Gremio vs Internacional• Serie A, Brazil

#180.8:1.41-1FT11/10 · Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre1.6:1.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.06PINX3.30DAF22.57PINMargin at best1.9%Books10Markets88Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 16:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.99	3.15	2.62	3.4%
Dafabet	3.00	3.20	2.55	3.8%
1xBet	3.02	3.16	2.54	4.1%
Betano	3.00	3.10	2.55	4.8%
Bet365	2.90	3.20	2.55	4.9%
BetVictor	2.90	3.13	2.50	6.4%
Betfair	2.88	3.00	2.55	7.3%
Marathonbet	2.92	3.06	2.46	7.6%
William Hill	2.90	3.00	2.45	8.6%
SBO	2.68	2.90	2.43	12.9%
Best of all books	3.02	3.20	2.62	2.5%
Average	2.92	3.09	2.52	6.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GremioInternacional

Last 10#18Table position#171.03Points per game1.073Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.833Attack rating6756Defence rating4425Form rating7575H2H rating2559Goals model4154Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:01 UTC

Gremio

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	H	Internacional	1-1	D
7 Oct	A	Remo	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Palmeiras	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	Botafogo	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Vasco DA Gama	1-2	L
7 Sep	A	Vitoria	0-1	L
3 Sep	H	Internacional	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	Chapecoense-sc	3-1	W
27 Aug	A	Internacional	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	RB Bragantino	0-1	L

Internacional

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	A	Gremio	1-1	D
7 Oct	H	Corinthians	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Sao Paulo	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Chapecoense-sc	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Santos	2-3	L
3 Sep	A	Gremio	1-3	L
30 Aug	A	Bahia	2-3	L
27 Aug	H	Gremio	0-0	D
22 Aug	H	Atletico-MG	0-0	D
17 Aug	H	Remo	1-1	D

Head to head

18Gremio wins

17draws

14Internacional wins

49 meetings · goals 58:43 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Gremio

3 Sep 2026Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Gremio3-1Internacional
27 Aug 2026Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Internacional0-0Gremio
11 Apr 2026Serie A	Serie A	Internacional0-0Gremio
8 Mar 2026Gaúcho - 1	Gaúcho - 1	Internacional1-1Gremio
1 Mar 2026Gaúcho - 1	Gaúcho - 1	Gremio3-0Internacional
25 Jan 2026Gaúcho - 1	Gaúcho - 1	Internacional4-2Gremio
21 Sep 2025Serie A	Serie A	Internacional2-3Gremio
20 Apr 2025Serie A	Serie A	Gremio1-1Internacional
16 Mar 2025Gaúcho - 1	Gaúcho - 1	Internacional1-1Gremio
8 Mar 2025Gaúcho - 1	Gaúcho - 1	Gremio0-2Internacional

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 16 Oct 03:50 UTC

In the Serie A table, Gremio sit 18th with 31 points from 30 games, while Internacional are 17th with 32 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	58:25	+33	64
2	Palmeiras	30	18	9	3	52:22	+30	63
3	Atletico Paranaense	30	15	8	7	49:35	+14	53
4	Fluminense	30	14	9	7	48:37	+11	51
5	Bahia	30	13	10	7	44:36	+8	49
6	Cruzeiro	30	14	6	10	46:44	+2	48
7	Atletico-MG	30	13	8	9	41:35	+6	47
8	Santos	30	11	9	10	46:45	+1	42
9	RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	38:35	+3	40
10	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	35:35	0	39
11	Coritiba	30	10	9	11	38:48	-10	39
12	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	33:44	-11	36
13	Botafogo	30	9	9	12	43:48	-5	36
14	Vasco DA Gama	29	9	8	12	36:42	-6	35
15	Mirassol	30	8	9	13	34:44	-10	33
16	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	31:38	-7	32
17	Internacional	30	7	11	12	33:38	-5	32
18	Gremio	30	7	10	13	32:40	-8	31
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25
20	Chapecoense-sc	29	3	9	17	30:61	-31	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.72X30%3.12235%2.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.34 → 2.92 +24.8%X3.34 → 3.11 -6.9%22.95 → 2.49 -15.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.30	1.65	4.1%
Pinnacle	2.34	1.63	4.1%
1xBet	2.29	1.65	4.3%
Betfair	2.30	1.62	5.2%
SBO	2.35	1.58	5.8%
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Marathonbet	2.23	1.61	7.0%
BetVictor	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Best of all books	2.35	1.65	3.2%
Average	2.28	1.62	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Bet365	1.95	1.80	6.8%
William Hill	1.91	1.83	7.0%
Betano	1.88	1.85	7.2%
1xBet	1.87	1.83	8.1%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.81	8.7%
Best of all books	1.95	1.90	3.9%
Average	1.89	1.83	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gremio 45%Draw 45%Internacional 10%

The statistical model rated Gremio at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Internacional at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.72 | 3.12 | 2.65, which imply roughly 36.8% for a Gremio win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Gremio are 18th (31 pts, 32-40 goals), Internacional 17th (32 pts, 33-38).

