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Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc• Serie A, Brazil

#131.2:1.621:00Tomorrow · Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro1.0:2.4#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.371XBX5.67PIN29.50B365Margin at best1.2%Books6Markets88Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:02 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.375.357.854.4%
Pinnacle1.315.678.765.4%
Bet3651.335.009.505.7%
Marathonbet1.345.107.507.6%
BetVictor1.305.258.507.7%
William Hill1.335.007.508.5%
Best of all books1.375.679.501.2%
Average1.335.238.276.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BotafogoChapecoense-sc
Last 10#13Table position#201.20Points per game0.625Form pts · last 521.2Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 52.455Attack rating4560Defence rating4056Form rating4471H2H rating2968Goals model3263Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 12:50 UTC

Botafogo

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against

12 OctACoritiba1-1D
7 OctHVasco DA Gama1-2L
19 SepAMirassol0-2L
16 SepHGremio3-2W
12 SepHRB Bragantino1-1D
6 SepHPalmeiras0-0D
30 AugAFlamengo0-3L
24 AugHAtletico Paranaense2-3L
21 AugHCienciano1-0W
16 AugAVitoria0-1L

Chapecoense-sc

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:21 · per match 1.2 for, 2.1 against

12 OctHAtletico Paranaense1-4L
7 OctAVitoria0-4L
26 SepAAtletico Nacional1-1D
19 SepAAtletico-MG1-1D
12 SepHInternacional1-2L
6 SepACorinthians2-1W
30 AugAGremio1-3L
23 AugHSao Paulo1-0W
16 AugHBahia3-3D
8 AugACoritiba1-2L

Head to head

8Botafogo wins
1draws
4Chapecoense-sc wins

13 meetings · goals 14:10 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Botafogo

14 May 2026Copa Do BrasilCopa Do BrasilChapecoense-sc2-0Botafogo
21 Apr 2026Copa Do BrasilCopa Do BrasilBotafogo1-0Chapecoense-sc
18 Apr 2026Serie ASerie AChapecoense-sc1-4Botafogo
27 Nov 2019Serie ASerie AChapecoense-SC0-1Botafogo
26 Aug 2019Serie ASerie ABotafogo0-0Chapecoense-SC
15 Nov 2018Serie ASerie AChapecoense-sc0-1Botafogo
26 Jul 2018Serie ASerie ABotafogo1-0Chapecoense-sc
11 Oct 2017Serie ASerie ABotafogo2-1Chapecoense-sc
18 Jun 2017Serie ASerie AChapecoense-sc0-2Botafogo
16 Nov 2016Serie ASerie ABotafogo0-2Chapecoense-sc

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 16 Oct 03:50 UTC

In the Serie A table, Botafogo sit 13th with 36 points from 30 games, while Chapecoense-sc are 20th with 18 points from 29.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Flamengo30197458:25+3364
2Palmeiras30189352:22+3063
3Atletico Paranaense30158749:35+1453
4Fluminense30149748:37+1151
5Bahia301310744:36+849
6Cruzeiro301461046:44+248
7Atletico-MG30138941:35+647
8Santos301191046:45+142
9RB Bragantino301171238:35+340
10Sao Paulo301161335:35039
11Coritiba301091138:48-1039
12Vitoria301061433:44-1136
13Botafogo30991243:48-536
14Vasco DA Gama29981236:42-635
15Mirassol30891334:44-1033
16Corinthians30881431:38-732
17Internacional307111233:38-532
18Gremio307101332:40-831
19Remo305101533:48-1525
20Chapecoense-sc29391730:61-3118

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg171%1.33X18%5.23211%8.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0116 Oct 09:001 1.33X 5.232 8.27
11.40 → 1.33 -5.0%X4.74 → 5.23 +10.3%27.04 → 8.27 +17.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.482.684.9%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
BetVictor1.452.607.4%
1xBet1.442.4310.6%
Marathonbet1.442.4310.6%
Best of all books1.502.684.0%
Average1.462.538.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.801.956.8%
William Hill1.702.057.6%
1xBet1.722.017.9%
Marathonbet1.721.988.6%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.802.054.3%
Average1.732.007.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Botafogo 45%Draw 45%Chapecoense-sc 10%

The statistical model rates Botafogo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Chapecoense-sc at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.33 | 5.23 | 8.27, which imply roughly 75.2% for a Botafogo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Botafogo are 13th (36 pts, 43-48 goals), Chapecoense-sc 20th (18 pts, 30-61).

Over their last five matches, Botafogo averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Chapecoense-sc averaged 1 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Botafogo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.335.238.27

Double chance

1XX212
1.073.151.15

Draw no bet

12
1.096.83

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.732.00

1st half

1X2
1.732.697.08

2nd half

1X2
1.613.056.20

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.8618.150.7
HT X4.138.2018.1
HT 219.219.414.0

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3318.43.32

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.0
1.51.135.18
2.51.462.53
3.52.211.65
4.53.741.24
5.56.941.08
6.515.01.03
7.526.01.01
8.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0211.0
1.251.066.05
1.751.134.50
21.164.05
2.251.312.92
2.751.572.24
31.721.99
3.251.971.79
3.752.481.47
42.971.31
4.253.201.26
4.754.301.15
55.701.08
5.255.951.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.551.45
-1.752.171.66
-1.51.931.86
-1.251.692.06
-11.472.49
-0.751.382.84
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-410.01.01
-3.55.771.09
-3.255.481.11
-35.121.12
-2.753.791.21
-2.53.151.31
-2.252.881.37
-0.51.323.45
-0.251.203.89
01.096.00
+0.251.086.30

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.52.001.73

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.074.90
7.51.144.13
8.51.302.96
9.51.582.22
10.51.961.76
11.52.431.46
12.53.071.26
13.54.141.13
14.54.871.07
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.084.70
81.193.35
8.751.312.86
91.422.57
9.251.432.56
9.751.612.24
101.791.99
10.251.751.92
10.751.941.68
112.251.55
11.252.191.52
11.752.491.36
122.821.28
12.252.901.27
133.751.15
144.851.07