OddsFilter

Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin• Liga Profesional Argentina, Argentina

#141.6:1.61-3FTToday · Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata1.4:1.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.62B365X3.18PIN23.00B365Margin at best2.9%Books10Markets71Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.613.182.983.3%
Bet3652.623.103.003.8%
Betano2.603.102.925.0%
1xBet2.583.082.935.4%
BetVictor2.553.132.885.9%
Dafabet2.553.052.857.1%
Marathonbet2.533.022.887.4%
Betfair2.503.102.808.0%
William Hill2.502.902.8010.2%
SBO2.412.992.7810.9%
Best of all books2.623.183.002.9%
Average2.553.062.886.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AldosiviSarmiento Junin
Last 10#14Table position#110.50Points per game1.196Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 51.653Attack rating4750Defence rating5046Form rating547H2H rating9357Goals model4339Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:30 UTC

Aldosivi

2W 1D 7L · goals 11:17 · per match 1.1 for, 1.7 against

4 OctAHuracan0-1L
21 SepHAtletico Tucuman1-0W
12 SepAIndepend. Rivadavia3-4L
5 SepHBanfield3-1W
30 AugAArgentinos JRS1-2L
26 AugHIndepend. Rivadavia0-2L
21 AugHUnion Santa Fe1-3L
15 AugHTigre0-0D
7 AugARosario Central1-2L
2 AugHGimnasia L.P.1-2L

Sarmiento Junin

5W 1D 4L · goals 17:16 · per match 1.7 for, 1.6 against

19 SepARacing Club1-3L
13 SepHBelgrano Cordoba1-1D
4 SepAEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto2-0W
28 AugAUnion Santa Fe1-4L
23 AugHEstudiantes L.P.2-0W
16 AugHHuracan2-0W
8 AugAAtletico Tucuman2-1W
3 AugHIndepend. Rivadavia2-1W
28 JulABanfield2-3L
23 JulHArgentinos JRS2-3L

Head to head

2Aldosivi wins
4draws
6Sarmiento Junin wins

12 meetings · goals 9:16 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Aldosivi

22 Mar 2026Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaSarmiento Junin2-0Aldosivi
14 Sep 2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaSarmiento Junin2-0Aldosivi
1 Mar 2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaAldosivi2-2Sarmiento Junin
3 Sep 2022Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaAldosivi1-2Sarmiento Junin
9 Oct 2021Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaSarmiento Junin3-0Aldosivi
24 Mar 2018Primera NacionalPrimera NacionalSarmiento Junin1-0Aldosivi
17 Dec 2016Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaSarmiento Junin0-2Aldosivi
2 Mar 2015Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaSarmiento Junin2-2Aldosivi
3 May 2014Primera NacionalPrimera NacionalSarmiento Junin0-1Aldosivi
3 Nov 2013Primera NacionalPrimera NacionalAldosivi0-0Sarmiento Junin

Liga Profesional Argentina tableApertura - Group Bupdated 9 Oct 21:40 UTC

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Aldosivi sit 14th with 8 points from 16 games, while Sarmiento Junin are 11th with 19 points from 16.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434
2River Plate1692522:12+1029
3Argentinos JRS1685317:13+429
4Rosario Central1684420:16+428
5Belgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026
7Huracan1657417:13+422
8Racing Club1656517:15+221
9Barracas Central1656515:15021
10Tigre1648418:15+320
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
12Banfield1653817:19-218
13Atletico Tucuman1635815:20-514
14Aldosivi160886:19-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.55X31%3.07233%2.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 00:019 Oct 14:001 2.55X 3.072 2.88
12.52 → 2.55 +1.2%X2.99 → 3.07 +2.7%22.98 → 2.88 -3.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.381.633.4%
Betano2.351.624.3%
1xBet2.371.595.1%
Betfair2.381.575.7%
SBO2.351.585.8%
Bet3652.301.606.0%
Marathonbet2.331.567.0%
BetVictor2.191.589.0%
Best of all books2.381.633.4%
Average2.331.595.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.931.826.8%
Bet3651.951.806.8%
1xBet1.931.788.0%
BetVictor1.931.788.0%
William Hill1.951.758.4%
Marathonbet1.931.768.6%
Best of all books1.951.826.2%
Average1.941.787.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aldosivi 10%Draw 45%Sarmiento Junin 45%

The statistical model rated Aldosivi at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sarmiento Junin at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.55 | 3.07 | 2.88, which imply roughly 32.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Profesional Argentina table: Aldosivi are 14th (8 pts, 6-19 goals), Sarmiento Junin 11th (19 pts, 13-20).

