Gremio15th25 pts
Chapecoense-sc20th14 pts
Gremio15th25 pts
Chapecoense-sc20th14 ptsIn the Serie A table, Gremio sit 15th with 25 points from 23 games, while Chapecoense-sc are 20th with 14 points from 23 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Gremio at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Chapecoense-sc at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.53 | 4.02 | 5.82, which imply roughly 24.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie A table: Gremio are 15th (25 pts, 24-31 goals), Chapecoense-sc 20th (14 pts, 24-46).
Over their last five matches, Gremio averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Chapecoense-sc averaged 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Chapecoense-sc.
Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 51 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 41 |
| 5 |  Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 39 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 36 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 |
| 10 |  Corinthians | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 32 |
| 11 |  Sao Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 29 |
| 14 |  Santos | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 |
| 16 |  Vasco DA Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 25 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 25 |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 24 |
| 19 |  Remo | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 14 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.53
X
4.02
2
5.82
Double chance
1X
1.12
X2
2.41
12
1.21
Both teams to score
Yes
1.87
No
1.84
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.26
Under 1.5
3.64
Over 2.5
1.84
Under 2.5
1.95
Over 3.5
3.05
Under 3.5
1.35
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
10.18
Over 4.5
5.83
Under 4.5
1.12
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
11.80
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
22.33
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.30
Under 1.75
3.13
Over 2
1.39
Under 2
2.84
Over 2.25
1.62
Under 2.25
2.25
Over 2.75
2.05
Under 2.75
1.73
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.70
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
8.10
Over 1.25
1.12
Under 1.25
4.65
Over 3
2.41
Under 3
1.53
Over 3.25
2.67
Under 3.25
1.44
Over 3.75
3.50
Under 3.75
1.22
Over 4
4.70
Under 4
1.12
Over 4.25
5.05
Under 4.25
1.10
Over 5
9.30
Draw no bet
1
1.18
2
4.37
Asian handicap
Away 3.5
1.02
1st half
1
2.01
X
2.29
2
5.83
First team to score
Home
1.45
No Goal
9.87
Away
3.10
Corners 2-Way
Over 14.5
6.25
Under 14.5
1.07