Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers• USL League One, USA

#122.8:1.223:30Today · Premier Sports Campus1.6:2.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.55BTNX4.44PIN25.50BFRMargin at best5.2%Books9Markets66Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 16:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.54	4.40	5.20	6.9%
Betano	1.55	4.15	5.00	8.6%
Pinnacle	1.48	4.44	5.21	9.3%
Betfair	1.44	4.40	5.50	10.4%
1xBet	1.44	4.30	5.49	10.9%
Bet365	1.48	4.20	5.00	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.43	4.30	5.25	12.2%
William Hill	1.44	4.00	5.00	14.4%
BetVictor	1.40	3.75	4.60	19.8%
Best of all books	1.55	4.44	5.50	5.2%
Average	1.47	4.22	5.14	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sarasota ParadiseRichmond Kickers

Last 10#12Table position#171.18Points per game0.798Form pts · last 532.8Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 52.864Attack rating3670Defence rating3073Form rating2750H2H rating5075Goals model2566Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 20:21 UTC

Sarasota Paradise

4W 3D 3L · goals 22:15 · per match 2.2 for, 1.5 against

3 Oct	H	Charlotte Independence	2-3	L
26 Sep	A	Portland Hearts of Pine	4-1	W
19 Sep	H	Greenville Triumph	6-0	W
12 Sep	A	Forward Madison	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Spokane Velocity	1-1	D
2 Sep	A	NY Cosmos	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Union Omaha	1-1	D
19 Aug	H	Chattanooga Red Wolves	3-2	W
15 Aug	A	Charlotte Independence	1-3	L
8 Aug	A	One Knoxville	1-2	L

Richmond Kickers

1W 2D 7L · goals 12:25 · per match 1.2 for, 2.5 against

7 Oct	A	Naples	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	One Knoxville	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	NY Cosmos	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Charlotte Independence	1-2	L
16 Sep	A	Westchester SC	2-5	L
12 Sep	H	Chattanooga Red Wolves	1-1	D
2 Sep	A	Fort Wayne	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Forward Madison	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Portland Hearts of Pine	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	Union Omaha	1-5	L

Head to head

0Sarasota Paradise wins

1draws

0Richmond Kickers wins

1 meeting · goals 0:0 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Sarasota Paradise

3 Jul 2026USL League One

USL League One

Richmond Kickers0-0Sarasota Paradise

USL League One tableUSL League Oneupdated 10 Oct 17:20 UTC

In the USL League One table, Sarasota Paradise sit 12th with 33 points from 28 games, while Richmond Kickers are 17th with 23 points from 29.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Union Omaha	29	19	4	6	53:31	+22	61
2	Charlotte Independence	29	18	6	5	67:42	+25	60
3	Forward Madison	29	15	7	7	50:27	+23	52
4	One Knoxville	30	14	9	7	49:34	+15	51
5	Boise	29	14	7	8	45:39	+6	49
6	Spokane Velocity	27	14	5	8	41:36	+5	47
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	+7	46
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	+8	42
9	Naples	29	11	4	14	34:44	-10	37
10	Corpus Christi	29	9	9	11	33:43	-10	36
11	Westchester SC	29	9	6	14	48:46	+2	33
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39:43	-4	33
13	Alta	29	8	8	13	35:42	-7	32
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	29	7	10	12	43:53	-10	31
15	NY Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36:56	-20	25
16	Greenville Triumph	28	6	5	17	30:52	-22	23
17	Richmond Kickers	29	6	5	18	30:60	-30	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.47X21%4.22217%5.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.47 → 1.47 0.0%X4.21 → 4.22 +0.2%25.08 → 5.14 +1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.49	2.49	7.3%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.50	2.35	9.2%
1xBet	1.44	2.42	10.8%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.42	10.8%
BetVictor	1.40	2.06	20.0%
Best of all books	1.53	2.49	5.5%
Average	1.47	2.35	10.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.16	10.0%
BetVictor	1.45	1.95	20.2%
Best of all books	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Average	1.55	2.13	11.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sarasota Paradise 45%Draw 45%Richmond Kickers 10%

The statistical model rates Sarasota Paradise at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Richmond Kickers at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.47 | 4.22 | 5.14, which imply roughly 68% for a Sarasota Paradise win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL League One table: Sarasota Paradise are 12th (33 pts, 39-43 goals), Richmond Kickers 17th (23 pts, 30-60).

Over their last five matches, Sarasota Paradise averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Richmond Kickers averaged 1.6 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Sarasota Paradise or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.47	4.22	5.14

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.41	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	3.74

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.13

1st half

1	X	2
1.91	2.45	4.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	17.9	2.81

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.0
1.5	1.12	4.39
2.5	1.47	2.35
3.5	2.14	1.56
4.5	3.36	1.21
5.5	5.63	1.06

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.14	4.46
2	1.17	4.05
2.25	1.32	2.95
2.75	1.55	2.13
3	1.72	1.90
3.25	1.91	1.70
3.75	2.50	1.44
4	3.01	1.31
4.25	3.28	1.25
4.75	4.34	1.14
5	5.75	1.07
5.25	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.54	1.42
-1.5	2.15	1.53
-1.25	1.93	1.68
-1	1.74	1.92
-0.75	1.53	2.15
-0.5	1.41	2.37

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.10	1.04
-3	6.45	1.05
-2.75	4.70	1.12
-2.5	3.80	1.19
-2.25	3.48	1.22
-2	3.18	1.28
-0.25	1.30	2.97
0	1.16	4.10
+0.25	1.13	4.55
+0.75	1.05	6.45

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.20
7.5	1.25	3.30
8.5	1.50	2.36
9.5	1.85	1.85
10.5	2.36	1.50
11.5	3.18	1.27
12.5	4.58	1.11
13.5	7.06	1.02

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.10	4.72
8	1.31	2.95
9	1.65	2.10
10	2.12	1.64
11	2.87	1.33
12	4.21	1.14
13	6.62	1.03