Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion• USL Championship, USA

#131.0:3.017:00Today · Hodges Stadium2.0:2.2#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.10B365X4.04PIN22.05DAFMargin at best5.8%Books9Markets83Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 08:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.11	4.12	2.05	5.2%
Dafabet	3.00	4.00	2.05	7.1%
BetVictor	3.00	4.00	2.00	8.3%
Bet365	3.10	3.60	2.00	10.0%
Betano	2.95	3.75	2.02	10.1%
1xBet	3.00	3.76	1.97	10.7%
Betfair	2.90	3.90	1.95	11.4%
Marathonbet	2.94	3.76	1.95	11.9%
William Hill	3.00	3.60	1.95	12.4%
Best of all books	3.11	4.12	2.05	5.2%
Average	3.00	3.83	1.99	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sporting JAXBirmingham Legion

Last 10#13Table position#110.52Points per game0.883Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 52.03.0Goals against · last 52.233Attack rating6742Defence rating5838Form rating63100H2H rating039Goals model6142Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 13:33 UTC

Sporting JAX

2W 0D 8L · goals 9:29 · per match 0.9 for, 2.9 against

30 Sep	A	Miami FC	1-4	L
25 Sep	H	Loudoun United	1-4	L
16 Sep	A	Hartford Athletic	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Rhode Island	0-3	L
5 Sep	H	Lexington	3-2	W
29 Aug	A	Brooklyn	1-4	L
23 Aug	A	Birmingham Legion	3-2	W
15 Aug	H	Indy Eleven	0-1	L
2 Aug	A	Sacramento Republic	0-5	L
26 Jul	A	El Paso Locomotive	0-2	L

Birmingham Legion

2W 3D 5L · goals 19:22 · per match 1.9 for, 2.2 against

3 Oct	A	Detroit City	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Brooklyn	4-0	W
19 Sep	A	Tampa Bay Rowdies	0-4	L
17 Sep	H	New Mexico United	4-4	D
12 Sep	H	Charleston Battery	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Indy Eleven	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Hartford Athletic	2-3	L
23 Aug	H	Sporting JAX	2-3	L
16 Aug	A	Colorado Springs	2-3	L
2 Aug	H	Rhode Island	1-0	W

Head to head

1Sporting JAX wins

0draws

0Birmingham Legion wins

1 meeting · goals 3:2 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Sporting JAX

23 Aug 2026USL Championship

USL Championship

Birmingham Legion2-3Sporting JAX

USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 10 Oct 02:40 UTC

In the USL Championship table, Sporting JAX sit 13th with 14 points from 27 games, while Birmingham Legion are 11th with 23 points from 26.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	27	15	7	5	46:25	+21	52
2	Detroit City	27	13	8	6	33:20	+13	47
3	Charleston Battery	26	14	4	8	52:31	+21	46
4	Hartford Athletic	26	9	12	5	29:26	+3	39
5	Rhode Island	26	11	5	10	39:29	+10	38
6	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	27	11	5	11	28:27	+1	38
7	Louisville City	26	10	7	9	43:42	+1	37
8	Miami FC	28	9	9	10	38:45	-7	36
9	Indy Eleven	27	9	7	11	33:33	0	34
10	Loudoun United	26	4	12	10	32:44	-12	24
11	Birmingham Legion	26	4	11	11	36:43	-7	23
12	Brooklyn	27	4	6	17	27:55	-28	18
13	Sporting JAX	27	3	5	19	32:73	-41	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%2.99X24%3.82246%1.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.15 → 2.99 -5.1%X3.74 → 3.83 +2.4%21.94 → 2.00 +3.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.39	3.00	5.3%
Bet365	1.36	3.00	6.9%
BetVictor	1.36	2.90	8.0%
Betano	1.37	2.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.33	2.81	10.8%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.81	10.8%
Best of all books	1.39	3.00	5.3%
Average	1.36	2.90	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betano	1.36	2.90	8.0%
BetVictor	1.33	3.00	8.5%
1xBet	1.34	2.95	8.5%
William Hill	1.36	2.80	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.34	2.88	9.3%
Best of all books	1.40	3.00	4.8%
Average	1.36	2.88	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sporting JAX 10%Draw 45%Birmingham Legion 45%

The statistical model rates Sporting JAX at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Birmingham Legion at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.99 | 3.82 | 1.99, which imply roughly 26.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL Championship table: Sporting JAX are 13th (14 pts, 32-73 goals), Birmingham Legion 11th (23 pts, 36-43).

Over their last five matches, Sporting JAX averaged 1 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Birmingham Legion averaged 2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Birmingham Legion and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.00	3.83	1.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.70	1.32	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
2.33	1.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.35	2.88

1st half

1	X	2
3.34	2.51	2.46

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.07	22.5	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	12.7
1.5	1.09	6.25
2.5	1.36	2.90
3.5	1.90	1.81
4.5	3.03	1.33
5.5	5.30	1.12
6.5	8.10	1.05
7.5	10.7	1.02
8.5	17.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	12.0
1.75	1.08	5.55
2	1.10	5.10
2.25	1.22	3.50
2.75	1.44	2.47
3	1.54	2.31
3.25	1.73	1.98
3.75	2.13	1.62
4	2.48	1.47
4.25	2.74	1.35
4.75	3.58	1.21
5	4.65	1.12
5.25	4.96	1.11
6	9.00	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.65	1.42
0	2.33	1.55
+0.25	1.95	1.77
+0.5	1.76	2.02
+0.75	1.57	2.27
+1	1.39	2.74

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	10.0	1.01
-1.75	7.30	1.03
-1.5	5.73	1.10
-1.25	5.37	1.11
-1	5.02	1.13
-0.75	3.62	1.24
-0.5	3.09	1.37
+1.25	1.33	3.06
+1.5	1.27	3.34
+1.75	1.18	4.12
+2	1.10	5.65
+2.25	1.12	6.00
+2.5	1.06	6.30
+3	1.06	6.70
+3.5	1.05	7.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.09	4.92
7.5	1.27	3.18
8.5	1.59	2.21
9.5	1.96	1.76
10.5	2.54	1.45
11.5	3.31	1.25
12.5	4.87	1.10

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.01	7.32
6.25	1.06	5.48
6.75	1.11	4.68
7	1.12	4.44
7.25	1.20	3.64
7.75	1.31	2.98
8	1.35	2.81
8.25	1.45	2.49
8.75	1.61	2.15
9	1.78	1.99
9.25	1.81	1.90
9.75	2.04	1.70
10	2.20	1.61
10.25	2.32	1.52
10.75	2.68	1.38
11	3.02	1.30
11.25	3.18	1.27
11.75	3.80	1.18
12	4.49	1.12
12.25	4.68	1.11
12.75	5.74	1.06
13	7.15	1.01