Indy Eleven vs
Tampa Bay Rowdies• USL Championship, USA
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 16:03 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.61 | 3.73 | 1.98 | 5.0% |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.55 | 2.00 | 7.2% |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.93 | 8.2% |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 3.45 | 3.50 | 1.91 | 9.9% |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.85 | 10.5% |
| 1xBet | 3.50 | 3.44 | 1.89 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 3.42 | 3.44 | 1.87 | 11.8% |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.91 | 12.1% |
| Best of all books | 3.61 | 3.73 | 2.00 | 4.5% |
| Average | 3.49 | 3.52 | 1.92 | 9.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:40 UTC
Indy Eleven
3W 3D 4L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against
| 3 Oct | A | Loudoun United | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Sep | A | Rhode Island | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Miami FC | 0-2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Oakland Roots | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Brooklyn | 4-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | New Mexico United | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep | H | Birmingham Legion | 2-2 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Phoenix Rising | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Louisville City | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Sporting JAX | 1-0 | W |
Tampa Bay Rowdies
4W 3D 3L · goals 13:6 · per match 1.3 for, 0.6 against
| 3 Oct | H | Miami FC | 1-2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | San Antonio | 0-0 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Birmingham Legion | 4-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Hartford Athletic | 1-3 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Brooklyn | 2-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0-0 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | Detroit City | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Rhode Island | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Aug | H | Louisville City | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Aug | A | Orange County SC | 3-0 | W |
Head to head
13 meetings · goals 8:22 · last 10: 0W 3D 7L for Indy Eleven
| 2 May 2026USL Championship | USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies1-0Indy Eleven |
| 2 Aug 2025USL Championship | USL Championship | Indy Eleven1-3Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 25 Jun 2025USL Championship | USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies3-1Indy Eleven |
| 27 Oct 2024USL Championship | USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies3-0Indy Eleven |
| 20 Jul 2024USL Championship | USL Championship | Indy Eleven0-2Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 22 Jul 2023USL Championship | USL Championship | Indy Eleven0-0Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 12 Mar 2023USL Championship | USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies1-1Indy Eleven |
| 30 Jul 2022USL Championship | USL Championship | Indy Eleven1-3Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 19 Mar 2022USL Championship | USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies2-0Indy Eleven |
| 12 Oct 2019USL Championship | USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies1-1Indy Eleven |
USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 10 Oct 02:40 UTC
In the USL Championship table, Indy Eleven sit 9th with 34 points from 27 games, while Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st with 52 points from 27.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | +21 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | +13 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston Battery | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | +21 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | +3 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | +10 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | +1 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | +1 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | -41 | 14 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 1.96 | 4.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 5.3% |
| Betano | 1.82 | 1.91 | 7.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 1.87 | 9.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 1.87 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 1.87 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.88 | 1.96 | 4.2% |
| Average | 1.83 | 1.91 | 7.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 7.9% |
| Betano | 1.72 | 2.00 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 2.03 | 8.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 2.05 | 8.7% |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 2.00 | 8.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 2.00 | 9.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 2.05 | 4.3% |
| Average | 1.71 | 2.00 | 8.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Indy Eleven at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Tampa Bay Rowdies at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.43 | 3.55 | 1.92, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the USL Championship table: Indy Eleven are 9th (34 pts, 33-33 goals), Tampa Bay Rowdies 1st (52 pts, 46-25).
Over their last five matches, Indy Eleven averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Tampa Bay Rowdies averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.49 | 3.52 | 1.92 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.77 | 1.24 | 1.25 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.58 | 1.44 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.71 | 2.00 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.09 | 2.21 | 2.46 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.33 | 12.1 | 1.65 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 8.94 |
| 1.5 | 1.26 | 3.50 |
| 2.5 | 1.83 | 1.91 |
| 3.5 | 3.03 | 1.34 |
| 4.5 | 5.59 | 1.11 |
| 5.5 | 9.80 | 1.04 |
| 6.5 | 13.6 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 21.0 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 8.75 |
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.30 |
| 1.25 | 1.12 | 4.70 |
| 1.75 | 1.29 | 3.05 |
| 2 | 1.39 | 2.71 |
| 2.25 | 1.61 | 2.17 |
| 2.75 | 2.02 | 1.69 |
| 3 | 2.38 | 1.51 |
| 3.25 | 2.66 | 1.37 |
| 3.75 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 4 | 4.80 | 1.12 |
| 4.25 | 5.10 | 1.10 |
| 4.75 | 5.90 | 1.07 |
| 5 | 8.70 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.25 | 2.98 | 1.35 |
| 0 | 2.61 | 1.44 |
| +0.25 | 2.07 | 1.67 |
| +0.5 | 1.84 | 1.93 |
| +0.75 | 1.61 | 2.18 |
| +1 | 1.41 | 2.70 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 8.70 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 7.20 | 1.03 |
| -1.25 | 6.83 | 1.06 |
| -1 | 6.40 | 1.08 |
| -0.75 | 4.22 | 1.17 |
| -0.5 | 3.51 | 1.30 |
| +1.25 | 1.32 | 3.09 |
| +1.5 | 1.27 | 3.42 |
| +1.75 | 1.17 | 4.28 |
| +2 | 1.06 | 6.10 |
| +2.25 | 1.07 | 6.60 |
| +2.5 | 1.04 | 6.85 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.07 | 5.44 |
| 7.5 | 1.23 | 3.38 |
| 8.5 | 1.52 | 2.36 |
| 9.5 | 1.90 | 1.81 |
| 10.5 | 2.40 | 1.50 |
| 11.5 | 3.10 | 1.28 |
| 12.5 | 4.38 | 1.13 |
| 13.5 | 6.68 | 1.02 |
21 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.08 | 5.19 |
| 7 | 1.09 | 4.94 |
| 7.25 | 1.16 | 3.99 |
| 7.75 | 1.26 | 3.24 |
| 8 | 1.29 | 3.06 |
| 8.25 | 1.38 | 2.68 |
| 8.75 | 1.54 | 2.29 |
| 9 | 1.69 | 2.10 |
| 9.25 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
| 9.75 | 1.92 | 1.78 |
| 10 | 2.08 | 1.69 |
| 10.25 | 2.18 | 1.60 |
| 10.75 | 2.49 | 1.45 |
| 11 | 2.77 | 1.36 |
| 11.25 | 2.92 | 1.32 |
| 11.75 | 3.45 | 1.22 |
| 12 | 4.01 | 1.16 |
| 12.25 | 4.20 | 1.14 |
| 12.75 | 5.11 | 1.08 |
| 13 | 6.25 | 1.04 |
| 13.25 | 6.47 | 1.03 |