Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M.• Liga Profesional Argentina, Argentina

1.4:1.423:00Today · Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires0.6:1.4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.801XBX3.63PIN24.93PINMargin at best3.4%Books6Markets70Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.79	3.63	4.93	3.7%
1xBet	1.80	3.50	4.75	5.2%
Bet365	1.75	3.60	4.75	6.0%
BetVictor	1.75	3.50	4.60	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.76	3.42	4.65	7.6%
William Hill	1.75	3.30	4.60	9.2%
Best of all books	1.80	3.63	4.93	3.4%
Average	1.77	3.49	4.71	6.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Velez SarsfieldGimnasia M.

Last 108Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 50.61.4Goals against · last 51.470Attack rating3050Defence rating5062Form rating380H2H rating10071Goals model2959Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Velez Sarsfield

2W 7D 1L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

12 Oct	A	Lanus	0-2	L
5 Oct	H	Platense	2-2	D
21 Sep	H	Tigre	3-2	W
11 Sep	A	Newells Old Boys	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Estudiantes L.P.	1-0	W
3 Sep	H	Boca Juniors	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Deportivo Riestra	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	River Plate	2-2	D
17 Aug	H	Defensa Y Justicia	1-1	D
8 Aug	A	Boca Juniors	1-1	D

Gimnasia M.

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

12 Oct	H	Newells Old Boys	1-0	W
5 Oct	A	Estudiantes L.P.	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Deportivo Riestra	0-0	D
11 Sep	A	Defensa Y Justicia	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Boca Juniors	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	Independiente	3-0	W
22 Aug	A	Gimnasia L.P.	3-2	W
18 Aug	H	Talleres Cordoba	3-1	W
9 Aug	A	Instituto Cordoba	0-1	L
1 Aug	H	Union Santa Fe	2-0	W

Head to head

0Velez Sarsfield wins

0draws

1Gimnasia M. wins

1 meeting · goals 2:3 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Velez Sarsfield

3 Apr 2026Liga Profesional Argentina

Liga Profesional Argentina

Gimnasia M.3-2Velez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional Argentina tableApertura - Group Bupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	29:15	+14	34
2	River Plate	16	9	2	5	22:12	+10	29
3	Argentinos JRS	16	8	5	3	17:13	+4	29
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20:16	+4	28
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	+4	26
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	8	2	6	19:19	0	26
7	Huracan	16	5	7	4	17:13	+4	22
8	Racing Club	16	5	6	5	17:15	+2	21
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15:15	0	21
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	18:15	+3	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	13:20	-7	19
12	Banfield	16	5	3	8	17:19	-2	18
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	3	5	8	15:20	-5	14
14	Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	6:19	-13	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	5:24	-19	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.77X27%3.49220%4.71

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.77 → 1.77 0.0%X3.40 → 3.49 +2.6%24.72 → 4.71 -0.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.15	1.76	3.3%
1xBet	2.11	1.73	5.2%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.70	6.9%
BetVictor	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Best of all books	2.15	1.76	3.3%
Average	2.09	1.72	6.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.80	6.8%
1xBet	1.93	1.78	8.0%
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.76	8.6%
Best of all books	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Average	1.94	1.77	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Velez Sarsfield 45%Draw 45%Gimnasia M. 10%

The statistical model rates Velez Sarsfield at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gimnasia M. at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 3.49 | 4.71, which imply roughly 56.5% for a Velez Sarsfield win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Velez Sarsfield averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Gimnasia M. averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Velez Sarsfield or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.77	3.49	4.71

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.99	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.29	3.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.94	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
2.38	2.10	5.22

2nd half

1	X	2
2.13	2.36	4.65

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.68	16.0	47.3
HT X	4.39	4.83	9.77
HT 2	27.7	17.1	8.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.58	8.50	2.78

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.50
1.5	1.32	3.09
2.5	2.09	1.72
3.5	3.75	1.23
4.5	7.70	1.05
5.5	17.0	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.80
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.17	4.00
1.75	1.41	2.67
2	1.55	2.30
2.25	1.82	1.93
2.75	2.37	1.52
3	2.92	1.32
3.25	3.28	1.25
3.75	4.60	1.13
4	6.55	1.05
4.25	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.24	1.32
-1.25	2.80	1.40
-1	2.42	1.53
-0.75	1.97	1.77
-0.5	1.73	2.07
-0.25	1.50	2.43

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.82	1.01
-2.5	6.63	1.07
-2.25	6.13	1.08
-2	5.75	1.09
-1.75	4.17	1.22
0	1.27	3.42
+0.25	1.21	4.01
+0.5	1.19	4.50
+0.75	1.08	6.17
+1	1.02	8.60
+1.5	1.01	9.80

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	2.10	1.67

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	7.35
6.5	1.14	4.50
7.5	1.32	2.99
8.5	1.63	2.15
9.5	2.03	1.70
10.5	2.64	1.39
11.5	3.64	1.21
12.5	5.40	1.09
13.5	8.10	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.25	1.26	3.38
7.75	1.36	2.79
8	1.47	2.61
8.25	1.50	2.38
8.75	1.68	2.03
9	1.89	1.92
9.25	1.90	1.80
9.75	2.14	1.57
10	2.42	1.54
10.25	2.52	1.44