Over their last five matches, Aldosivi averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Sarmiento Junin averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sarmiento Junin.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Aldosivi

4-4-1-1

Coach: J. Sanguinetti

Goalkeeper

  • 23I. Chicco

Defence

  • 4R. González
  • 2L. Sigali
  • 33N. Zalazar
  • 13B. Cufré

Midfield

  • 8M. García
  • 5N. Linares
  • 19L. Castro
  • 10N. Gaitán
  • 11B. Palavecino

Attack

  • 9N. Cordero
Substitutes (11)
  • 80L. Chávez
  • 24F. Anso
  • 25N. Breitenbruch
  • 41Kevin Báez
  • 16B. Dadín
  • 27T. Fernández
  • 21M. Godoy
  • 7N. Guzmán
  • 17F. Laurelli
  • 28S. Moya
  • 15F. Perruzzi

Sarmiento Junin

4-4-2

Coach: Facundo Sava

Goalkeeper

  • 12T. Ayala

Defence

  • 20U. Giménez
  • 44R. Orihuela
  • 2J. Insaurralde
  • 3L. Suárez

Midfield

  • 10Jhon Rentería
  • 15C. Zabala
  • 16Mauricio Leonel Martínez
  • 23E. Giménez

Attack

  • 21J. Mavilla
  • 27J. Marabel
Substitutes (12)
  • 19J. Contrera
  • 6G. Arturia
  • 33G. Díaz
  • 5M. García
  • 11G. González
  • 24J. Herrera
  • 7P. Magnín
  • 17A. Nadruz
  • 77N. Pasquini
  • 8S. Salle
  • 29T. Santamaría
  • 1I. Arboleda

Match Statistics

AldosiviSarmiento Junin
0.87Expected Goals1.77
209Passes accurate247
9Shots insidebox7
5Shots outsidebox7
4Blocked Shots1
14Free Kicks17
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal10
1Offsides0
321Total passes346
14Total Shots14
5Yellow Cards3
6Corner Kicks1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
17Fouls15
0Red Cards0
49%Ball Possession51%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.553.072.88

Double chance

1XX212
1.381.481.34

Draw no bet

12
1.752.00

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.941.78

1st half

1X2
3.231.973.62

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.006.852.17

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.077.61
1.51.412.78
2.52.331.59
3.54.421.19
4.59.391.06
5.517.21.02
6.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.056.55
11.075.80
1.251.273.41
1.751.542.36
21.722.06
2.252.051.75
2.752.771.41
33.521.26
3.253.901.18
3.755.551.08
48.301.01
4.258.651.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.101.34
-0.52.531.51
-0.252.151.68
01.782.01
+0.251.522.43
+0.51.422.86
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.511.01.02
-210.01.01
-1.757.401.03
-1.55.581.11
-1.255.021.13
-14.481.17
+0.751.263.62
+11.125.51
+1.251.096.01
+1.51.086.43
+1.751.018.80
+2.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.293.40
4.51.572.30
5.51.911.79
6.52.851.39
7.54.051.22

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0310.0
5.51.057.85
6.51.134.97
7.51.283.28
8.51.522.37
9.51.921.81
10.52.461.49
11.53.351.27
12.54.731.13
13.56.851.07
14.59.001.04
15.511.01.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.283.05
8.251.402.66
8.751.542.25
91.742.05
9.251.741.98
9.751.951.74
102.151.68
10.252.241.56
10.752.561.40
11.253.061.30