Gremio17th28 pts
Palmeiras2nd56 pts
Gremio17th28 pts
Palmeiras2nd56 ptsIn the Serie A table, Gremio sit 17th with 28 points from 27 games, while Palmeiras are 2nd with 56 points from 27 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Gremio at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Palmeiras at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.99 | 3.56 | 1.87, which imply roughly 28.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie A table: Gremio are 17th (28 pts, 30-38 goals), Palmeiras 2nd (56 pts, 47-21).
Over their last five matches, Gremio averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Palmeiras averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Palmeiras.
Gremio vs Palmeiras — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 56 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 46 |
| 4 |  Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 46 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40 |
| 8 |  Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 38 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 |
| 11 |  Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 36 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33 |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 32 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32 |
| 16 |  Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
| 17 |  Gremio | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 28 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 18 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
4.04
X
3.53
2
1.85
Double chance
1X
1.91
X2
1.22
12
1.26
Both teams to score
Yes
1.78
No
1.95
Match goals
Over 4
5.25
Under 4
1.09
Over 4.25
5.60
Under 4.25
1.08
Over 5
9.40
Under 5
1.01
Over 1.5
1.28
Under 1.5
3.45
Over 2.5
1.92
Under 2.5
1.88
Over 3.5
3.24
Under 3.5
1.31
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
9.82
Over 4.5
6.28
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
12.25
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
22.67
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.34
Under 1.75
2.98
Over 2
1.44
Under 2
2.63
Over 2.25
1.68
Under 2.25
2.14
Over 2.75
2.13
Under 2.75
1.66
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.65
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
8.10
Over 1.25
1.13
Under 1.25
4.55
Over 3
2.56
Under 3
1.46
Over 3.25
2.87
Under 3.25
1.36
Over 3.75
3.84
Under 3.75
1.18
Draw no bet
1
2.95
2
1.36
Asian handicap
Home -2.5
13.00
Away -2.5
6.65
1st half
1
4.48
X
2.17
2
2.37
Corners 2-Way
Over 15.5
8.50
Under 15.5
1.05
First team to score
Home
2.54
No Goal
10.75
Away
1.61
Cards in match
Over 6.5
2.25
Under 6.5
1.60