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New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC• Major League Soccer, USA

1.4:1.223:30Today · Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison1.2:2.4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.68MARX4.74PIN24.38PINMargin at best3.5%Books5Markets73Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.684.744.383.5%
Bet3651.674.504.335.2%
BetVictor1.674.404.107.0%
Marathonbet1.684.354.007.5%
William Hill1.674.203.909.3%
Best of all books1.684.744.383.5%
Average1.674.444.146.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

New York Red BullsToronto FC
Last 109Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 52.454Attack rating4667Defence rating3369Form rating3175H2H rating2559Goals model4165Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:50 UTC

New York Red Bulls

3W 2D 5L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

14 OctADC United1-2L
10 OctHSan Diego4-1W
30 SepHSt. Louis City0-3L
18 SepANew York City FC1-0W
12 SepAColumbus Crew1-0W
10 SepALos Angeles FC0-2L
6 SepASeattle Sounders0-0D
29 AugHPhiladelphia Union1-3L
22 AugHChicago Fire1-1D
19 AugHNashville SC0-1L

Toronto FC

3W 4D 3L · goals 18:22 · per match 1.8 for, 2.2 against

14 OctHOrlando City SC3-3D
10 OctHCF Montreal2-1W
27 SepANashville SC0-2L
20 SepASt. Louis City1-3L
12 SepAOrlando City SC0-3L
9 SepHNashville SC2-1W
5 SepHChicago Fire4-4D
29 AugHNew York City FC1-1D
22 AugAInter Miami2-1W
19 AugHCharlotte3-3D

Head to head

18New York Red Bulls wins
11draws
6Toronto FC wins

35 meetings · goals 61:33 · last 10: 6W 4D 0L for New York Red Bulls

14 Mar 2026Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerToronto FC1-1New York Red Bulls
25 Jun 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerToronto FC1-1New York Red Bulls
22 Mar 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNew York Red Bulls2-1Toronto FC
2 Oct 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerToronto FC1-4New York Red Bulls
28 Jul 2024Leagues CupLeagues CupNew York Red Bulls0-0Toronto FC
22 Jun 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNew York Red Bulls3-0Toronto FC
7 Oct 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNew York Red Bulls3-0Toronto FC
17 May 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerToronto FC0-0New York Red Bulls
18 Jun 2022Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNew York Red Bulls2-0Toronto FC
5 Mar 2022Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerToronto FC1-4New York Red Bulls

Major League Soccer tableWestern Conferenceupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps29157761:30+3152
2St. Louis City29149654:38+1651
3FC Dallas29148753:45+850
4San Jose Earthquakes29138851:41+1047
5Houston Dynamo29137939:37+246
6Los Angeles FC30129947:32+1545
7Seattle Sounders291181038:36+241
8Los Angeles Galaxy301091141:50-939
9Colorado Rapids291151341:41038
10Portland Timbers29961451:56-533
11Real Salt Lake29961442:47-533
12San Diego29891251:54-333
13Minnesota United FC297101244:53-931
14Austin297101237:54-1731
15Sporting Kansas City29641935:72-3722

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.67X21%4.44223%4.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 21:101 1.67X 4.442 4.14
12.07 → 1.67 -19.3%X3.87 → 4.44 +14.7%23.02 → 4.14 +37.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.353.334.1%
Bet3651.333.404.6%
BetVictor1.303.257.7%
Marathonbet1.283.0510.9%
Best of all books1.353.403.5%
Average1.323.266.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.363.006.9%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
Marathonbet1.352.888.8%
Best of all books1.403.004.8%
Average1.362.917.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

New York Red Bulls 45%Draw 45%Toronto FC 10%

The statistical model rates New York Red Bulls at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Toronto FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.67 | 4.44 | 4.14, which imply roughly 59.9% for a New York Red Bulls win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, New York Red Bulls averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Toronto FC averaged 1.2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : New York Red Bulls or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.674.444.14

Double chance

1XX212
1.222.101.18

Draw no bet

12
1.323.15

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.362.91

1st half

1X2
2.132.704.04

2nd half

1X2
1.982.993.73

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.4913.928.5
HT X5.338.0010.1
HT 217.615.16.50

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5530.02.32

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0123.0
1.51.077.43
2.51.323.26
3.51.841.90
4.52.841.38
5.55.041.15
6.510.01.06
7.519.01.02
8.534.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.066.15
21.085.70
2.251.183.86
2.751.452.59
31.472.53
3.251.662.14
3.752.021.73
42.321.56
4.252.521.41
4.753.281.25
54.201.16
5.254.501.13
67.901.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.611.45
-1.252.341.56
-12.091.71
-0.751.811.96
-0.51.662.20
-0.251.492.50
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.701.01
-38.101.02
-2.755.881.10
-2.54.631.15
-2.254.331.17
-23.951.21
-1.753.111.34
01.323.19
+0.251.273.46
+0.51.273.76
+0.751.154.85
+11.076.78
+1.251.086.70
+1.51.077.30

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.362.94
31.562.37
3.51.951.81
42.541.49
4.52.981.35
53.381.28

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.144.33
8.51.302.97
9.51.572.23
10.51.951.78
11.52.531.45
12.53.341.24
13.54.701.12
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
91.442.63
101.772.01
112.301.58