Over their last five matches, Gremio averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Internacional averaged 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Gremio or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Gremio

4-3-3

Coach: Renato Gaúcho

Goalkeeper

1Weverton

Defence

27Diego Caito
82Wallace
4W. Kannemann
23Marlon

Midfield

10F. Krovinović
20M. Villasanti
15Danilo Barbosa

Attack

7C. Pavón
9F. Amuzu
95Carlos Vinícius

Substitutes (13)

3Wagner Leonardo
11Tetê
22M. Braithwaite
54Pedro Gabriel
99J. Enamorado
12Gabriel Grando
6Gustavo Martins
18João Pedro
5J. Nardoni
8E. Noriega
14Marcos Rocha
38Caio Paulista
2F. Balbuena

Internacional

3-4-2-1

Coach: Eduardo Baptista

Goalkeeper

12Anthoni

Defence

15Bruno Gomes
25G. Mercado
18Juninho

Midfield

28Vitinho
5R. Villagra
29Thiago Maia
35B. Aguirre
10Alan Patrick
26A. Bernabéi

Attack

9Alerrandro

Substitutes (12)

49J. Bezerra
6Matheus Bahia
7J. Carbonero
8Bruno Henrique
23Matheus Cunha
17N. Eliasson
30Calebe
27Paulinho
4F. Torres
41Victor Gabriel
16Ronaldo
44Victor Joao

Match Statistics

GremioInternacional

1.48Expected Goals0.86

468Passes accurate188

5Shots insidebox9

7Shots outsidebox5

4Blocked Shots6

26Free Kicks10

3Shots on Goal3

2Goalkeeper Saves2

5Shots off Goal5

2Offsides0

555Total passes279

12Total Shots14

2Yellow Cards3

6Corner Kicks5

10Fouls26

0Red Cards0

67%Ball Possession33%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.92	3.09	2.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.51	1.38	1.34

Draw no bet

1	2
2.02	1.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
3.57	2.00	3.14

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.13	7.60	1.96

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.77
1.5	1.39	2.86
2.5	2.28	1.62
3.5	4.20	1.20
4.5	8.34	1.05
5.5	16.0	1.02
6.5	32.8	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.00
1	1.06	6.25
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.48	2.46
2	1.68	2.12
2.25	1.98	1.80
2.75	2.53	1.47
3	3.09	1.34
3.25	3.58	1.21
3.75	5.15	1.10
4	7.60	1.03
4.25	8.00	1.02
5	10.0	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.85	1.42
-0.25	2.44	1.53
0	2.04	1.77
+0.25	1.68	2.11
+0.5	1.52	2.50
+0.75	1.34	2.99

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.2	1.02
-2	9.45	1.01
-1.75	8.78	1.01
-1.5	6.35	1.08
-1.25	5.93	1.09
-1	5.40	1.13
-0.75	3.59	1.25
+1	1.21	4.17
+1.25	1.16	4.69
+1.5	1.12	5.32
+1.75	1.06	7.20
+2	1.02	9.30
+2.5	1.02	10.2

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.06	7.70
3.5	1.07	7.60
4.5	1.15	5.00
5.5	1.37	2.97
6.5	1.72	2.04
7.5	2.02	1.75
8.5	2.42	1.52
9.5	3.20	1.32
10.5	4.35	1.19
11.5	5.90	1.11

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.47	2.55
7	1.96	1.82
8	2.88	1.37

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	10.8
5.5	1.05	7.05
6.5	1.12	5.03
7.5	1.25	3.36
8.5	1.48	2.42
9.5	1.84	1.87
10.5	2.33	1.52
11.5	3.12	1.30
12.5	4.39	1.15
13.5	5.80	1.09
14.5	8.63	1.04
15.5	10.8	1.02
16.5	12.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.60
7	1.12	4.05
8	1.27	2.85
8.25	1.36	2.65
8.75	1.52	2.30
9	1.67	2.13
9.25	1.74	2.03
9.75	1.96	1.79
10	2.05	1.69
10.25	2.16	1.55
10.75	2.48	1.42
11	2.60	1.38
11.25	2.91	1.31
12	3.35	1.19
13	4.42	1.10
14	5.57	1.04