Atletico Paranaense3rd46 pts
Bahia4th46 pts
Atletico Paranaense3rd46 pts
Bahia4th46 ptsIn the Serie A table, Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd with 46 points from 27 games, while Bahia are 4th with 46 points from 27 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Atletico Paranaense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Bahia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.19 | 3.35 | 3.23, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie A table: Atletico Paranaense are 3rd (46 pts, 41-31 goals), Bahia 4th (46 pts, 42-33).
Over their last five matches, Atletico Paranaense averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Bahia averaged 2.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bahia and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 57 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 46 |
| 4 |  Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 46 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40 |
| 8 |  Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 38 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 |
| 11 |  Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 36 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33 |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 32 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32 |
| 16 |  Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
| 17 |  Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 18 |
Confirmed Lineups
Atletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1Coach: Odair Hellmann
Goalkeeper
- 1Mycael
Defence
- 25Dantas
- 33J. Aguirre
- 4Arthur Dias
Midfield
- 12Gilberto
- 16Jádson
- 14Luiz Gustavo
- 37L. Esquivel
- 21Leozinho
- 7S. Mendoza
Attack
- 18K. Vargas
Substitutes (12)
- 53Dudu
- 23Santos
- 22C. Terán
- 47Chiqueti
- 5Felipinho
- 10B. Zapelli
- 2Gilberto
- 3Léo
- 6Derik
- 27J. Portilla
- 70Renan
- 19Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
Bahia
4-3-3Coach: Rogério Ceni
Goalkeeper
- 1Ronaldo
Defence
- 44Marcos Victor
- 33David Duarte
- 4Kanu
- 46Luciano Juba
Midfield
- 14Erick
- 5N. Acevedo
- 11Rodrigo Nestor
Attack
- 7Ademir
- 9A. Véliz
- 16Erick Pulga
Substitutes (12)
- 10Éverton Ribeiro
- 31Roman Gomez
- 17G. Herrera
- 6Jean Lucas
- 57Çağatay Yılmaz
- 3Marco Moreno
- 77Ruan Pablo
- 23M. Sanabria
- 12Willian José
- 66Zé Guilherme
- 8Caio Alexandre
- 27Everaldo
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.13
X
3.35
2
3.31
Double chance
1X
1.30
X2
1.70
12
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
1.70
No
2.04
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.26
Under 1.5
3.54
Over 2.5
1.88
Under 2.5
1.91
Over 3.5
3.16
Under 3.5
1.33
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
9.48
Over 4.5
6.08
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
11.75
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
22.50
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 2.75
2.09
Under 2.75
1.69
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.60
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
8.00
Over 1.25
1.13
Under 1.25
4.60
Over 1.75
1.33
Under 1.75
3.03
Over 2
1.42
Under 2
2.69
Over 2.25
1.65
Under 2.25
2.18
Over 3
2.48
Under 3
1.49
Over 3.25
2.77
Under 3.25
1.39
Over 3.75
3.70
Under 3.75
1.20
Over 4
5.00
Under 4
1.10
Over 4.25
5.40
Under 4.25
1.09
Over 5
9.50
Under 5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.52
2
2.42
Asian handicap
Away 3.5
1.01
1st half
1
2.66
X
2.14
2
3.83
First team to score
Home
1.79
No Goal
9.35
Away
2.28
Corners 2-Way
Over 12.25
2.62
Under 12.25
1.38
Cards in match
Over 5.5
2.11
Under 5.5
1.67