Miami FC vs 
Sporting JAX• USL Championship, USA
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Sep 02:04 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 3.53 | 5.10 | 7.1% |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.65 | 4.40 | 10.0% |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 10.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.42 | 4.66 | 10.6% |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 11.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 11.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.42 | 4.55 | 11.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.69 | 3.90 | 5.10 | 4.4% |
| Average | 1.67 | 3.64 | 4.39 | 10.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:01 UTC
Miami FC
4W 2D 4L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against
| 10 Oct | H | Loudoun United | 0-2 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 2-1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Sporting JAX | 4-1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Indy Eleven | 2-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Rhode Island | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Brooklyn | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2-2 | D |
| 24 Aug | A | Charleston Battery | 0-5 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Hartford Athletic | 1-2 | L |
| 13 Aug | A | San Antonio | 1-2 | L |
Sporting JAX
2W 0D 8L · goals 9:29 · per match 0.9 for, 2.9 against
| 30 Sep | A | Miami FC | 1-4 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Loudoun United | 1-4 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Hartford Athletic | 0-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Rhode Island | 0-3 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Lexington | 3-2 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Brooklyn | 1-4 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | Birmingham Legion | 3-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Indy Eleven | 0-1 | L |
| 2 Aug | A | Sacramento Republic | 0-5 | L |
| 26 Jul | A | El Paso Locomotive | 0-2 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 5:2 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Miami FC
| 25 Apr 2026USL League One Cup | USL League One Cup | Sporting JAX0-1Miami FC |
| 25 Mar 2026USL Championship | USL Championship | Sporting JAX2-4Miami FC |
USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 17 Oct 03:21 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 48:36 | +12 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:33 | +11 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38:26 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | +16 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | +7 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | +3 | 41 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 37:44 | -7 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:41 | -4 | 36 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33:35 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 30:50 | -20 | 21 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.55 | 2.39 | 6.4% |
| Betano | 1.55 | 2.35 | 7.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 2.45 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 2.26 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 2.26 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.55 | 2.45 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.53 | 2.35 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.53 | 2.35 | 7.9% |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 2.30 | 8.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.52 | 2.34 | 8.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 2.30 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.35 | 6.2% |
| Average | 1.54 | 2.31 | 8.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Miami FC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sporting JAX at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.48 | 4.44 | 5.30, which imply roughly 67.6% for a Miami FC win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Miami FC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Sporting JAX averaged 1 scored and 3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Miami FC or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | 3.64 | 4.39 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.17 | 2.02 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.31 | 3.20 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.54 | 2.31 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.16 | 2.35 | 4.71 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.51 | 13.5 | 2.62 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 12.8 |
| 1.5 | 1.15 | 4.60 |
| 2.5 | 1.53 | 2.35 |
| 3.5 | 2.26 | 1.57 |
| 4.5 | 3.83 | 1.21 |
| 5.5 | 6.55 | 1.07 |
| 6.5 | 10.0 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 17.0 | – |
| 8.5 | 21.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 9.40 |
| 1.75 | 1.16 | 4.15 |
| 2 | 1.20 | 3.72 |
| 2.25 | 1.35 | 2.74 |
| 2.75 | 1.65 | 2.11 |
| 3 | 1.82 | 1.87 |
| 3.25 | 2.04 | 1.69 |
| 3.75 | 2.52 | 1.41 |
| 4 | 3.08 | 1.28 |
| 4.25 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| 4.75 | 4.55 | 1.13 |
| 5 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
| 5.25 | 6.25 | 1.06 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.65 | 1.42 |
| -1.25 | 2.41 | 1.51 |
| -1 | 2.14 | 1.65 |
| -0.75 | 1.85 | 1.87 |
| -0.5 | 1.69 | 2.12 |
| -0.25 | 1.47 | 2.49 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 9.00 | 1.01 |
| -3 | 8.30 | 1.01 |
| -2.75 | 6.13 | 1.08 |
| -2.5 | 4.88 | 1.13 |
| -2.25 | 4.45 | 1.15 |
| -2 | 4.08 | 1.18 |
| -1.75 | 3.20 | 1.30 |
| 0 | 1.26 | 3.45 |
| +0.25 | 1.21 | 3.95 |
| +0.5 | 1.23 | 4.10 |
| +0.75 | 1.10 | 5.66 |
| +1 | 1.01 | 8.70 |
| +1.5 | 1.03 | 8.90 |