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Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba• Liga Profesional Argentina, Argentina

0.8:1.01-4FT02/10 · Libertadores de America, Buenos Aires1.6:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.59PINX3.00BVC23.25B365Margin at best2.7%Books9Markets49Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.353.123.314.8%
Betano2.353.003.454.9%
1xBet2.363.053.325.3%
BetVictor2.303.103.306.0%
Marathonbet2.312.993.257.5%
Betfair2.303.003.257.6%
Bet3652.252.903.408.3%
William Hill2.302.903.209.2%
SBO2.192.802.9715.0%
Best of all books2.363.123.453.4%
Average2.302.983.277.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

IndependienteInstituto Cordoba
Last 108Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 51.033Attack rating6750Defence rating5044Form rating5650H2H rating5055Goals model4548Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:02 UTC

Independiente

3W 3D 4L · goals 8:15 · per match 0.8 for, 1.5 against

12 OctATalleres Cordoba0-0D
2 OctHInstituto Cordoba1-4L
19 SepAUnion Santa Fe2-1W
13 SepHSan Lorenzo1-1D
6 SepACentral Cordoba de Santiago1-0W
30 AugHGimnasia M.0-3L
22 AugHIndepend. Rivadavia0-0D
17 AugALanus3-1W
12 AugAAtletico Tucuman0-4L
9 AugHPlatense0-1L

Instituto Cordoba

6W 3D 1L · goals 17:9 · per match 1.7 for, 0.9 against

9 OctHBoca Juniors2-2D
2 OctAIndependiente4-1W
20 SepHTalleres Cordoba3-1W
15 SepHEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto2-1W
8 SepAUnion Santa Fe2-3L
1 SepHSan Lorenzo1-0W
28 AugAPlatense1-1D
22 AugAAtletico Tucuman0-0D
16 AugACentral Cordoba de Santiago1-0W
9 AugHGimnasia M.1-0W

Head to head

4Independiente wins
3draws
2Instituto Cordoba wins

9 meetings · goals 12:8 · last 9: 4W 3D 2L for Independiente

17 Mar 2026Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaInstituto Cordoba2-1Independiente
30 Aug 2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaInstituto Cordoba0-0Independiente
22 Feb 2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaIndependiente2-0Instituto Cordoba
19 Jul 2024Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaInstituto Cordoba3-1Independiente
18 Feb 2024Copa de la Liga ProfesionalCopa de la Liga ProfesionalInstituto Cordoba0-2Independiente
24 Sep 2023Copa de la Liga ProfesionalCopa de la Liga ProfesionalIndependiente0-0Instituto Cordoba
5 Mar 2023Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaIndependiente2-2Instituto Cordoba
1 Jun 2014Primera NacionalPrimera NacionalInstituto Cordoba1-2Independiente
2 Dec 2013Primera NacionalPrimera NacionalIndependiente2-0Instituto Cordoba

Liga Profesional Argentina tableApertura - Group Bupdated 17 Oct 04:10 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434
2River Plate1692522:12+1029
3Argentinos JRS1685317:13+429
4Rosario Central1684420:16+428
5Belgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026
7Huracan1657417:13+422
8Racing Club1656517:15+221
9Barracas Central1656515:15021
10Tigre1648418:15+320
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
12Banfield1653817:19-218
13Atletico Tucuman1635815:20-514
14Aldosivi160886:19-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.47X32%2.90230%3.10

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Sep 00:012 Oct 19:311 2.47X 2.912 3.11
12.30 → 2.47 +7.4%X2.98 → 2.91 -2.3%23.27 → 3.11 -4.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano2.651.523.5%
Pinnacle2.601.514.7%
Bet3652.601.486.0%
1xBet2.531.487.1%
Marathonbet2.531.487.1%
BetVictor2.411.489.1%
Best of all books2.651.523.5%
Average2.551.496.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano2.071.707.1%
Bet3652.101.677.5%
William Hill2.001.737.8%
1xBet2.081.678.0%
BetVictor2.101.658.2%
Marathonbet2.081.658.7%
Best of all books2.101.735.4%
Average2.071.687.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Independiente 10%Draw 45%Instituto Cordoba 45%

The statistical model rated Independiente at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Instituto Cordoba at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.47 | 2.90 | 3.10, which imply roughly 34.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Independiente averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Instituto Cordoba averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Instituto Cordoba.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Independiente

4-3-3

Coach: Jádson Viera

Goalkeeper

  • 33R. Rey

Defence

  • 29L. Godoy
  • 13J. Fedorco
  • 2F. Calderón
  • 7S. Montiel

Midfield

  • 23I. Marcone
  • 8M. Meza

Attack

  • 9I. Morales
  • 19M. Abaldo

Squad

  • 39R. Martino
  • 16M. Perez
Substitutes (12)
  • 20Facundo Cruz
  • 32D. Martínez
  • 14Lautaro Millán
  • 24J. Palais
  • 30Tomás Parmo
  • 34Felipe Tempone
  • 36S. Valdez
  • 10L. Cabral
  • 1J. Blázquez
  • 5N. Banegas
  • 6E. Ávila
  • 4S. Arias

Instituto Cordoba

3-4-3

Coach: Diego Flores

Goalkeeper

  • 29M. Ledesma

Defence

  • 30J. Galván
  • 26L. Mosevich
  • 22A. Massaccesi
  • 44G. Cerato
  • 3D. Sosa

Midfield

  • 55G. Abregú
  • 15M. Gallardo
  • 21J. Lázaro

Attack

  • 17M. Tissera
  • 10A. Luna
Substitutes (12)
  • 2H. De La Fuente
  • 11M. Fonseca
  • 7N. Guerra
  • 23J. Meli
  • 13I. Méndez
  • 73Lucas Olivera
  • 19L. Sanseviero
  • 35E. Sittaro
  • 9F. Suárez
  • 14W. Viera
  • 8J. Acevedo
  • 32A. Bravo

Match Statistics

IndependienteInstituto Cordoba
224Passes accurate271
4Shots insidebox8
4Shots outsidebox5
1Blocked Shots3
9Free Kicks13
2Shots on Goal6
2Goalkeeper Saves1
5Shots off Goal4
299Total passes339
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots13
2Yellow Cards3
3Corner Kicks7
0Offsides4
13Fouls9
47%Ball Possession53%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.302.983.27

Double chance

1XX212
1.311.571.36

Draw no bet

12
1.602.23

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.071.68

1st half

1X2
3.071.904.00

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.876.402.38

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.096.59
1.51.512.48
2.52.551.49
3.55.041.15
4.511.51.03
5.520.31.01
6.551.0–
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.085.70
11.105.00
1.251.323.27
1.751.642.16
21.891.85
2.252.221.63
2.753.041.34
34.001.18
3.254.391.14
3.756.151.06
49.10–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.751.40
-0.52.291.61
-0.251.951.83
01.602.28
+0.251.412.74
+0.51.323.30
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.01.03
-29.201.02
-1.756.431.08
-1.54.851.14
-1.254.351.18
-13.881.22
+0.751.194.13
+11.076.57
+1.251.046.90
+1.51.047.43

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.52.151.65

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.313.30
8.51.552.35
9.51.961.82
10.52.551.47
11.53.501.28