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Coritiba vs Botafogo• Serie A, Brazil

#111.4:3.21-1FT12/10 · Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba1.0:1.4#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.681XBX3.55PIN22.611XBMargin at best3.8%Books10Markets90Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 12:02 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.723.542.613.3%
1xBet2.673.572.584.2%
Dafabet2.653.552.604.4%
Betano2.673.452.604.9%
Bet3652.753.402.555.0%
BetVictor2.633.502.506.6%
Betfair2.633.602.407.5%
Marathonbet2.593.462.507.5%
William Hill2.503.302.5010.3%
SBO2.433.102.4015.1%
Best of all books2.753.602.612.5%
Average2.623.452.526.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CoritibaBotafogo
Last 10#11Table position#131.30Points per game1.202Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 51.03.2Goals against · last 51.458Attack rating4230Defence rating7044Form rating5638H2H rating6252Goals model4843Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 12:50 UTC

Coritiba

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:21 · per match 1.3 for, 2.1 against

12 OctHBotafogo1-1D
9 OctAFluminense0-4L
19 SepAVasco DA Gama0-5L
12 SepHAtletico Paranaense3-3D
6 SepHMirassol1-2L
31 AugARemo3-2W
23 AugHCorinthians2-1W
16 AugASao Paulo1-1D
8 AugHChapecoense-sc2-1W
31 JulHCruzeiro0-1L

Botafogo

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against

12 OctACoritiba1-1D
7 OctHVasco DA Gama1-2L
19 SepAMirassol0-2L
16 SepHGremio3-2W
12 SepHRB Bragantino1-1D
6 SepHPalmeiras0-0D
30 AugAFlamengo0-3L
24 AugHAtletico Paranaense2-3L
21 AugHCienciano1-0W
16 AugAVitoria0-1L

Head to head

4Coritiba wins
6draws
11Botafogo wins

21 meetings · goals 23:32 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Coritiba

12 Apr 2026Serie ASerie ABotafogo2-2Coritiba
30 Nov 2023Serie ASerie ACoritiba1-1Botafogo
30 Jul 2023Serie ASerie ABotafogo4-1Coritiba
17 Sep 2022Serie ASerie ABotafogo2-0Coritiba
29 May 2022Serie ASerie ACoritiba1-0Botafogo
28 Aug 2021Serie BSerie BCoritiba0-1Botafogo
6 Jun 2021Serie BSerie BBotafogo2-0Coritiba
20 Dec 2020Serie ASerie ACoritiba1-2Botafogo
2 Sep 2020Serie ASerie ABotafogo0-0Coritiba
24 Sep 2017Serie ASerie ACoritiba2-3Botafogo

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 16 Oct 03:50 UTC

In the Serie A table, Coritiba sit 11th with 39 points from 30 games, while Botafogo are 13th with 36 points from 30.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Flamengo30197458:25+3364
2Palmeiras30189352:22+3063
3Atletico Paranaense30158749:35+1453
4Fluminense30149748:37+1151
5Bahia301310744:36+849
6Cruzeiro301461046:44+248
7Atletico-MG30138941:35+647
8Santos301191046:45+142
9RB Bragantino301171238:35+340
10Sao Paulo301161335:35039
11Coritiba301091138:48-1039
12Vitoria301061433:44-1136
13Botafogo30991243:48-536
14Vasco DA Gama29981236:42-635
15Mirassol30891334:44-1033
16Corinthians30881431:38-732
17Internacional307111233:38-532
18Gremio307101332:40-831
19Remo305101533:48-1525
20Chapecoense-sc29391730:61-3118

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.62X27%3.45237%2.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

9 Oct 00:0110 Oct 03:011 2.60X 3.432 2.54
12.58 → 2.60 +0.8%X3.39 → 3.43 +1.2%22.61 → 2.54 -2.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.752.143.9%
1xBet1.742.154.0%
Betano1.752.124.3%
Betfair1.732.105.4%
SBO1.722.115.5%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Marathonbet1.692.097.0%
BetVictor1.662.059.0%
Best of all books1.752.153.7%
Average1.722.115.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.572.385.7%
Betano1.572.307.2%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
1xBet1.552.308.0%
William Hill1.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.552.268.8%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
Best of all books1.622.383.7%
Average1.572.287.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Coritiba 10%Draw 45%Botafogo 45%

The statistical model rated Coritiba at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Botafogo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.62 | 3.45 | 2.52, which imply roughly 29% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Coritiba are 11th (39 pts, 38-48 goals), Botafogo 13th (36 pts, 43-48).

