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Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte• Major League Soccer, USA

3.6:1.42-2FTToday · Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia1.8:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50B365X5.49PIN26.17PINMargin at best1.1%Books5Markets76Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L54.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 16:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.465.316.043.9%
Bet3651.445.256.005.2%
BetVictor1.405.256.007.1%
Marathonbet1.424.955.907.6%
William Hill1.444.755.0010.5%
Best of all books1.465.316.043.9%
Average1.435.105.796.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Philadelphia UnionCharlotte
Last 1015Form pts · last 573.6Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 52.067Attack rating3359Defence rating4168Form rating3240H2H rating6062Goals model3855Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:30 UTC

Philadelphia Union

8W 2D 0L · goals 31:11 · per match 3.1 for, 1.1 against

15 OctAChicago Fire3-1W
10 OctHReal Salt Lake2-1W
26 SepHOrlando City SC4-2W
20 SepASporting Kansas City4-3W
14 SepASan Diego5-0W
9 SepHFC Cincinnati5-0W
5 SepHCF Montreal2-0W
29 AugANew York Red Bulls3-1W
23 AugAAustin1-1D
19 AugHInter Miami2-2D

Charlotte

5W 3D 2L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against

14 OctAColumbus Crew1-3L
10 OctHFC Dallas3-2W
26 SepHChicago Fire0-1L
19 SepADC United2-1W
12 SepAFC Cincinnati3-3D
9 SepACF Montreal2-1W
5 SepHHouston Dynamo0-0D
29 AugAAtlanta United FC2-0W
22 AugHDC United3-1W
19 AugAToronto FC3-3D

Head to head

4Philadelphia Union wins
2draws
4Charlotte wins

10 meetings · goals 9:13 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Philadelphia Union

4 Apr 2026Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerCharlotte2-1Philadelphia Union
18 Oct 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerCharlotte2-0Philadelphia Union
14 Jun 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerPhiladelphia Union2-1Charlotte
28 Jul 2024Leagues CupLeagues CupPhiladelphia Union1-0Charlotte
22 Jun 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerPhiladelphia Union0-2Charlotte
25 May 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerCharlotte0-0Philadelphia Union
20 Sep 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerCharlotte2-2Philadelphia Union
31 May 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerPhiladelphia Union1-0Charlotte
1 Oct 2022Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerCharlotte4-0Philadelphia Union
3 Apr 2022Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerPhiladelphia Union2-0Charlotte

Major League Soccer tableWestern Conferenceupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps29157761:30+3152
2St. Louis City29149654:38+1651
3FC Dallas29148753:45+850
4San Jose Earthquakes29138851:41+1047
5Houston Dynamo29137939:37+246
6Los Angeles FC30129947:32+1545
7Seattle Sounders291181038:36+241
8Los Angeles Galaxy301091141:50-939
9Colorado Rapids291151341:41038
10Portland Timbers29961451:56-533
11Real Salt Lake29961442:47-533
12San Diego29891251:54-333
13Minnesota United FC297101244:53-931
14Austin297101237:54-1731
15Sporting Kansas City29641935:72-3722

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg167%1.41X18%5.24215%6.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 15:101 1.43X 5.132 5.79
11.56 → 1.43 -8.3%X4.50 → 5.13 +14.0%24.86 → 5.79 +19.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.353.353.9%
Bet3651.254.005.0%
BetVictor1.303.257.7%
Marathonbet1.283.0810.6%
Best of all books1.354.00-0.9%
Average1.303.426.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
William Hill1.402.708.5%
Marathonbet1.442.558.7%
BetVictor1.402.639.5%
Best of all books1.442.706.5%
Average1.422.638.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Philadelphia Union 45%Draw 45%Charlotte 10%

The statistical model rated Philadelphia Union at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Charlotte at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.41 | 5.24 | 6.08, which imply roughly 70.9% for a Philadelphia Union win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Philadelphia Union averaged 3.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Charlotte averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Philadelphia Union or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Philadelphia Union

4-4-2

Coach: Ryan Richter

Goalkeeper

  • 18A. Blake

Defence

  • 39F. Westfield
  • 44Neil Pierre
  • 26N. Harriel
  • 27K. Wagner

Midfield

  • 6Cavan Sullivan
  • 21D. Jean-Jacques
  • 4J. Lukić
  • 19I. Vassilev

Attack

  • 10M. Iloski
  • 9B. Damiani
Substitutes (9)
  • 14J. Rafanello
  • 51M. Jakupovic
  • 16B. Bender
  • 11A. Bedoya
  • 5J. Sery Larsen
  • 76A. Rick
  • 33Q. Sullivan
  • 28A. Anello
  • 23E. Alladoh

Charlotte

4-3-3

Coach: D. Smith

Goalkeeper

  • 1K. Kahlina

Defence

  • 14N. Byrne
  • 44M. Agyemang
  • 22H. Kessler
  • 23D. Schnegg

Midfield

  • 28D. Diani
  • 8A. Westwood
  • 16Pep Biel

Attack

  • 37R. Aloko
  • 9I. Toklomati Giorno
  • 10A. Saint-Maximin
Substitutes (9)
  • 13B. Bronico
  • 35Will Cleary
  • 17L. de la Torre
  • 21T. Miller
  • 4A. Privett
  • 3T. Ream
  • 25Tyger Smalls
  • 15H. Toffolo
  • 11L. Abada

Match Statistics

Philadelphia UnionCharlotte
2.64Expected Goals1.63
224Passes accurate382
12Shots insidebox10
9Shots outsidebox3
7Blocked Shots4
13Free Kicks18
5Shots on Goal3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
9Shots off Goal6
2Offsides0
300Total passes470
21Total Shots13
7Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards3
18Fouls15
0Red Cards0
40%Ball Possession60%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.435.105.79

Double chance

1XX212
1.132.631.15

Draw no bet

12
1.174.67

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.422.63

1st half

1X2
1.812.845.39

2nd half

1X2
1.703.184.83

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.0215.937.5
HT X4.688.9013.6
HT 216.817.49.63

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4130.02.75

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0129.0
1.51.077.69
2.51.303.42
3.51.801.97
4.52.771.41
5.54.811.16
6.58.001.07
7.515.01.03
8.526.01.01
9.551.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.066.25
21.075.80
2.251.173.95
2.751.332.81
31.462.56
3.251.642.16
3.752.011.74
42.311.56
4.252.471.49
4.753.141.27
54.001.17
5.254.331.14
67.701.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.361.54
-1.52.071.70
-1.251.861.90
-11.662.17
-0.751.512.45
-0.51.422.78
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.56.001.06
-3.256.251.12
-35.631.11
-2.754.131.19
-2.53.421.26
-2.253.211.32
-22.851.39
-0.251.303.36
01.194.36
+0.251.154.78
+0.51.165.25
+0.751.076.90

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.362.94
41.512.48
4.51.762.02
52.221.62
5.52.591.45

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.075.75
7.51.114.80
8.51.253.28
9.51.582.24
10.51.901.83
11.52.301.54
12.52.971.30
13.54.151.16
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
91.432.65
101.772.04
112.101.70