Vitoria14th29 pts
Gremio15th28 pts
Vitoria14th29 pts
Gremio15th28 ptsIn the Serie A table, Vitoria sit 14th with 29 points from 25 games, while Gremio are 15th with 28 points from 24 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Vitoria at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gremio at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.08 | 3.31 | 3.49, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie A table: Vitoria are 14th (29 pts, 24-37 goals), Gremio 15th (28 pts, 27-32).
Over their last five matches, Vitoria averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Gremio averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Gremio.
Vitoria vs Gremio — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 54 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 53 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 43 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 |  Coritiba | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37 |
| 8 |  Atletico-MG | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 36 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 33 |
| 11 |  Corinthians | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32 |
| 12 |  Santos | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 32 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 31 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 29 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 |
| 17 |  Vasco DA Gama | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
| 19 |  Remo | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.10
X
3.31
2
3.46
Double chance
1X
1.29
X2
1.70
12
1.31
Both teams to score
Yes
1.85
No
1.87
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.34
Under 1.5
3.05
Over 2.5
2.11
Under 2.5
1.70
Over 3.5
3.79
Under 3.5
1.23
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
8.40
Over 4.5
7.57
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
16.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
34.00
Over 1.75
1.43
Under 1.75
2.61
Over 2
1.57
Under 2
2.25
Over 2.25
1.85
Under 2.25
1.91
Over 2.75
2.40
Under 2.75
1.51
Over 0.75
1.04
Under 0.75
7.10
Over 1
1.05
Under 1
6.55
Over 1.25
1.18
Under 1.25
3.84
Over 3
2.95
Under 3
1.33
Over 3.25
3.29
Under 3.25
1.25
Over 3.75
4.50
Under 3.75
1.13
Over 4
6.20
Under 4
1.06
Over 4.25
6.55
Under 4.25
1.05
Draw no bet
1
1.49
2
2.44
Asian handicap
Away 2.25
1.02
1st half
1
2.68
X
2.08
2
4.13
First team to score
Home
1.75
No Goal
8.40
Away
2.38
Corners 2-Way
Over 11.25
2.95
Under 11.25
1.25
Cards in match
Over 4.5
1.67
Under 4.5
2.10