NY Cosmos vs Greenville Triumph Odds Analysis & Prediction – USL League One (Jul 4, 2026)

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NY Cosmos 10%Draw 45%Greenville Triumph 45%

The statistical model rates NY Cosmos at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Greenville Triumph at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.19 | 3.42 | 2.04, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL League One table: NY Cosmos are 17th (7 pts, 16-30 goals), Greenville Triumph 16th (10 pts, 11-21).

Over their last five matches, NY Cosmos averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Greenville Triumph averaged 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Greenville Triumph.

NY Cosmos vs Greenville Triumph — model comparison

Form

100%

57%

Attack

43%

39%

Defence

61%

Head to head

100%

40%

Goals

60%

55.5%

Overall

44.5%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

USL League One

2026/2027 Standings• USL League One

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Union Omaha	16	10	1	5	+7	31
2	One Knoxville	14	9	3	2	+14	30
3	Charlotte Independence	13	9	2	2	+16	29
4	Alta	15	6	6	3	+5	24
5	Forward Madison	13	7	2	4	+8	23
6	Spokane Velocity	14	7	2	5	-1	23
7	Boise	15	6	3	6	-1	21
8	Fort Wayne	13	5	6	2	+5	21
9	Chattanooga Red Wolves	11	6	1	4	+8	19
10	Naples	15	5	2	8	-7	17
11	Portland Hearts of Pine	14	4	5	5	-1	17
12	Sarasota Paradise	16	5	1	10	-11	16
13	Corpus Christi	15	3	6	6	-7	15
14	Westchester SC	14	4	2	8	+1	14
15	Richmond Kickers	13	3	2	8	-12	11
16	Greenville Triumph	11	3	1	7	-10	10
17	NY Cosmos	12	2	1	9	-14	7

Betting Odds

Full time

3.19

3.42

2.04

Double chance

1.65

1.27

1.24

Both teams to score

Yes

1.57

2.18

Match goals

Over 1.5

1.19

Under 1.5

3.73

Over 1.75

1.23

Under 1.75

3.42

Over 2

1.30

Under 2

2.97

Over 2.25

1.50

Under 2.25

2.34

Over 2.5

1.69

Under 2.5

1.99

Over 2.75

1.86

Under 2.75

1.81

Over 3.5

2.64

Under 3.5

1.38

Over 1

1.01

Under 1

8.90

Over 1.25

1.09

Under 1.25

5.27

Over 3

2.14

Under 3

1.57

Over 4.5

4.83

Under 4.5

1.12

Over 3.25

2.42

Under 3.25

1.44

Over 3.75

3.20

Under 3.75

1.26

Over 4

4.25

Under 4

1.15

Over 4.25

4.60

Under 4.25

1.13

Over 4.75

6.22

Under 4.75

1.06

Over 5

8.70

Under 5

1.01

Over 5.5

9.40

Under 5.5

1.04

Over 0.5

1.02

Under 0.5

13.00

Draw no bet

2.30

1.49

Asian handicap

Away -2.5

7.70

1st half

3.66

2.19

2.60

First team to score

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