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Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate• Liga Profesional Argentina, Argentina

#111.6:1.822:00Today · Estadio Eva Peron, Hu Ning2.0:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

17.50B365X4.06PIN21.60SBOMargin at best0.5%Books10Markets82Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 20:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano7.403.901.572.8%
Pinnacle6.994.031.553.6%
1xBet6.483.861.565.4%
Bet3657.003.701.555.8%
BetVictor6.503.901.536.4%
Dafabet6.403.901.527.1%
Marathonbet6.353.781.537.6%
Betfair6.503.901.507.7%
William Hill6.003.701.539.1%
SBO5.323.401.6010.7%
Best of all books7.404.031.600.8%
Average6.493.811.546.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sarmiento JuninRiver Plate
Last 10#11Table position#21.19Points per game1.817Form pts · last 5121.6Goals for · last 52.01.8Goals against · last 51.244Attack rating5640Defence rating6037Form rating6329H2H rating7147Goals model5337Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 19:10 UTC

Sarmiento Junin

6W 1D 3L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

9 OctAAldosivi3-1W
19 SepARacing Club1-3L
13 SepHBelgrano Cordoba1-1D
4 SepAEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto2-0W
28 AugAUnion Santa Fe1-4L
23 AugHEstudiantes L.P.2-0W
16 AugHHuracan2-0W
8 AugAAtletico Tucuman2-1W
3 AugHIndepend. Rivadavia2-1W
28 JulABanfield2-3L

River Plate

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against

11 OctHEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1-0W
19 SepHHuracan1-2L
12 SepAAtletico Tucuman2-1W
6 SepHIndepend. Rivadavia3-1W
30 AugABanfield3-2W
27 AugHSanta Fe1-1D
23 AugHVelez Sarsfield2-2D
20 AugASanta Fe0-0D
16 AugHArgentinos JRS2-0W
8 AugATigre0-1L

Head to head

2Sarmiento Junin wins
2draws
6River Plate wins

10 meetings · goals 7:21 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Sarmiento Junin

15 Mar 2026Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaRiver Plate2-0Sarmiento Junin
12 Oct 2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaRiver Plate0-1Sarmiento Junin
5 Apr 2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaSarmiento Junin1-1River Plate
28 Jul 2024Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaRiver Plate1-0Sarmiento Junin
20 Mar 2023Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaSarmiento Junin0-2River Plate
31 Jul 2022Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaRiver Plate1-2Sarmiento Junin
1 May 2022Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaSarmiento Junin0-7River Plate
30 Aug 2021Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaSarmiento Junin1-2River Plate
23 Apr 2017Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaRiver Plate1-1Sarmiento Junin
16 Feb 2015Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaSarmiento Junin1-4River Plate

Liga Profesional Argentina tableApertura - Group Bupdated 14 Oct 01:20 UTC

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Sarmiento Junin sit 11th with 19 points from 16 games, while River Plate are 2nd with 29 points from 16.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434
2River Plate1692522:12+1029
3Argentinos JRS1685317:13+429
4Rosario Central1684420:16+428
5Belgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026
7Huracan1657417:13+422
8Racing Club1656517:15+221
9Barracas Central1656515:15021
10Tigre1648418:15+320
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
12Banfield1653817:19-218
13Atletico Tucuman1635815:20-514
14Aldosivi160886:19-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg115%6.45X25%3.79261%1.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Oct 00:0114 Oct 17:501 6.45X 3.792 1.55
15.48 → 6.45 +17.7%X3.34 → 3.79 +13.5%21.71 → 1.55 -9.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.131.783.1%
Betano2.181.724.0%
1xBet2.121.725.3%
SBO2.311.605.8%
Bet3652.081.735.9%
Marathonbet2.091.697.0%
Betfair2.101.658.2%
BetVictor1.991.709.1%
Best of all books2.311.78-0.5%
Average2.131.705.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano2.151.657.1%
Bet3652.101.677.5%
William Hill2.101.677.5%
1xBet2.151.637.9%
Betfair2.201.608.0%
BetVictor2.101.658.2%
Marathonbet2.151.618.6%
Best of all books2.201.675.3%
Average2.141.647.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sarmiento Junin 10%Draw 45%River Plate 45%

The statistical model rates Sarmiento Junin at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and River Plate at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.45 | 3.79 | 1.55, which imply roughly 26.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Profesional Argentina table: Sarmiento Junin are 11th (19 pts, 13-20 goals), River Plate 2nd (29 pts, 22-12).

Over their last five matches, Sarmiento Junin averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; River Plate averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or River Plate.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
6.493.811.54

Double chance

1XX212
2.411.101.23

Draw no bet

12
4.721.16

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.141.64

1st half

1X2
6.532.142.12

2nd half

1X2
5.862.461.90

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 111.018.126.3
HT X12.35.204.04
HT 254.416.02.32

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.428.001.44

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.058.43
1.51.343.10
2.52.131.70
3.53.771.24
4.57.651.06
5.515.41.02
6.534.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.046.90
11.066.30
1.251.193.78
1.751.432.63
21.602.27
2.251.881.90
2.752.401.54
33.001.34
3.253.201.26
3.754.501.13
46.201.06
4.256.551.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.253.081.33
+0.52.461.54
+0.752.121.70
+11.821.97
+1.251.612.25
+1.51.482.58
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.511.01.02
-18.801.02
-0.757.501.03
-0.56.601.11
-0.255.341.13
04.781.16
+1.751.323.08
+21.194.21
+2.251.164.46
+2.51.144.96
+2.751.086.30
+31.018.90
+3.51.0210.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.243.75
4.51.502.50
5.52.041.72
6.52.571.47
7.53.651.26

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0212.0
4.51.049.50
5.51.066.60
6.51.174.17
7.51.402.74
8.51.692.07
9.52.141.64
10.52.841.35
11.53.961.19
12.55.801.10
13.58.251.04
14.59.501.04
15.511.51.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.251.303.13
7.751.402.64
81.542.41
8.251.582.23
8.751.761.93
91.921.85
9.252.011.70
9.752.261.51
102.551.49
10.252.701.39