Atletico Paranaense3rd44 pts
Fluminense4th41 pts
Atletico Paranaense3rd44 pts
Fluminense4th41 ptsIn the Serie A table, Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd with 44 points from 24 games, while Fluminense are 4th with 41 points from 24 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Atletico Paranaense at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Fluminense at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.14 | 3.45, which imply roughly 46.3% for a Atletico Paranaense win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Serie A table: Atletico Paranaense are 3rd (44 pts, 34-22 goals), Fluminense 4th (41 pts, 36-29).
Over their last five matches, Atletico Paranaense averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Fluminense averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Atletico Paranaense or draw.
Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 51 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 41 |
| 5 |  Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 39 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 36 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 |
| 10 |  Corinthians | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 32 |
| 11 |  Sao Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 29 |
| 14 |  Santos | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 |
| 16 |  Vasco DA Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 25 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 25 |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 24 |
| 19 |  Remo | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 14 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.16
X
3.14
2
3.45
Double chance
1X
1.29
X2
1.67
12
1.33
Both teams to score
Yes
1.93
No
1.79
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.40
Under 1.5
2.85
Over 2.5
2.25
Under 2.5
1.63
Over 3.5
4.21
Under 3.5
1.20
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
7.73
Over 4.5
8.73
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
17.50
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Over 1.75
1.50
Under 1.75
2.48
Over 2
1.67
Under 2
2.13
Over 2.25
1.97
Under 2.25
1.81
Over 2.75
2.63
Under 2.75
1.45
Over 0.75
1.04
Under 0.75
7.00
Over 1
1.06
Under 1
6.25
Over 1.25
1.25
Under 1.25
3.54
Over 3
3.40
Under 3
1.29
Over 3.25
3.71
Under 3.25
1.22
Over 3.75
5.15
Under 3.75
1.10
Over 4
7.60
Under 4
1.03
Over 4.25
8.00
Under 4.25
1.02
Draw no bet
1
1.51
2
2.39
Asian handicap
Away 2.25
1.01
1st half
1
2.79
X
2.02
2
4.06
First team to score
Home
1.81
No Goal
7.73
Away
2.36
Corners 2-Way
Over 14.5
6.00
Under 14.5
1.09