Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine• USL League One, USA

#31.0:1.022:00Today · Breese Stevens Field1.4:2.0#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50B365X4.46PIN25.491XBMargin at best7.3%Books6Markets54Rating64 · 37Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.49	4.46	5.04	9.4%
1xBet	1.44	4.30	5.49	10.9%
Bet365	1.50	4.00	5.00	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.43	4.30	5.25	12.2%
William Hill	1.44	4.00	5.00	14.4%
BetVictor	1.44	3.70	4.40	19.2%
Best of all books	1.50	4.46	5.49	7.3%
Average	1.46	4.13	5.03	12.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine

Last 10#3Table position#141.73Points per game1.034Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 52.042Attack rating5867Defence rating3344Form rating5688H2H rating1374Goals model2664Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:40 UTC

Forward Madison

3W 4D 3L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

10 Oct	A	Westchester SC	2-3	L
3 Oct	A	Fort Wayne	0-0	D
26 Sep	H	Spokane Velocity	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Alta	3-0	W
16 Sep	A	Chattanooga Red Wolves	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Sarasota Paradise	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Corpus Christi	2-0	W
3 Sep	H	One Knoxville	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Richmond Kickers	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Charlotte Independence	1-1	D

Portland Hearts of Pine

2W 4D 4L · goals 14:20 · per match 1.4 for, 2.0 against

10 Oct	H	Boise	1-2	L
4 Oct	A	Spokane Velocity	3-3	D
26 Sep	H	Sarasota Paradise	1-4	L
19 Sep	A	Chattanooga Red Wolves	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Alta	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Westchester SC	2-1	W
2 Sep	A	Charlotte Independence	2-3	L
29 Aug	H	Fort Wayne	1-4	L
22 Aug	A	Richmond Kickers	1-1	D
19 Aug	A	One Knoxville	1-1	D

Head to head

2Forward Madison wins

1draws

0Portland Hearts of Pine wins

3 meetings · goals 6:3 · last 3: 2W 1D 0L for Forward Madison

16 Aug 2026USL League One	USL League One	Portland Hearts of Pine1-2Forward Madison
4 Oct 2025USL League One	USL League One	Portland Hearts of Pine1-3Forward Madison
24 May 2025USL League One	USL League One	Forward Madison1-1Portland Hearts of Pine

USL League One tableUSL League Oneupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the USL League One table, Forward Madison sit 3rd with 52 points from 30 games, while Portland Hearts of Pine are 14th with 31 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	30	19	6	5	70:42	+28	63
2	Union Omaha	30	19	4	7	53:32	+21	61
3	Forward Madison	30	15	7	8	52:30	+22	52
4	Boise	30	15	7	8	47:40	+7	52
5	One Knoxville	31	14	9	8	49:36	+13	51
6	Spokane Velocity	29	15	5	9	46:40	+6	50
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	+7	46
8	Fort Wayne	30	12	9	9	46:37	+9	45
9	Naples	30	12	4	14	35:44	-9	40
10	Westchester SC	30	10	6	14	51:48	+3	36
11	Sarasota Paradise	29	10	6	13	42:45	-3	36
12	Corpus Christi	30	9	9	12	33:44	-11	36
13	Alta	30	8	9	13	37:44	-7	33
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	30	7	10	13	44:55	-11	31
15	Greenville Triumph	30	7	6	17	36:57	-21	27
16	NY Cosmos	29	7	4	18	36:59	-23	25
17	Richmond Kickers	30	6	5	19	32:63	-31	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.46X22%4.13218%5.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.49 → 1.46 -2.0%X4.08 → 4.13 +1.2%25.09 → 5.03 -1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.43	2.66	7.5%
1xBet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
BetVictor	1.33	2.20	20.6%
Best of all books	1.57	2.66	1.3%
Average	1.43	2.45	10.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.52	2.32	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.27	9.8%
BetVictor	1.40	2.05	20.2%
Best of all books	1.52	2.40	7.5%
Average	1.48	2.26	11.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Forward Madison 45%Draw 45%Portland Hearts of Pine 10%

The statistical model rates Forward Madison at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Portland Hearts of Pine at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.46 | 4.13 | 5.03, which imply roughly 68.5% for a Forward Madison win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL League One table: Forward Madison are 3rd (52 pts, 52-30 goals), Portland Hearts of Pine 14th (31 pts, 44-55).

Over their last five matches, Forward Madison averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Portland Hearts of Pine averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Forward Madison or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.46	4.13	5.03

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.35	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	3.67

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.26

1st half

1	X	2
1.92	2.45	4.94

2nd half

1	X	2
1.77	2.89	4.87

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.10	16.4	44.3
HT X	4.45	7.23	12.5
HT 2	19.8	17.0	9.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	17.9	2.81

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.5
1.5	1.08	4.83
2.5	1.43	2.45
3.5	2.03	1.62
4.5	3.21	1.21
5.5	5.63	1.05

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.50
1.75	1.10	5.00
2	1.13	4.50
2.25	1.30	3.06
2.75	1.50	2.24
3	1.63	1.99
3.25	1.84	1.77
3.75	2.29	1.47
4	2.84	1.35
4.25	3.14	1.27
4.75	4.25	1.15
5	5.70	1.08
5.25	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.59	1.41
-1.5	2.17	1.52
-1.25	1.95	1.66
-1	1.75	1.90
-0.75	1.55	2.13
-0.5	1.43	2.32

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.80	1.02
-3	7.00	1.04
-2.75	4.95	1.11
-2.5	3.92	1.18
-2.25	3.58	1.21
-2	3.20	1.26
-0.25	1.31	2.99
0	1.15	4.25
+0.25	1.12	4.75
+0.75	1.04	7.00
+1.5	1.01	9.40