais
18 Oct	Halmstad 0-1 Hammarby FF
18 Oct	Malmo FF 0-1 BK Hacken
18 Oct	Vasteras SK FK 1-0 Mjallby AIF
17 Oct	AIK Stockholm 2-2 IFK Goteborg