OddsFilter
Live

Flamengo vs Fluminense• Serie A, Brazil

#11.8:0.81-0FT11/10 · Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro2.4:1.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.55BTNX4.50DAF26.86PINMargin at best1.3%Books10Markets100Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 16:04 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.554.306.802.5%
Pinnacle1.514.396.863.6%
1xBet1.504.436.754.1%
Dafabet1.524.506.204.1%
Bet3651.504.206.505.9%
BetVictor1.454.336.507.4%
Marathonbet1.454.306.557.5%
Betfair1.474.336.007.8%
William Hill1.444.006.0011.1%
SBO1.453.855.6112.8%
Best of all books1.554.506.861.3%
Average1.484.266.386.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FlamengoFluminense
Last 10#1Table position#42.13Points per game1.709Form pts · last 561.8Goals for · last 52.40.8Goals against · last 51.443Attack rating5764Defence rating3657Form rating4360H2H rating4070Goals model3058Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 11:10 UTC

Flamengo

7W 3D 0L · goals 16:5 · per match 1.6 for, 0.5 against

16 OctAEstudiantes L.P.0-0D
11 OctHFluminense1-0W
8 OctASantos2-2D
20 SepHRB Bragantino2-1W
18 SepHIndependiente del Valle1-1D
13 SepHCorinthians2-1W
11 SepAIndependiente del Valle2-0W
6 SepARemo1-0W
2 SepHMirassol2-0W
30 AugHBotafogo3-0W

Fluminense

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

15 OctHPalmeiras1-2L
11 OctAFlamengo0-1L
9 OctHCoritiba4-0W
20 SepACorinthians3-1W
15 SepAPlatense1-2L
12 SepAAtletico-MG1-3L
8 SepHPlatense2-0W
6 SepHVasco DA Gama1-0W
30 AugAAtletico Paranaense3-3D
22 AugHRemo2-1W

Head to head

23Flamengo wins
15draws
19Fluminense wins

57 meetings · goals 69:61 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Flamengo

12 Apr 2026Serie ASerie AFluminense1-2Flamengo
8 Mar 2026Carioca - 1Carioca - 1Fluminense0-0Flamengo
25 Jan 2026Carioca - 1Carioca - 1Fluminense2-1Flamengo
20 Nov 2025Serie ASerie AFluminense2-1Flamengo
20 Jul 2025Serie ASerie AFlamengo1-0Fluminense
16 Mar 2025Carioca - 1Carioca - 1Flamengo0-0Fluminense
13 Mar 2025Carioca - 1Carioca - 1Fluminense1-2Flamengo
8 Feb 2025Carioca - 1Carioca - 1Fluminense0-0Flamengo
17 Oct 2024Serie ASerie AFlamengo0-2Fluminense
23 Jun 2024Serie ASerie AFluminense0-1Flamengo

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 16 Oct 03:50 UTC

In the Serie A table, Flamengo sit 1st with 64 points from 30 games, while Fluminense are 4th with 51 points from 30.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Flamengo30197458:25+3364
2Palmeiras30189352:22+3063
3Atletico Paranaense30158749:35+1453
4Fluminense30149748:37+1151
5Bahia301310744:36+849
6Cruzeiro301461046:44+248
7Atletico-MG30138941:35+647
8Santos301191046:45+142
9RB Bragantino301171238:35+340
10Sao Paulo301161335:35039
11Coritiba301091138:48-1039
12Vitoria301061433:44-1136
13Botafogo30991243:48-536
14Vasco DA Gama29981236:42-635
15Mirassol30891334:44-1033
16Corinthians30881431:38-732
17Internacional307111233:38-532
18Gremio307101332:40-831
19Remo305101533:48-1525
20Chapecoense-sc29391730:61-3118

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.51X23%4.19215%6.29

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 17:401 1.48X 4.262 6.38
11.36 → 1.48 +8.8%X4.78 → 4.26 -10.9%28.34 → 6.38 -23.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.792.093.7%
Betano1.782.103.8%
1xBet1.792.074.2%
SBO1.812.034.5%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betfair1.752.055.9%
Marathonbet1.742.027.0%
BetVictor1.721.978.9%
Best of all books1.812.102.9%
Average1.772.045.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.911.914.7%
Betfair1.901.905.3%
William Hill1.911.837.0%
Betano1.821.917.3%
1xBet1.861.848.1%
BetVictor1.831.858.7%
Marathonbet1.861.828.7%
Best of all books1.911.914.7%
Average1.871.877.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Flamengo 45%Draw 45%Fluminense 10%

The statistical model rated Flamengo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fluminense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.51 | 4.19 | 6.29, which imply roughly 66.2% for a Flamengo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Flamengo are 1st (64 pts, 58-25 goals), Fluminense 4th (51 pts, 48-37).

