Miami FC vs
Loudoun United• USL Championship, USA
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 16:03 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.77 | 4.28 | 3.91 | 5.4% |
| Dafabet | 1.79 | 4.10 | 3.75 | 6.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 8.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 4.00 | 3.70 | 9.8% |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.90 | 3.75 | 10.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.86 | 3.76 | 10.6% |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.90 | 3.80 | 10.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 3.86 | 3.68 | 11.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.79 | 4.28 | 3.91 | 4.8% |
| Average | 1.73 | 3.99 | 3.78 | 9.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:40 UTC
Miami FC
4W 2D 4L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against
| 3 Oct | A | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 2-1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Sporting JAX | 4-1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Indy Eleven | 2-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Rhode Island | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Brooklyn | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2-2 | D |
| 24 Aug | A | Charleston Battery | 0-5 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Hartford Athletic | 1-2 | L |
| 13 Aug | A | San Antonio | 1-2 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | Las Vegas Lights | 0-1 | L |
Loudoun United
2W 3D 5L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against
| 3 Oct | H | Indy Eleven | 1-1 | D |
| 25 Sep | A | Sporting JAX | 4-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Louisville City | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0-1 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Colorado Springs | 4-5 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | El Paso Locomotive | 1-4 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | New Mexico United | 0-0 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | Detroit City | 0-0 | D |
| 8 Aug | H | Charleston Battery | 0-1 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | Hartford Athletic | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
13 meetings · goals 25:20 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Miami FC
| 21 Mar 2026USL Championship | USL Championship | Loudoun United0-0Miami FC |
| 30 Aug 2025USL Championship | USL Championship | Loudoun United3-1Miami FC |
| 17 May 2025USL Championship | USL Championship | Miami FC2-1Loudoun United |
| 3 Aug 2024USL Championship | USL Championship | Loudoun United4-1Miami FC |
| 22 Jun 2024USL Championship | USL Championship | Miami FC2-2Loudoun United |
| 29 Jul 2023USL Championship | USL Championship | Loudoun United1-2Miami FC |
| 17 Jun 2023USL Championship | USL Championship | Miami FC1-2Loudoun United |
| 23 Jul 2022USL Championship | USL Championship | Loudoun United1-2Miami FC |
| 26 Mar 2022USL Championship | USL Championship | Miami FC0-0Loudoun United |
| 10 Oct 2021USL Championship | USL Championship | Loudoun United3-2Miami FC |
USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 10 Oct 02:40 UTC
In the USL Championship table, Miami FC sit 8th with 36 points from 28 games, while Loudoun United are 10th with 24 points from 26.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | +21 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | +13 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston Battery | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | +21 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | +3 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | +10 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | +1 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | +1 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | -41 | 14 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 2.72 | 5.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 7.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| Betano | 1.45 | 2.57 | 7.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.41 | 2.52 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 2.52 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.45 | 2.75 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.43 | 2.62 | 8.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Betano | 1.45 | 2.55 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 2.70 | 8.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 2.56 | 8.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 2.51 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.70 | 3.7% |
| Average | 1.45 | 2.56 | 8.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Miami FC at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Loudoun United at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.99 | 3.78, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Miami FC win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the USL Championship table: Miami FC are 8th (36 pts, 38-45 goals), Loudoun United 10th (24 pts, 32-44).
Over their last five matches, Miami FC averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Loudoun United averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Miami FC or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73 | 3.99 | 3.78 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | 1.95 | 1.19 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.36 | 2.92 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.45 | 2.56 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 2.50 | 4.09 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | 20.4 | 2.30 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 12.2 |
| 1.5 | 1.12 | 5.41 |
| 2.5 | 1.43 | 2.62 |
| 3.5 | 2.07 | 1.68 |
| 4.5 | 3.46 | 1.26 |
| 5.5 | 6.22 | 1.09 |
| 6.5 | 8.75 | 1.04 |
| 7.5 | 13.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 21.0 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 12.0 |
| 1.25 | 1.05 | 6.50 |
| 1.75 | 1.11 | 4.85 |
| 2 | 1.14 | 4.40 |
| 2.25 | 1.28 | 3.08 |
| 2.75 | 1.53 | 2.33 |
| 3 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 3.25 | 1.88 | 1.83 |
| 3.75 | 2.36 | 1.51 |
| 4 | 2.88 | 1.32 |
| 4.25 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 4.75 | 4.20 | 1.15 |
| 5 | 5.60 | 1.08 |
| 5.25 | 5.90 | 1.07 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.84 | 1.37 |
| -1.25 | 2.53 | 1.45 |
| -1 | 2.24 | 1.59 |
| -0.75 | 1.92 | 1.79 |
| -0.5 | 1.73 | 2.05 |
| -0.25 | 1.54 | 2.33 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 9.60 | 1.01 |
| -3 | 8.70 | 1.02 |
| -2.75 | 6.40 | 1.12 |
| -2.5 | 5.20 | 1.12 |
| -2.25 | 4.80 | 1.14 |
| -2 | 4.48 | 1.16 |
| -1.75 | 3.46 | 1.27 |
| 0 | 1.36 | 2.93 |
| +0.25 | 1.29 | 3.30 |
| +0.5 | 1.26 | 3.70 |
| +0.75 | 1.15 | 4.58 |
| +1 | 1.07 | 6.80 |
| +1.25 | 1.06 | 7.07 |
| +1.5 | 1.03 | 7.50 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.12 | 4.45 |
| 7.5 | 1.32 | 2.92 |
| 8.5 | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| 9.5 | 2.06 | 1.68 |
| 10.5 | 2.67 | 1.39 |
| 11.5 | 3.62 | 1.21 |
| 12.5 | 5.46 | 1.07 |
20 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.01 | 7.24 |
| 6.25 | 1.07 | 5.44 |
| 6.75 | 1.14 | 4.23 |
| 7 | 1.16 | 4.00 |
| 7.25 | 1.24 | 3.33 |
| 7.75 | 1.36 | 2.75 |
| 8 | 1.44 | 2.55 |
| 8.25 | 1.52 | 2.33 |
| 8.75 | 1.70 | 2.03 |
| 9 | 1.84 | 1.91 |
| 9.25 | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| 9.75 | 2.16 | 1.61 |
| 10 | 2.41 | 1.50 |
| 10.25 | 2.49 | 1.45 |
| 10.75 | 2.91 | 1.32 |
| 11 | 3.32 | 1.24 |
| 11.25 | 3.49 | 1.22 |
| 11.75 | 4.21 | 1.14 |
| 12 | 5.05 | 1.09 |
| 12.25 | 5.26 | 1.08 |