OddsFilter

Atletico-MGvsVitoria

Serie A, Brazil

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

29/08
21:30UTC
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG7th36 pts
2-1
VitoriaVitoria13th29 pts
finished

In the Serie A table, Atletico-MG sit 7th with 36 points from 24 games, while Vitoria are 13th with 29 points from 25 — the full standings are below.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico-MG 45%Draw 45%Vitoria 10%

The statistical model rated Atletico-MG at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Vitoria at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.78 | 3.46 | 4.64, which imply roughly 56.2% for a Atletico-MG win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Atletico-MG are 7th (36 pts, 32-28 goals), Vitoria 13th (29 pts, 24-37).

Over their last five matches, Atletico-MG averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Vitoria averaged 0.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Atletico-MG.

Atletico-MG vs Vitoria — model comparison

75%
Form
25%
89%
Attack
11%
71%
Defence
29%
15%
Head to head
85%
35%
Goals
65%
60.7%
Overall
39.3%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

Starting Lineups

Atletico-MG

4-2-3-1

Coach: Eduardo Dominguez

Goalkeeper

  • 1Gabriel Delfim

Defence

  • 2Natanael
  • 40Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira
  • 23Ángelo Preciado
  • 36Kauã Pascini

Midfield

  • 25Tomás Pérez
  • 5Alexsander
  • 27Alan Minda
  • 39Mamady Cissé
  • 19Reinier

Attack

  • 18Thiago Borbas
Substitutes (12)
  • 31Robert Alves
  • 53Pedro Tocantins
  • 6Renan Lodi
  • 14Vitor Hugo
  • 15Kevin Castaño
  • 48Gutte
  • 28Tomás Cuello
  • 21Alan Franco
  • 10Gustavo Scarpa
  • 29Cauã Campos Soares
  • 9Mateo Cassierra
  • 92Dudu

Vitoria

4-1-4-1

Coach: Ventura Jair

Goalkeeper

  • 1Lucas Arcanjo

Defence

  • 2Emanuel Brítez
  • 25Cacá
  • 36Luan Cândido
  • 83Jamerson

Midfield

  • 9Alex Bruno
  • 7Marinho
  • 95Caique Gonçalves
  • 6Emmanuel Martínez
  • 12Diego Tarzia

Attack

  • 8Tomás Pochettino
Substitutes (12)
  • 71Yuri Sena
  • 26Edenilson
  • 98Mateusinho
  • 13Ramon
  • 15Walace
  • 11Osvaldo
  • 88Zé Vitor
  • 10Matheuzinho
  • 33Erick
  • 91Renê Sousa
  • 23Fabrício Santos
  • 79Renato Kayzer

Match Statistics

Atletico-MGVitoria
8Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal4
18Total Shots14
4Blocked Shots7
12Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox7
12Fouls13
4Corner Kicks5
2Offsides0
61%Ball Possession39%
2Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
636Total passes387
579Passes accurate321
91%Passes %83%
1.46Expected Goals0.64
-0.16Goals Prevented-0.16

Betting Odds

Full time

1

1.73

X

3.55

2

4.76

Double chance

1X

1.17

X2

2.08

12

1.26

Both teams to score

Yes

1.90

No

1.81

Match goals

Over 5.5

14.46

Under 5.5

1.03

Over 6.5

27.88

Under 6.5

1.01

Over 1.75

1.40

Under 1.75

2.81

Over 1.5

1.32

Under 1.5

3.23

Over 2.5

2.04

Under 2.5

1.77

Over 3.5

3.58

Under 3.5

1.27

Over 0.5

1.05

Under 0.5

8.93

Over 4.5

7.21

Under 4.5

1.08

Over 2.75

2.31

Under 2.75

1.57

Over 0.75

1.02

Under 0.75

8.28

Over 1

1.03

Under 1

7.50

Over 1.25

1.15

Under 1.25

4.21

Over 2

1.52

Under 2

2.43

Over 2.25

1.79

Under 2.25

2.00

Over 5

10.00

Under 5

1.01

Over 3

2.80

Under 3

1.40

Over 3.25

3.18

Under 3.25

1.32

Over 3.75

4.30

Under 3.75

1.14

Over 4

6.05

Under 4

1.06

Over 4.25

6.50

Under 4.25

1.05

Draw no bet

1

1.27

2

3.42

Asian handicap

Away 3.5

1.02

1st half

1

2.31

X

2.14

2

4.99

Corners 2-Way

Over 14.5

6.95

Under 14.5

1.06

Cards in match

Over 4.5

1.67

Under 4.5

2.02

First team to score

Home

1.57

No Goal

9.00

Away

2.76