OddsFilter

Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo• Serie A, Brazil

#42.0:1.62-0FTToday · Estádio Mineirão, Bello Harisanta1.2:1.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.94DAFX3.80BTN24.94PINMargin6.0%Books10Markets93Rating49 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Oct 20:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.803.804.852.5%
Pinnacle1.763.744.943.8%
Dafabet1.943.554.104.1%
1xBet1.793.694.694.3%
Bet3651.733.704.755.9%
BetVictor1.733.704.606.6%
Betfair1.733.604.607.3%
Marathonbet1.743.584.557.4%
William Hill1.753.404.508.8%
SBO1.793.213.8812.8%
Best of all books1.943.804.94-1.9%
Average1.783.604.556.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CruzeiroSao Paulo
Last 10#4Table position#111.66Points per game1.246Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.063Attack rating3838Defence rating6250Form rating5038H2H rating6267Goals model3349Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 01:11 UTC

Cruzeiro

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

20 SepAVitoria3-1W
13 SepASantos1-2L
6 SepHAtletico Paranaense3-1W
2 SepAAtletico-MG1-2L
30 AugAVasco DA Gama1-3L
26 AugHAtletico-MG1-1D
22 AugHFlamengo2-1W
20 AugAFlamengo1-2L
16 AugACorinthians2-1W
13 AugHFlamengo1-1D

Sao Paulo

4W 1D 5L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

8 OctACruzeiro0-2L
2 OctHSantos1-2L
20 SepHInternacional1-0W
16 SepHBoca Juniors1-1D
12 SepAPalmeiras0-2L
9 SepABoca Juniors0-1L
5 SepHAtletico-MG2-0W
29 AugHRB Bragantino2-1W
23 AugAChapecoense-sc0-1L
19 AugHBolívar3-1W

Head to head

7Cruzeiro wins
6draws
16Sao Paulo wins

29 meetings · goals 27:39 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Cruzeiro

4 Apr 2026Serie ASerie ASao Paulo4-1Cruzeiro
31 Aug 2025Serie ASerie ACruzeiro1-0Sao Paulo
13 Apr 2025Serie ASerie ASao Paulo1-1Cruzeiro
16 Jan 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsCruzeiro1-1Sao Paulo
15 Sep 2024Serie ASerie ACruzeiro0-1Sao Paulo
2 Jun 2024Serie ASerie ASao Paulo2-0Cruzeiro
2 Nov 2023Serie ASerie ASao Paulo1-0Cruzeiro
25 Jun 2023Serie ASerie ACruzeiro1-0Sao Paulo
17 Oct 2019Serie ASerie ACruzeiro1-0Sao Paulo
2 Jun 2019Serie ASerie ASao Paulo1-1Cruzeiro

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 8 Oct 04:51 UTC

In the Serie A table, Cruzeiro sit 4th with 48 points from 29 games, while Sao Paulo are 11th with 36 points from 29.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Flamengo28186455:23+3260
2Palmeiras28169347:21+2657
3Atletico Paranaense28147743:32+1149
4Cruzeiro29146944:40+448
5Fluminense28139644:36+848
6Bahia281210643:35+846
7Atletico-MG28127937:32+543
8Santos28118943:41+241
9Coritiba281081037:43-638
10RB Bragantino291071234:33+137
11Sao Paulo291061333:34-136
12Vitoria291061332:42-1036
13Botafogo29981242:47-535
14Vasco DA Gama28971236:42-634
15Mirassol29891234:43-933
16Corinthians29881330:34-432
17Internacional297101232:37-531
18Gremio29791331:39-830
19Remo29591533:48-1524
20Chapecoense-sc28391629:57-2818

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.85X27%3.52222%4.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Oct 00:017 Oct 20:211 1.78X 3.602 4.55
11.89 → 1.78 -5.8%X3.40 → 3.60 +5.9%23.94 → 4.55 +15.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.991.893.2%
Betano2.001.854.1%
1xBet1.971.874.2%
SBO2.011.834.4%
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Betfair1.901.876.1%
Marathonbet1.921.827.0%
BetVictor1.881.799.1%
Best of all books2.011.892.7%
Average1.951.855.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.911.914.7%
Betfair1.871.906.1%
William Hill1.801.956.8%
Betano1.871.877.0%
1xBet1.831.878.1%
BetVictor1.831.858.7%
Marathonbet1.831.858.7%
Best of all books1.911.953.6%
Average1.851.897.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cruzeiro 10%Draw 45%Sao Paulo 45%

The statistical model rated Cruzeiro at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sao Paulo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.52 | 4.24, which imply roughly 28.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Cruzeiro are 4th (48 pts, 44-40 goals), Sao Paulo 11th (36 pts, 33-34).

