Atletico-MG vs Coritiba• Serie A, Brazil

#71.8:1.021:30Tomorrow · Arena MRV, Bello Harisanta1.0:3.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.53B365X4.431XB26.50B365Margin at best3.3%Books6Markets82Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 20:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.52	4.43	6.34	4.1%
Pinnacle	1.52	4.21	6.38	5.2%
Bet365	1.53	4.00	6.50	5.7%
Marathonbet	1.47	4.30	6.15	7.5%
BetVictor	1.50	4.10	6.00	7.7%
William Hill	1.50	4.00	5.80	8.9%
Best of all books	1.53	4.43	6.50	3.3%
Average	1.51	4.17	6.19	6.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico-MGCoritiba

Last 10#7Table position#111.57Points per game1.3011Form pts · last 521.8Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 53.064Attack rating3675Defence rating2585Form rating1550H2H rating5064Goals model3664Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 16:50 UTC

Atletico-MG

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

14 Oct	H	Atletico Torque	3-0	W
11 Oct	H	Santos	2-1	W
8 Oct	A	Atletico Paranaense	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	RB Bragantino	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Chapecoense-sc	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Santos	4-2	W
12 Sep	H	Fluminense	3-1	W
9 Sep	A	Santos	0-2	L
5 Sep	A	Sao Paulo	0-2	L
2 Sep	H	Cruzeiro	2-1	W

Coritiba

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:21 · per match 1.3 for, 2.1 against

12 Oct	H	Botafogo	1-1	D
9 Oct	A	Fluminense	0-4	L
19 Sep	A	Vasco DA Gama	0-5	L
12 Sep	H	Atletico Paranaense	3-3	D
6 Sep	H	Mirassol	1-2	L
31 Aug	A	Remo	3-2	W
23 Aug	H	Corinthians	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Sao Paulo	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Chapecoense-sc	2-1	W
31 Jul	H	Cruzeiro	0-1	L

Head to head

12Atletico-MG wins

2draws

7Coritiba wins

21 meetings · goals 29:19 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for Atletico-MG

19 Apr 2026Serie A	Serie A	Coritiba2-0Atletico-MG
8 Oct 2023Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG1-2Coritiba
20 May 2023Serie A	Serie A	Coritiba1-2Atletico-MG
14 Aug 2022Serie A	Serie A	Coritiba0-1Atletico-MG
24 Apr 2022Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG2-2Coritiba
26 Dec 2020Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG2-0Coritiba
6 Sep 2020Serie A	Serie A	Coritiba0-1Atletico-MG
19 Nov 2017Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG3-0Coritiba
30 Jul 2017Serie A	Serie A	Coritiba0-2Atletico-MG
6 Nov 2016Serie A	Serie A	Coritiba2-0Atletico-MG

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 16 Oct 03:50 UTC

In the Serie A table, Atletico-MG sit 7th with 47 points from 30 games, while Coritiba are 11th with 39 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	58:25	+33	64
2	Palmeiras	30	18	9	3	52:22	+30	63
3	Atletico Paranaense	30	15	8	7	49:35	+14	53
4	Fluminense	30	14	9	7	48:37	+11	51
5	Bahia	30	13	10	7	44:36	+8	49
6	Cruzeiro	30	14	6	10	46:44	+2	48
7	Atletico-MG	30	13	8	9	41:35	+6	47
8	Santos	30	11	9	10	46:45	+1	42
9	RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	38:35	+3	40
10	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	35:35	0	39
11	Coritiba	30	10	9	11	38:48	-10	39
12	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	33:44	-11	36
13	Botafogo	30	9	9	12	43:48	-5	36
14	Vasco DA Gama	29	9	8	12	36:42	-6	35
15	Mirassol	30	8	9	13	34:44	-10	33
16	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	31:38	-7	32
17	Internacional	30	7	11	12	33:38	-5	32
18	Gremio	30	7	10	13	32:40	-8	31
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25
20	Chapecoense-sc	29	3	9	17	30:61	-31	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.51X23%4.17215%6.20

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.46 → 1.51 +3.4%X4.22 → 4.17 -1.2%26.88 → 6.20 -9.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.80	2.06	4.1%
Pinnacle	1.79	2.07	4.2%
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Marathonbet	1.75	2.01	6.9%
BetVictor	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Best of all books	1.80	2.07	3.9%
Average	1.76	2.03	6.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.95	6.8%
William Hill	1.80	1.95	6.8%
1xBet	1.84	1.86	8.1%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.84	8.7%
Best of all books	1.84	1.95	5.6%
Average	1.82	1.90	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico-MG 45%Draw 45%Coritiba 10%

The statistical model rates Atletico-MG at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Coritiba at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.51 | 4.17 | 6.20, which imply roughly 66.2% for a Atletico-MG win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Atletico-MG are 7th (47 pts, 41-35 goals), Coritiba 11th (39 pts, 38-48).

Over their last five matches, Atletico-MG averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Coritiba averaged 1 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atletico-MG or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.51	4.17	6.20

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.47	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.18	4.47

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.90

1st half

1	X	2
2.00	2.34	6.03

2nd half

1	X	2
1.83	2.65	5.43

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.15	17.0	50.7
HT X	4.21	6.20	13.0
HT 2	23.7	18.3	10.7

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	13.1	3.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.2
1.5	1.22	3.91
2.5	1.76	2.03
3.5	2.91	1.36
4.5	5.54	1.12
5.5	10.7	1.04
6.5	21.0	1.01
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.80
1.25	1.09	5.30
1.75	1.25	3.35
2	1.31	2.97
2.25	1.56	2.35
2.75	1.95	1.81
3	2.25	1.57
3.25	2.54	1.45
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.60	1.13
4.25	4.95	1.11
4.75	7.17	1.04
5	8.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.93	1.38
-1.5	2.42	1.52
-1.25	2.14	1.67
-1	1.85	1.92
-0.75	1.61	2.20
-0.5	1.50	2.50

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.70	1.02
-3	8.60	1.01
-2.75	5.83	1.09
-2.5	4.47	1.16
-2.25	4.08	1.18
-2	3.76	1.23
-0.25	1.32	3.15
0	1.16	4.68
+0.25	1.12	5.18
+0.5	1.13	5.90
+0.75	1.02	7.90
+1	1.01	10.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.67	2.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	5.10
7.5	1.14	4.24
8.5	1.27	2.99
9.5	1.53	2.27
10.5	1.91	1.82
11.5	2.37	1.48
12.5	2.97	1.27
13.5	4.00	1.15
14.5	4.79	1.08

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	4.90
8	1.17	3.52
9	1.37	2.62
9.25	1.39	2.55
9.75	1.55	2.23
10	1.72	2.02
10.25	1.77	1.98
10.75	1.94	1.73
11	2.19	1.60
11.25	2.17	1.53
11.75	2.48	1.41
12	2.67	1.40
12.25	2.84	1.27
13	3.55	1.17
14	4.62	1.09
15	5.09	1.06