Over their last five matches, Flamengo averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Fluminense averaged 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Flamengo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Flamengo

4-2-3-1

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Goalkeeper

  • 1A. Rossi

Defence

  • 2G. Varela
  • 3Léo Ortiz
  • 4Léo Pereira
  • 26Alex Sandro

Midfield

  • 5E. Pulgar
  • 8Saúl
  • 15J. Carrascal
  • 11Lucas Paquetá
  • 16Samuel Lino

Attack

  • 9Pedro
Substitutes (12)
  • 22Emerson Royal
  • 30J. Freitas
  • 77Johnny Góes
  • 27Bruno Henrique
  • 19G. Plata
  • 14A. Valencia
  • 44Vitão
  • 42Andrew
  • 13Danilo
  • 7Luiz Araújo
  • 18N. de la Cruz
  • 49Dyogo

Fluminense

4-2-3-1

Coach: Marcão

Goalkeeper

  • 1Fábio

Defence

  • 2Samuel Xavier
  • 4Ignacio
  • 29J. Millán
  • 13Guilherme Arana

Midfield

  • 16Nonato
  • 8Martinelli
  • 17A. Canobbio
  • 32L. Acosta
  • 30Y. Soteldo

Attack

  • 19R. Castillo
Substitutes (12)
  • 3Thiago Silva
  • 22J. Freytes
  • 94Otávio
  • 35Hércules
  • 21Igor Rabello
  • 23Guga
  • 11J. Savarino
  • 90K. Serna
  • 7Hulk
  • 34Wesley Nata
  • 98Vitor Eudes
  • 10PH Ganso

Match Statistics

FlamengoFluminense
1.72Expected Goals0.71
379Passes accurate499
8Shots insidebox7
9Shots outsidebox5
4Blocked Shots4
18Free Kicks21
6Shots on Goal4
4Goalkeeper Saves5
7Shots off Goal4
426Total passes559
17Total Shots12
3Yellow Cards4
4Corner Kicks2
21Fouls18
0Red Cards0
43%Ball Possession57%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.484.266.38

Double chance

1XX212
1.112.571.19

Draw no bet

12
1.164.75

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.871.87

1st half

1X2
1.982.355.96

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4112.83.14

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.1
1.51.233.91
2.51.772.04
3.52.871.39
4.55.441.13
5.510.01.03
6.519.51.01
7.546.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.95
11.018.80
1.251.105.05
1.751.253.29
21.362.96
2.251.552.37
2.751.941.80
32.261.59
3.252.501.46
3.753.201.26
44.251.15
4.254.561.13
4.755.651.08
58.301.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.741.42
-1.52.381.56
-1.252.081.71
-11.812.00
-0.751.572.27
-0.51.492.59
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.757.501.03
-3.58.301.03
-3.257.001.06
-36.801.07
-2.755.271.12
-2.54.211.18
-2.253.831.23
-23.511.28
-0.251.303.26
01.154.88
+0.251.115.38
+0.51.126.25
+0.751.037.50
+1.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.087.10
3.51.194.30
4.51.402.80
5.51.692.13
6.52.171.64
7.53.151.33
8.54.451.18
9.56.201.10
10.58.501.05
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
51.382.85
61.861.91
72.681.43

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0213.4
5.51.039.00
6.51.095.69
7.51.193.88
8.51.362.79
9.51.652.10
10.52.051.69
11.52.681.39
12.53.541.23
13.54.801.13
14.56.191.07
15.58.751.04
16.510.51.03
17.512.01.01
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.094.55
81.213.20
8.751.412.51
91.472.43
9.251.572.19
9.751.791.96
101.841.94
10.251.971.71
10.752.211.52
112.371.49
11.252.561.39
11.752.961.25
122.931.26
133.891.14
145.021.07