Over their last five matches, Cruzeiro averaged 2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Sao Paulo averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Cruzeiro

4-2-3-1

Coach: Artur Jorge

Goalkeeper

  • 81Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa

Defence

  • 12William
  • 43João Marcelo
  • 34Jonathan
  • 27G. Rojas

Midfield

  • 29L. Romero
  • 8Gerson
  • 9Bruno Rodrigues
  • 10Matheus Pereira
  • 38Felipe Morais

Attack

  • 19Kaio Jorge
Substitutes (12)
  • 84Kelvin Vinicius Barbosa Coutinho
  • 99K. Arroyo
  • 23Fágner
  • 20Wesley Gassova
  • 5Zé Lucas
  • 2Kauã Moraes
  • 11Marquinhos
  • 1Cássio
  • 97L. Rodríguez
  • 16Lucas Silva
  • 6M. Viña
  • 7Matheus Henrique

Sao Paulo

4-2-3-1

Coach: Dorival Júnior

Goalkeeper

  • 31Carlos Coronel

Defence

  • 5R. Arboleda
  • 2R. Tolói
  • 35Sabino
  • 18Wendell

Midfield

  • 16D. Bobadilla
  • 29Pablo Maia
  • 37Artur
  • 8Marcos Antônio
  • 32Pedro Lima

Attack

  • 9J. Calleri
Substitutes (12)
  • 19Lucas Ramon
  • 58Pedro Henrique Bezerra Araújo
  • 43G. Santana
  • 48D. Ferreira
  • 46Pedro Ferreira
  • 17André Silva
  • 54Osorio Luis
  • 41João Pedro Pantiga Gomes
  • 49Ryan Francisco
  • 27Victor Sá
  • 11Ferreira
  • 28Newton

Match Statistics

CruzeiroSao Paulo
404Passes accurate320
14Shots insidebox11
8Shots outsidebox8
5Blocked Shots7
19Free Kicks11
9Shots on Goal3
3Goalkeeper Saves7
8Shots off Goal9
1Offsides2
473Total passes386
22Total Shots19
2Yellow Cards1
8Corner Kicks8
12Fouls20
0Red Cards0
54%Ball Possession46%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.783.604.55

Double chance

1XX212
1.182.041.25

Draw no bet

12
1.303.33

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.851.89

1st half

1X2
2.352.174.73

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.589.502.69

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.38
1.51.283.53
2.51.951.85
3.53.331.30
4.56.581.09
5.513.41.03
6.521.31.01
7.551.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.38
11.027.70
1.251.144.39
1.751.352.94
21.472.56
2.251.722.10
2.752.191.63
32.631.44
3.252.951.34
3.753.941.17
45.401.09
4.255.751.07
59.601.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.101.35
-1.252.771.42
-12.361.57
-0.751.991.79
-0.51.742.08
-0.251.532.42
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.511.01.02
-2.757.881.02
-2.56.091.09
-2.255.681.10
-25.301.12
-1.753.991.24
01.283.34
+0.251.253.80
+0.51.214.48
+0.751.095.78
+1.251.018.30
+1.51.029.30

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.049.50
2.51.125.60
3.51.293.40
4.51.602.26
5.52.091.69
6.52.821.39
7.54.051.22
8.55.801.12
9.58.001.06
10.59.251.04
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
41.343.04
51.911.86
62.871.38

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0211.5
5.51.058.00
6.51.115.18
7.51.223.59
8.51.452.50
9.51.771.94
10.52.221.58
11.52.981.32
12.54.061.17
13.55.561.09
14.58.251.04
15.510.51.02
16.512.01.02
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.114.27
81.243.00
8.251.312.86
8.751.432.44
91.532.30
9.251.612.13
9.751.801.86
101.961.81
10.252.041.66
10.752.311.47
112.531.43
11.252.691.35
123.151.22
134.171.11
145.321.05