Naples vs Richmond Kickers• USL League One, USA

#101.0:1.023:00Today · Paradise Coast Sports Complex1.8:2.6#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65BTNX4.20BFR24.60BFRMargin at best6.2%Books9Markets68Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.68	4.10	4.30	7.2%
Pinnacle	1.60	4.16	4.41	9.2%
Betano	1.67	3.90	4.20	9.3%
Betfair	1.55	4.20	4.60	10.1%
1xBet	1.55	4.05	4.60	10.9%
Bet365	1.62	4.00	4.10	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.53	4.05	4.50	12.3%
William Hill	1.57	3.80	4.40	12.7%
BetVictor	1.50	3.60	3.90	20.1%
Best of all books	1.68	4.20	4.60	5.1%
Average	1.59	3.98	4.33	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NaplesRichmond Kickers

Last 10#10Table position#171.21Points per game0.828Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 52.636Attack rating6472Defence rating2867Form rating33100H2H rating068Goals model3263Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 18:41 UTC

Naples

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

3 Oct	H	NY Cosmos	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Chattanooga Red Wolves	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Fort Wayne	2-2	D
11 Sep	A	One Knoxville	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Boise	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Greenville Triumph	0-4	L
26 Aug	H	Union Omaha	2-0	W
23 Aug	A	Alta	2-1	W
15 Aug	A	Westchester SC	2-3	L
5 Aug	H	Alta	2-1	W

Richmond Kickers

2W 2D 6L · goals 14:23 · per match 1.4 for, 2.3 against

3 Oct	H	One Knoxville	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	NY Cosmos	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Charlotte Independence	1-2	L
16 Sep	A	Westchester SC	2-5	L
12 Sep	H	Chattanooga Red Wolves	1-1	D
2 Sep	A	Fort Wayne	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Forward Madison	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Portland Hearts of Pine	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	Union Omaha	1-5	L
5 Aug	H	NY Cosmos	2-0	W

Head to head

3Naples wins

0draws

0Richmond Kickers wins

3 meetings · goals 5:2 · last 3: 3W 0D 0L for Naples

21 Mar 2026USL League One	USL League One	Richmond Kickers0-1Naples
2 Aug 2025USL League One	USL League One	Richmond Kickers1-2Naples
12 Apr 2025USL League One	USL League One	Naples2-1Richmond Kickers

USL League One tableUSL League Oneupdated 7 Oct 18:41 UTC

In the USL League One table, Naples sit 10th with 34 points from 28 games, while Richmond Kickers are 17th with 23 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Union Omaha	29	19	4	6	53:31	+22	61
2	Charlotte Independence	29	18	6	5	67:42	+25	60
3	Forward Madison	29	15	7	7	50:27	+23	52
4	Boise	29	14	7	8	45:39	+6	49
5	One Knoxville	29	13	9	7	46:34	+12	48
6	Spokane Velocity	27	14	5	8	41:36	+5	47
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	29	14	4	11	50:40	+10	46
8	Fort Wayne	28	10	9	9	42:36	+6	39
9	Corpus Christi	28	9	9	10	32:40	-8	36
10	Naples	28	10	4	14	32:44	-12	34
11	Westchester SC	29	9	6	14	48:46	+2	33
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39:43	-4	33
13	Alta	29	8	8	13	35:42	-7	32
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	29	7	10	12	43:53	-10	31
15	NY Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36:56	-20	25
16	Greenville Triumph	28	6	5	17	30:52	-22	23
17	Richmond Kickers	28	6	5	17	30:58	-28	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.57X22%3.99221%4.34

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.60 → 1.57 -1.9%X3.91 → 3.99 +2.0%24.50 → 4.34 -3.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.46	2.58	7.3%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.50	2.37	8.9%
1xBet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
BetVictor	1.36	2.15	20.0%
Best of all books	1.53	2.58	4.1%
Average	1.45	2.40	10.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.49	2.39	9.0%
Betano	1.50	2.35	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.34	9.8%
BetVictor	1.36	2.10	21.1%
Best of all books	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Average	1.47	2.32	11.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Naples 45%Draw 45%Richmond Kickers 10%

The statistical model rates Naples at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Richmond Kickers at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.57 | 3.99 | 4.34, which imply roughly 63.7% for a Naples win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL League One table: Naples are 10th (34 pts, 32-44 goals), Richmond Kickers 17th (23 pts, 30-58).

Over their last five matches, Naples averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Richmond Kickers averaged 1.8 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Naples or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.59	3.98	4.33

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.15	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.26	3.19

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.32

1st half

1	X	2
2.04	2.42	4.44

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	17.8	2.57

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.5
1.5	1.11	4.56
2.5	1.45	2.40
3.5	2.09	1.59
4.5	3.31	1.22
5.5	5.60	1.06

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.50
1.25	1.07	5.95
1.75	1.12	4.70
2	1.15	4.25
2.25	1.34	2.92
2.75	1.52	2.17
3	1.68	1.94
3.25	1.88	1.74
3.75	2.35	1.45
4	2.97	1.32
4.25	3.20	1.26
4.75	4.30	1.14
5	5.75	1.07
5.25	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.38	1.43
-1.25	2.14	1.55
-1	1.94	1.73
-0.75	1.69	1.95
-0.5	1.55	2.12
-0.25	1.40	2.64

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.60	1.01
-3	7.90	1.02
-2.75	5.55	1.08
-2.5	4.40	1.14
-2.25	4.05	1.16
-2	3.72	1.20
-1.75	2.90	1.33
0	1.24	3.50
+0.25	1.17	3.94
+0.75	1.08	5.70
+1	1.01	8.70
+1.5	1.02	8.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.04	6.17
7.5	1.18	3.78
8.5	1.40	2.62
9.5	1.73	2.00
10.5	2.14	1.62
11.5	2.79	1.35
12.5	3.88	1.17
13.5	5.77	1.05

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.06	5.65
8	1.23	3.40
9	1.51	2.34
10	1.93	1.82
11	2.51	1.44
12	3.54	1.21
13	5.37	1.07