Naples11th23 pts
Union Omaha1st45 pts
Naples11th23 pts
Union Omaha1st45 ptsIn the USL League One table, Naples sit 11th with 23 points from 21 games, while Union Omaha are 1st with 45 points from 22 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Naples at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Union Omaha at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.38 | 3.54 | 1.90, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the USL League One table: Naples are 11th (23 pts, 25-35 goals), Union Omaha 1st (45 pts, 40-24).
Over their last five matches, Naples averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Union Omaha averaged 2.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Union Omaha.
Naples vs Union Omaha — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union Omaha | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 45 |
| 2 |  Charlotte Independence | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 |
| 3 |  Forward Madison | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 |  One Knoxville | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 39 |
| 5 |  Spokane Velocity | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 35 |
| 6 |  Boise | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35 |
| 7 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 32 |
| 8 |  Alta | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 32 |
| 9 |  Corpus Christi | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 |
| 10 |  Fort Wayne | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 27 |
| 11 |  Naples | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 23 |
| 12 |  Westchester SC | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 23 |
| 13 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23 |
| 14 |  Sarasota Paradise | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 22 |
| 15 |  Greenville Triumph | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 |
| 16 |  Richmond Kickers | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 |
| 17 |  NY Cosmos | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.53
X
3.63
2
1.87
Double chance
1X
1.81
X2
1.24
12
1.21
Both teams to score
Yes
1.54
No
2.24
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
4.07
Over 2.5
1.61
Under 2.5
2.16
Over 3.5
2.50
Under 3.5
1.44
Over 1.75
1.19
Under 1.75
3.78
Over 2
1.26
Under 2
3.31
Over 2.25
1.44
Under 2.25
2.53
Over 2.75
1.78
Under 2.75
1.91
Over 1.25
1.07
Under 1.25
5.95
Over 3
2.02
Under 3
1.67
Over 4.5
4.50
Under 4.5
1.13
Over 3.25
2.31
Under 3.25
1.52
Over 3.75
3.05
Under 3.75
1.29
Over 4
3.97
Under 4
1.17
Over 4.25
4.34
Under 4.25
1.14
Over 4.75
5.95
Under 4.75
1.07
Over 5
8.50
Under 5
1.01
Over 5.5
9.30
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
11.80
Draw no bet
1
2.53
2
1.43
Asian handicap
Away -2.5
6.40
1st half
1
3.85
X
2.31
2
2.39
First team to score
Home
2.45
No Goal
13.38
Away
1.59