NY Cosmos vs One Knoxville• USL League One, USA

#161.2:2.20-3FTToday · Hinchliffe Stadium1.2:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.90B365X3.60B36522.21PINMargin at best7.5%Books6Markets46Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.91	3.56	2.14	9.2%
Bet365	2.75	3.60	2.15	10.7%
1xBet	2.83	3.48	2.14	10.8%
Marathonbet	2.76	3.48	2.12	12.1%
William Hill	2.80	3.25	2.10	14.1%
BetVictor	2.60	3.20	2.00	19.7%
Best of all books	2.91	3.60	2.15	8.7%
Average	2.78	3.43	2.11	12.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NY CosmosOne Knoxville

Last 10#16Table position#50.86Points per game1.653Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 51.22.2Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5039Defence rating6143Form rating570H2H rating10031Goals model6938Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:50 UTC

NY Cosmos

3W 2D 5L · goals 17:19 · per match 1.7 for, 1.9 against

10 Oct	A	Charlotte Independence	0-3	L
3 Oct	A	Naples	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Richmond Kickers	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	Westchester SC	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Boise	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Fort Wayne	4-2	W
2 Sep	H	Sarasota Paradise	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Union Omaha	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Chattanooga Red Wolves	3-3	D
20 Aug	A	Corpus Christi	2-0	W

One Knoxville

3W 4D 3L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	H	Spokane Velocity	0-2	L
7 Oct	H	Chattanooga Red Wolves	3-0	W
3 Oct	A	Richmond Kickers	2-3	L
27 Sep	H	Westchester SC	0-0	D
20 Sep	A	Union Omaha	1-2	L
16 Sep	A	Fort Wayne	3-2	W
11 Sep	H	Naples	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Alta	2-1	W
3 Sep	A	Forward Madison	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Boise	2-2	D

Head to head

0NY Cosmos wins

0draws

1One Knoxville wins

1 meeting · goals 1:3 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for NY Cosmos

13 Jun 2026USL League One

USL League One

One Knoxville3-1NY Cosmos

USL League One tableUSL League Oneupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the USL League One table, NY Cosmos sit 16th with 25 points from 29 games, while One Knoxville are 5th with 51 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	30	19	6	5	70:42	+28	63
2	Union Omaha	30	19	4	7	53:32	+21	61
3	Forward Madison	30	15	7	8	52:30	+22	52
4	Boise	30	15	7	8	47:40	+7	52
5	One Knoxville	31	14	9	8	49:36	+13	51
6	Spokane Velocity	29	15	5	9	46:40	+6	50
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	+7	46
8	Fort Wayne	30	12	9	9	46:37	+9	45
9	Naples	30	12	4	14	35:44	-9	40
10	Westchester SC	30	10	6	14	51:48	+3	36
11	Sarasota Paradise	29	10	6	13	42:45	-3	36
12	Corpus Christi	30	9	9	12	33:44	-11	36
13	Alta	30	8	9	13	37:44	-7	33
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	30	7	10	13	44:55	-11	31
15	Greenville Triumph	30	7	6	17	36:57	-21	27
16	NY Cosmos	29	7	4	18	36:59	-23	25
17	Richmond Kickers	30	6	5	19	32:63	-31	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.78X26%3.43242%2.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.78 → 2.78 0.0%X3.50 → 3.41 -2.6%22.13 → 2.12 -0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.58	2.26	7.5%
1xBet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
BetVictor	1.47	1.92	20.1%
Best of all books	1.62	2.26	6.0%
Average	1.57	2.16	10.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.50	2.38	8.7%
1xBet	1.49	2.39	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.34	9.8%
BetVictor	1.36	2.10	21.1%
Best of all books	1.50	2.39	8.5%
Average	1.46	2.30	11.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NY Cosmos 10%Draw 45%One Knoxville 45%

The statistical model rated NY Cosmos at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and One Knoxville at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.78 | 3.43 | 2.11, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL League One table: NY Cosmos are 16th (25 pts, 36-59 goals), One Knoxville 5th (51 pts, 49-36).

Over their last five matches, NY Cosmos averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; One Knoxville averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or One Knoxville.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.78	3.43	2.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.55	1.34	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
2.04	1.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.30

1st half

1	X	2
3.21	2.27	2.62

2nd half

1	X	2
3.02	2.58	2.47

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.48	14.0	23.0
HT X	6.97	6.10	5.77
HT 2	26.0	14.0	3.36

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.05	14.4	1.78

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.0
1.5	1.14	3.90
2.5	1.57	2.16
3.5	2.33	1.45
4.5	3.87	1.14
5.5	6.57	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.25	1.07	5.80
1.75	1.18	3.82
2	1.23	3.42
2.25	1.40	2.50
2.75	1.68	1.93
3	1.88	1.72
3.25	2.11	1.56
3.75	2.83	1.35
4	3.50	1.22
4.25	3.88	1.18
4.75	5.20	1.10
5	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.86	1.38
-0.25	2.36	1.44
0	2.07	1.59
+0.25	1.78	1.85
+0.5	1.59	2.01
+0.75	1.43	2.37

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	6.90	1.04
-1.5	5.35	1.09
-1.25	4.96	1.11
-1	4.60	1.13
-0.75	3.28	1.25
+1	1.29	3.11
+1.25	1.22	3.50
+1.5	1.18	3.86
+1.75	1.11	4.89
+2	1.04	6.95
+2.5	1.03	7.70