Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos• USL League One, USA

#22.4:1.823:00Today · American Legion Memorial Stadium2.0:2.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57PINX4.80DAF24.75B365Margin at best5.6%Books9Markets70Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 16:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.55	4.80	4.60	7.1%
Betano	1.55	4.50	4.45	9.2%
Pinnacle	1.57	4.53	4.23	9.4%
Betfair	1.53	4.60	4.40	9.8%
1xBet	1.50	4.45	4.62	10.8%
Bet365	1.48	4.50	4.75	10.8%
Marathonbet	1.49	4.45	4.45	12.1%
William Hill	1.55	4.00	4.33	12.6%
BetVictor	1.45	3.90	3.90	20.2%
Best of all books	1.57	4.80	4.75	5.6%
Average	1.52	4.41	4.41	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Charlotte IndependenceNY Cosmos

Last 10#2Table position#152.07Points per game0.8911Form pts · last 562.4Goals for · last 52.01.8Goals against · last 52.055Attack rating4553Defence rating4765Form rating350H2H rating10074Goals model2657Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 20:21 UTC

Charlotte Independence

6W 3D 1L · goals 24:15 · per match 2.4 for, 1.5 against

3 Oct	A	Sarasota Paradise	3-2	W
26 Sep	H	Fort Wayne	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Richmond Kickers	2-1	W
17 Sep	A	Boise	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Westchester SC	5-4	W
6 Sep	A	Union Omaha	0-2	L
2 Sep	H	Portland Hearts of Pine	3-2	W
28 Aug	H	Alta	5-0	W
23 Aug	A	Forward Madison	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	Sarasota Paradise	3-1	W

NY Cosmos

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against

3 Oct	A	Naples	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Richmond Kickers	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	Westchester SC	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Boise	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Fort Wayne	4-2	W
2 Sep	H	Sarasota Paradise	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Union Omaha	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Chattanooga Red Wolves	3-3	D
20 Aug	A	Corpus Christi	2-0	W
15 Aug	H	Alta	1-0	W

Head to head

0Charlotte Independence wins

0draws

1NY Cosmos wins

1 meeting · goals 2:3 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Charlotte Independence

3 Apr 2026USL League One

USL League One

NY Cosmos3-2Charlotte Independence

USL League One tableUSL League Oneupdated 10 Oct 17:20 UTC

In the USL League One table, Charlotte Independence sit 2nd with 60 points from 29 games, while NY Cosmos are 15th with 25 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Union Omaha	29	19	4	6	53:31	+22	61
2	Charlotte Independence	29	18	6	5	67:42	+25	60
3	Forward Madison	29	15	7	7	50:27	+23	52
4	One Knoxville	30	14	9	7	49:34	+15	51
5	Boise	29	14	7	8	45:39	+6	49
6	Spokane Velocity	27	14	5	8	41:36	+5	47
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	+7	46
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	+8	42
9	Naples	29	11	4	14	34:44	-10	37
10	Corpus Christi	29	9	9	11	33:43	-10	36
11	Westchester SC	29	9	6	14	48:46	+2	33
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39:43	-4	33
13	Alta	29	8	8	13	35:42	-7	32
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	29	7	10	12	43:53	-10	31
15	NY Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36:56	-20	25
16	Greenville Triumph	28	6	5	17	30:52	-22	23
17	Richmond Kickers	29	6	5	18	30:60	-30	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.52X20%4.41220%4.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.43 → 1.52 +6.3%X4.64 → 4.41 -5.0%25.06 → 4.41 -12.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Betano	1.29	3.20	8.8%
1xBet	1.25	3.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.25	3.28	10.5%
BetVictor	1.20	2.75	19.7%
Best of all books	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Average	1.26	3.18	10.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.35	2.90	8.6%
Betano	1.37	2.80	8.7%
1xBet	1.33	2.94	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.86	10.2%
BetVictor	1.25	2.50	20.0%
Best of all books	1.37	2.94	7.0%
Average	1.33	2.80	11.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Charlotte Independence 35%Draw 35%NY Cosmos 30%

The statistical model rates Charlotte Independence at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and NY Cosmos at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 4.41 | 4.41, which imply roughly 65.8% for a Charlotte Independence win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the USL League One table: Charlotte Independence are 2nd (60 pts, 67-42 goals), NY Cosmos 15th (25 pts, 36-56).

Over their last five matches, Charlotte Independence averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; NY Cosmos averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Charlotte Independence and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.52	4.41	4.41

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.28	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.33	2.80

1st half

1	X	2
1.91	2.70	4.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.44	31.0	2.57

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	26.0
1.5	1.05	6.18
2.5	1.26	3.18
3.5	1.69	1.96
4.5	2.49	1.40
5.5	3.93	1.16

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.04	6.80
2	1.06	6.35
2.25	1.15	4.25
2.75	1.32	2.91
3	1.37	2.73
3.25	1.52	2.18
3.75	1.83	1.77
4	2.05	1.59
4.25	2.25	1.48
4.75	2.97	1.30
5	3.70	1.20
5.25	3.98	1.17
6	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.50	1.40
-1.5	2.23	1.50
-1.25	1.99	1.67
-1	1.81	1.84
-0.75	1.61	2.02
-0.5	1.49	2.17

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.10	1.04
-3.25	5.65	1.08
-3	6.40	1.05
-2.75	4.70	1.12
-2.5	3.82	1.19
-2.25	3.50	1.22
-2	3.07	1.30
-0.25	1.38	2.70
0	1.22	3.50
+0.25	1.18	3.92
+0.75	1.08	5.50
+1	1.02	8.10
+1.5	1.01	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.25
7.5	1.24	3.32
8.5	1.50	2.37
9.5	1.85	1.85
10.5	2.35	1.51
11.5	3.16	1.27
12.5	4.54	1.12
13.5	6.97	1.02

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.10	4.76
8	1.31	2.97
9	1.64	2.12
10	2.10	1.65
11	2.85	1.34
12	4.17	1.14
13	6.54	1.03