Over their last five matches, Coritiba averaged 1.4 goals scored and 3.2 conceded per game; Botafogo averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Botafogo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Coritiba

4-2-3-1

Coach: Fernando Seabra

Goalkeeper

  • 1Pedro Luccas

Defence

  • 14F. Bustos
  • 55Jacy
  • 23Tiago Cóser
  • 6Felipe Jonatan

Midfield

  • 21Thiago Santos
  • 19S. Gómez
  • 18Paulo Roberto
  • 10Josué
  • 7J. Lavega

Attack

  • 32Pedro Rocha
Substitutes (12)
  • 36Vini Paulista
  • 22Pedro Rangel
  • 2Tinga
  • 4Rodrigo Moledo
  • 78Renato Marques
  • 5N. Fonseca
  • 17B. Ocampo
  • 3Maicon
  • 99Rodrigo Rodrigues
  • 66Rodrigo Gelado
  • 39Gustavo
  • 77Breno Lopes

Botafogo

4-2-3-1

Coach: Tite

Goalkeeper

  • 12Gabriel Batista

Defence

  • 2Vitinho
  • 5N. Ferraresi
  • 21Marçal
  • 13Alex Telles

Midfield

  • 8Danilo Santos
  • 25Allan
  • 6C. Medina
  • 22H. Ziyech
  • 11Matheus Martins

Attack

  • 19Arthur Cabral
Substitutes (12)
  • 37K. Barria
  • 91Domingos Andrade
  • 90Danilo
  • 75Huguinho
  • 7Júnior Santos
  • 34G. Justino
  • 59Kauan Toledo
  • 10Álvaro Montoro
  • 29Paulinho
  • 4M. Ponte
  • 9Tiquinho Soares
  • 17Warleson

Match Statistics

CoritibaBotafogo
1.16Expected Goals0.93
276Passes accurate385
8Shots insidebox11
5Shots outsidebox7
6Blocked Shots3
13Free Kicks16
3Shots on Goal5
4Goalkeeper Saves3
4Shots off Goal10
2Offsides0
342Total passes440
13Total Shots18
5Yellow Cards2
8Corner Kicks7
16Fouls13
0Red Cards0
43%Ball Possession57%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.623.452.52

Double chance

1XX212
1.491.451.29

Draw no bet

12
1.891.84

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.572.28

1st half

1X2
3.112.233.04

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9613.51.92

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.2
1.51.214.16
2.51.722.11
3.52.751.42
4.55.051.15
5.59.461.04
6.518.71.01
7.541.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.98
11.028.90
1.251.095.40
1.751.233.51
21.313.18
2.251.522.46
2.751.901.88
32.151.65
3.252.401.50
3.753.081.28
44.101.16
4.254.451.14
4.755.951.07
58.401.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.611.49
-0.252.261.61
01.951.85
+0.251.642.16
+0.51.522.51
+0.751.362.96
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.951.02
-29.101.02
-1.756.531.07
-1.55.041.13
-1.254.581.15
-14.241.19
-0.753.091.33
+11.214.01
+1.251.164.33
+1.51.144.85
+1.751.086.26
+2.51.029.50

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.3
1.51.087.00
2.51.243.80
3.51.522.44
4.52.021.74
5.52.941.36
6.54.301.19
7.56.301.10
8.58.751.05
9.511.31.02
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.253.62
41.782.01
52.771.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0211.5
5.51.029.50
6.51.095.77
7.51.193.90
8.51.372.77
9.51.682.07
10.52.071.67
11.52.661.41
12.53.661.21
13.54.791.13
14.56.311.07
15.58.881.04
16.510.81.03
17.512.51.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.104.42
81.233.12
8.251.322.82
8.751.442.38
91.502.36
9.251.632.09
9.751.871.87
101.861.92
10.252.091.63
10.752.361.45
112.411.48
11.252.721.34
11.752.801.29
123.021.24
134.021.13
145.171.06