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Bohemians vs Waterford• Premier Division, Ireland

#32.2:1.22-1FTToday · Dalymount Park, Dublin1.4:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.64PINX4.32PIN24.93PINMargin at best4.4%Books6Markets88Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 16:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.644.324.934.4%
1xBet1.634.254.546.9%
Marathonbet1.614.254.607.4%
Bet3651.624.004.509.0%
William Hill1.623.904.609.1%
BetVictor1.604.004.509.7%
Best of all books1.644.324.934.4%
Average1.624.124.617.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BohemiansWaterford
Last 10#3Table position#81.79Points per game1.067Form pts · last 582.2Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.261Attack rating3950Defence rating5067Form rating3350H2H rating5066Goals model3457Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 18:51 UTC

Bohemians

6W 2D 2L · goals 21:12 · per match 2.1 for, 1.2 against

12 OctAShamrock Rovers1-2L
9 OctHWaterford0-2L
2 OctADundalk2-1W
26 SepHBohemians 19050-0D
18 SepHDrogheda United2-1W
11 SepAGalway United3-2W
5 SepASt Patrick's Athl.1-1D
28 AugHSligo Rovers3-0W
21 AugHDerry City5-3W
16 AugHLongford Town4-0W

Waterford

6W 3D 1L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against

9 OctABohemians2-0W
18 SepAShamrock Rovers2-3L
14 SepHDerry City2-2D
11 SepHDundalk1-1D
4 SepHSligo Rovers3-0W
28 AugASt Patrick's Athl.2-0W
21 AugASligo Rovers0-0D
14 AugHAthlone Town2-1W
9 AugHBohemians3-1W
2 AugHShelbourne1-0W

Head to head

9Bohemians wins
4draws
11Waterford wins

24 meetings · goals 29:27 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Bohemians

9 Oct 2026FAI CupFAI CupBohemians0-2Waterford
9 Aug 2026Premier DivisionPremier DivisionWaterford3-1Bohemians
6 Apr 2026Premier DivisionPremier DivisionBohemians1-1Waterford
6 Mar 2026Premier DivisionPremier DivisionWaterford0-1Bohemians
30 Jan 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsWaterford1-4Bohemians
19 Sep 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionBohemians2-1Waterford
20 Jun 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionWaterford2-1Bohemians
2 May 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionBohemians1-2Waterford
7 Mar 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionWaterford0-3Bohemians
25 Oct 2024Premier DivisionPremier DivisionWaterford1-1Bohemians

Premier Division tablePremier Divisionupdated 16 Oct 20:41 UTC

In the Premier Division table, Bohemians sit 3rd with 59 points from 33 games, while Waterford are 8th with 34 points from 32.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers33198654:33+2165
2St Patrick's Athl.32178752:25+2759
3Bohemians33178858:40+1859
4Shelbourne3310131047:46+143
5Derry City32914945:42+341
6Dundalk3310111250:55-541
7Galway United329111242:48-638
8Waterford327131244:54-1034
9Drogheda United338101539:54-1534
10Sligo Rovers33582025:59-3423

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.62X23%4.12220%4.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13 Oct 00:0016 Oct 17:501 1.62X 4.122 4.61
11.39 → 1.62 +16.5%X4.90 → 4.12 -15.9%26.40 → 4.61 -28.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.532.594.0%
Bet3651.532.407.0%
BetVictor1.502.369.0%
1xBet1.452.4110.5%
Marathonbet1.452.4110.5%
Best of all books1.532.594.0%
Average1.492.438.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.522.378.0%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
William Hill1.502.408.3%
BetVictor1.502.388.7%
Marathonbet1.522.338.7%
Best of all books1.572.405.4%
Average1.522.358.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bohemians 45%Draw 45%Waterford 10%

The statistical model rated Bohemians at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Waterford at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 4.12 | 4.61, which imply roughly 61.7% for a Bohemians win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier Division table: Bohemians are 3rd (59 pts, 58-40 goals), Waterford 8th (34 pts, 44-54).

Over their last five matches, Bohemians averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Waterford averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bohemians or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Bohemians

4-2-3-1

Coach: A. Reynolds

Goalkeeper

  • 25P. Walters

Defence

  • 16D. Power
  • 24C. Byrne
  • 22S. Todd
  • 3R. Burke

Midfield

  • 5S. Diallo
  • 6J. Flores
  • 26R. Tierney
  • 8H. Vaughan
  • 7C. Parsons

Attack

  • 18D. James-Taylor
Substitutes (9)
  • 9C. Whelan
  • 12P. Hickey
  • 1K. Chorążka
  • 21Josh Adam
  • 41P. Madden
  • 4N. Morahan
  • 23Zane Myers
  • 11D. Rooney
  • 32M. Strods

Waterford

3-4-1-2

Coach: G. Coughlan

Goalkeeper

  • 1S. McMullan

Defence

  • 16H. Cann
  • 5J. Mahon
  • 13K. Long

Midfield

  • 2J. Houston
  • 15L. Heeney
  • 7N. Mawene
  • 3Benny Couto
  • 10C. Noonan

Attack

  • 9P. Amond
  • 18T. Lonergan
Substitutes (9)
  • 6J. Ashton
  • 56A. Brennan
  • 11T. Coyle
  • 21Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
  • 17J. Faria
  • 8E. McLaughlin
  • 27D. McMenamy
  • 32G. Amedu
  • 20J. Voilås

Match Statistics

BohemiansWaterford
0.56Expected Goals1.28
420Passes accurate196
7Shots insidebox6
3Shots outsidebox3
2Blocked Shots2
13Free Kicks10
6Shots on Goal4
3Goalkeeper Saves4
2Shots off Goal3
2Offsides2
546Total passes313
10Total Shots9
2Yellow Cards0
3Corner Kicks4
11Fouls14
0Red Cards0
62%Ball Possession38%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.624.124.61

Double chance

1XX212
1.182.181.20

Draw no bet

12
1.273.53

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.522.35

1st half

1X2
2.082.514.71

2nd half

1X2
1.932.854.25

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3714.433.7
HT X4.807.0710.7
HT 219.415.47.77

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5020.32.56

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.8
1.51.135.11
2.51.492.43
3.52.251.60
4.53.801.22
5.57.231.07
6.517.01.02
7.529.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0310.5
1.751.144.45
21.174.00
2.251.312.92
2.751.592.20
31.761.95
3.252.001.75
3.752.511.47
43.021.30
4.253.281.25
4.754.351.14
55.751.07
5.256.051.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.521.46
-1.252.271.59
-12.021.76
-0.751.751.99
-0.51.602.29
-0.251.422.67
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.301.01
-37.701.02
-2.755.611.10
-2.54.401.16
-2.254.101.18
-23.861.22
-1.752.981.35
01.263.52
+0.251.214.01
+0.751.105.53
+11.028.00
+1.51.018.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.094.89
8.51.253.25
9.51.502.40
10.51.801.94
11.52.261.57
12.53.011.30
13.54.261.14
14.56.351.03
15.55.071.06
22 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.114.68
81.124.46
8.251.193.70
8.751.293.06
91.332.89
9.251.422.57
9.751.572.23
101.652.16
10.251.741.97
10.751.941.76
112.021.76
11.252.191.59
11.752.501.45
122.761.36
12.252.901.32
12.753.401.23
133.921.17
13.254.091.15
13.754.921.09
145.951.05
14.256.151.04
157.081.01