Finn Harps vs 
Kerry• First Division, Ireland
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Sep 02:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.74 | 3.30 | 2.51 | 6.6% |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.25 | 2.47 | 9.0% |
| Betfair | 3.90 | 3.60 | 1.75 | 10.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.64 | 3.14 | 2.38 | 11.7% |
| Marathonbet | 2.64 | 3.14 | 2.38 | 11.7% |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 12.3% |
| SBO | 2.56 | 3.01 | 2.24 | 16.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.74 | 3.60 | 2.51 | 4.1% |
| Average | 2.82 | 3.21 | 2.31 | 9.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:31 UTC
Finn Harps
1W 0D 9L · goals 10:28 · per match 1.0 for, 2.8 against
| 2 Oct | H | Kerry | 1-2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Treaty United | 1-2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Longford Town | 0-1 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Wexford | 3-1 | W |
| 4 Sep | H | Athlone Town | 0-1 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | UCD | 4-5 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | Cobh Ramblers | 1-3 | L |
| 7 Aug | A | Bray Wanderers | 0-5 | L |
| 3 Aug | A | Longford Town | 0-5 | L |
| 31 Jul | H | Cork City | 0-3 | L |
Kerry
5W 1D 4L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against
| 2 Oct | A | Finn Harps | 2-1 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Wexford | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Athlone Town | 0-3 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | Bray Wanderers | 0-1 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Longford Town | 1-0 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | Treaty United | 3-1 | W |
| 21 Aug | H | UCD | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | Sligo Rovers | 0-4 | L |
| 7 Aug | A | Cork City | 1-3 | L |
| 3 Aug | H | Cobh Ramblers | 3-0 | W |
Head to head
15 meetings · goals 15:14 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Finn Harps
| 24 Jul 2026First Division | First Division | Kerry2-1Finn Harps |
| 8 May 2026First Division | First Division | Finn Harps1-0Kerry |
| 20 Mar 2026First Division | First Division | Kerry1-0Finn Harps |
| 13 Oct 2025First Division | First Division | Finn Harps1-1Kerry |
| 8 Aug 2025First Division | First Division | Kerry0-1Finn Harps |
| 18 Apr 2025First Division | First Division | Finn Harps4-2Kerry |
| 14 Feb 2025First Division | First Division | Kerry2-0Finn Harps |
| 27 Sep 2024First Division | First Division | Kerry1-1Finn Harps |
| 4 Jul 2024First Division | First Division | Finn Harps1-0Kerry |
| 24 May 2024First Division | First Division | Kerry2-0Finn Harps |
First Division tableFirst Divisionupdated 9 Oct 00:21 UTC
In the First Division table, Finn Harps sit 10th with 25 points from 34 games, while Kerry are 6th with 48 points from 34.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 71:34 | +37 | 71 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 65:49 | +16 | 53 |
| 3 | UCD | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 61:48 | +13 | 52 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 47:45 | +2 | 48 |
| 6 | Kerry | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 42:40 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 41:40 | +1 | 48 |
| 8 | Wexford | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40:51 | -11 | 41 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:52 | -19 | 36 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 31:68 | -37 | 25 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 1.96 | 5.7% |
| SBO | 1.83 | 1.93 | 6.5% |
| Betano | 1.78 | 1.93 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 1.90 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 1.90 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.83 | 1.96 | 5.7% |
| Average | 1.80 | 1.92 | 7.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.67 | 2.10 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 2.16 | 8.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 2.12 | 9.3% |
| Betano | 1.57 | 2.12 | 10.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.67 | 2.16 | 6.2% |
| Average | 1.62 | 2.13 | 9.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Finn Harps at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Kerry at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.67 | 3.51 | 1.83, which imply roughly 28.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the First Division table: Finn Harps are 10th (25 pts, 31-68 goals), Kerry 6th (48 pts, 42-40).
Over their last five matches, Finn Harps averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Kerry averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Kerry.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.82 | 3.21 | 2.31 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | 1.34 | 1.27 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.93 | 1.74 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.62 | 2.13 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.39 | 2.15 | 2.86 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.01 | 11.5 | 1.88 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 10.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.23 | 3.53 |
| 2.5 | 1.80 | 1.92 |
| 3.5 | 2.83 | 1.35 |
| 4.5 | 5.36 | 1.11 |
| 5.5 | 10.3 | 1.02 |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 8.82 |
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.40 |
| 1.25 | 1.11 | 4.85 |
| 1.75 | 1.27 | 3.14 |
| 2 | 1.35 | 2.84 |
| 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.22 |
| 2.75 | 1.98 | 1.73 |
| 3 | 2.32 | 1.52 |
| 3.25 | 2.56 | 1.43 |
| 3.75 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| 4 | 4.65 | 1.12 |
| 4.25 | 5.00 | 1.10 |
| 4.75 | 6.95 | 1.04 |
| 5 | 9.20 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.74 | 1.44 |
| -0.25 | 2.29 | 1.55 |
| 0 | 1.95 | 1.77 |
| +0.25 | 1.69 | 2.04 |
| +0.5 | 1.68 | 2.18 |
| +0.75 | 1.47 | 2.63 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 9.80 | 1.01 |
| -1.75 | 7.10 | 1.04 |
| -1.5 | 5.35 | 1.09 |
| -1.25 | 4.95 | 1.11 |
| -1 | 4.56 | 1.15 |
| -0.75 | 3.21 | 1.28 |
| +1 | 1.19 | 3.92 |
| +1.25 | 1.19 | 4.03 |
| +1.5 | 1.20 | 4.14 |
| +1.75 | 1.14 | 5.16 |
| +2.25 | 1.07 | 5.90 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 9.50 |
| +2.75 | 1.02 | 7.70 |
| +3 | 1.01 | 9.50 |