OddsFilter

IndependientevsGimnasia M.

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

30/08
22:15UTC
IndependienteIndependiente5th24 pts
0-3
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.11th19 pts
finished

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Independiente sit 5th with 24 points from 16 games, while Gimnasia M. are 11th with 19 points from 16 — the full standings are below.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Independiente 45%Draw 45%Gimnasia M. 10%

The statistical model rated Independiente at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gimnasia M. at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.71 | 3.45 | 5.33, which imply roughly 58.5% for a Independiente win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Profesional Argentina table: Independiente are 5th (24 pts, 24-20 goals), Gimnasia M. 11th (19 pts, 14-22).

Over their last five matches, Independiente averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Gimnasia M. averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Independiente or draw.

Independiente vs Gimnasia M. — model comparison

44%
Form
56%
33%
Attack
67%
63%
Defence
38%
80%
Head to head
20%
60%
Goals
40%
58.8%
Overall
41.3%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

Starting Lineups

Independiente

4-1-4-1

Coach: Jadson Viera

Goalkeeper

  • 33Rodrigo Rey

Defence

  • 29Leonardo Godoy
  • 26Kevin Lomónaco
  • 35Juan Miguel Arrayago
  • 22Facundo Zabala

Midfield

  • 23Iván Marcone
  • 7Santiago Montiel
  • 14Lautaro Millán
  • 28Maximiliano Gutiérrez
  • 24Josias Palais

Attack

  • 34Felipe Tempone
Substitutes (12)
  • 77Santiago Mele
  • 39Ramiro Martino
  • 40Joshua Velárdez
  • 13Juan Fedorco
  • 2Franco Calderón
  • 16Mateo Perez Curci
  • 32David Martínez
  • 8Maxi Meza
  • 20Facundo Cruz
  • 19Matías Abaldo
  • 10Luciano Cabral
  • 6Chimy Ávila

Gimnasia M.

4-3-3

Coach: Ariel Broggi

Goalkeeper

  • 23Cesar Rigamonti

Defence

  • 32Luciano Paredes
  • 2Diego Mondino
  • 4Ezequiel Muñoz
  • 3Matias Recalde

Midfield

  • 28Tomás O'Connor
  • 21Fermin Antonini
  • 26Facundo Lencioni

Attack

  • 7Luciano Cingolani
  • 9Agustín Modica
  • 30Esteban Fernández
Substitutes (12)
  • 31Lautaro Petruchi
  • 36Ismael Cortez
  • 16Germán Guiffrey
  • 42Lautaro Carrera
  • 15Ulises Sánchez
  • 33Brian Andrada
  • 5Nahuel Barboza
  • 19Julian Ceballos
  • 17Ignacio Sabatini
  • 8Matías Vargas
  • 35Valentino Simoni
  • 11Santiago Rodríguez

Match Statistics

IndependienteGimnasia M.
3Shots on Goal2
1Shots off Goal2
5Total Shots5
1Blocked Shots1
4Shots insidebox2
1Shots outsidebox3
5Fouls10
0Corner Kicks1
1Offsides1
61%Ball Possession39%
1Yellow Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
285Total passes178
225Passes accurate128
79%Passes %72%
0.66Expected Goals0.29
0.92Goals Prevented0.92

Betting Odds

Full time

1

1.61

X

3.63

2

5.80

Double chance

1X

1.12

X2

2.24

12

1.25

Both teams to score

Yes

2.11

No

1.66

Match goals

Over 2.5

2.17

Under 2.5

1.67

Over 3.5

4.00

Under 3.5

1.22

Over 0.5

1.06

Under 0.5

8.10

Over 4.5

8.14

Under 4.5

1.06

Over 1.5

1.38

Under 1.5

2.95

Over 1.75

1.48

Under 1.75

2.54

Over 2

1.63

Under 2

2.19

Over 2.25

1.91

Under 2.25

1.86

Over 2.75

2.51

Under 2.75

1.49

Over 0.75

1.05

Under 0.75

6.70

Over 1

1.06

Under 1

6.05

Over 1.25

1.21

Under 1.25

3.58

Over 3

3.13

Under 3

1.33

Over 3.25

3.35

Under 3.25

1.25

Over 3.75

4.64

Under 3.75

1.12

Over 4

6.45

Under 4

1.05

Over 4.25

6.75

Under 4.25

1.04

Over 5.5

17.25

Under 5.5

1.02

Over 6.5

43.00

Draw no bet

1

1.19

2

4.13

Asian handicap

Away 2.5

1.11

1st half

1

2.16

X

2.10

2

6.09

Corners 2-Way

Over 9

1.78

Under 9

1.98

First team to score

Home

1.50

No Goal

7.73

Away

3.22

Cards in match

Over 5.5

1.98

Under 5.5

1.74