New York Red Bulls vs San Diego• Major League Soccer, USA

#80.4:1.023:30Today · Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison1.4:2.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.60DAFX4.10BFR22.52PINMargin at best2.5%Books9Markets69Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 20:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.57	4.03	2.52	3.4%
Dafabet	2.60	3.95	2.49	3.9%
Betano	2.57	3.85	2.50	4.9%
Bet365	2.55	3.80	2.50	5.5%
Betfair	2.55	4.10	2.38	5.6%
BetVictor	2.50	4.00	2.40	6.7%
Marathonbet	2.51	3.82	2.41	7.5%
William Hill	2.45	3.60	2.40	10.3%
SBO	2.42	3.74	2.32	11.2%
Best of all books	2.60	4.10	2.52	2.5%
Average	2.52	3.88	2.44	6.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

New York Red BullsSan Diego

Last 107Form pts · last 520.4Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 52.822Attack rating7874Defence rating2678Form rating220H2H rating10045Goals model5555Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:10 UTC

New York Red Bulls

3W 2D 5L · goals 8:14 · per match 0.8 for, 1.4 against

30 Sep	H	St. Louis City	0-3	L
18 Sep	A	New York City FC	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Columbus Crew	1-0	W
10 Sep	A	Los Angeles FC	0-2	L
6 Sep	A	Seattle Sounders	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Philadelphia Union	1-3	L
22 Aug	H	Chicago Fire	1-1	D
19 Aug	H	Nashville SC	0-1	L
15 Aug	A	Atlanta United FC	1-2	L
1 Aug	H	Orlando City SC	3-2	W

San Diego

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:20 · per match 1.8 for, 2.0 against

27 Sep	A	Austin	3-3	D
20 Sep	A	Inter Miami	2-2	D
14 Sep	H	Philadelphia Union	0-5	L
10 Sep	H	San Jose Earthquakes	2-3	L
5 Sep	A	Orlando City SC	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Los Angeles Galaxy	3-1	W
23 Aug	H	Colorado Rapids	3-0	W
20 Aug	A	Portland Timbers	1-3	L
16 Aug	A	Los Angeles FC	1-0	W
13 Aug	H	Puebla	3-2	W

Head to head

0New York Red Bulls wins

0draws

1San Diego wins

1 meeting · goals 0:6 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for New York Red Bulls

15 Feb 2025Friendlies Clubs

Friendlies Clubs

San Diego6-0New York Red Bulls

Major League Soccer tableEastern Conferenceupdated 10 Oct 21:31 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	55:21	+34	60
2	Chicago Fire	28	14	6	8	51:40	+11	48
3	New England Revolution	27	14	4	9	45:36	+9	46
4	Inter Miami	27	12	10	5	64:50	+14	46
5	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	47:38	+9	43
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	54:44	+10	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	10	4	13	48:64	-16	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	9	6	12	34:51	-17	33
9	New York City FC	28	8	9	11	42:38	+4	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	55:64	-9	33
11	Toronto FC	28	7	11	10	41:52	-11	32
12	DC United	26	6	12	8	34:42	-8	30
13	Columbus Crew	27	8	5	14	39:43	-4	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	7	6	14	32:45	-13	27
15	CF Montreal	28	6	6	16	35:56	-21	24

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.52X24%3.89239%2.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.54 → 2.52 -0.8%X3.73 → 3.89 +4.3%22.39 → 2.44 +2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.38	3.19	3.8%
Bet365	1.33	3.40	4.6%
Betano	1.36	3.20	4.8%
Betfair	1.33	3.25	6.0%
BetVictor	1.30	3.30	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Best of all books	1.38	3.40	1.9%
Average	1.33	3.21	6.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.33	3.25	6.0%
Betfair	1.33	3.25	6.0%
Betano	1.31	3.25	7.1%
William Hill	1.30	3.20	8.2%
BetVictor	1.29	3.25	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.31	3.08	8.8%
Best of all books	1.33	3.25	6.0%
Average	1.31	3.21	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

New York Red Bulls 10%Draw 45%San Diego 45%

The statistical model rates New York Red Bulls at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and San Diego at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.52 | 3.89 | 2.44, which imply roughly 25.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, New York Red Bulls averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; San Diego averaged 1.4 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or San Diego.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.52	3.88	2.44

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.52	1.47	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.90	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.31	3.21

1st half

1	X	2
2.88	2.56	2.81

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.87	26.0	1.85

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	18.8
1.5	1.08	7.39
2.5	1.34	3.21
3.5	1.86	1.92
4.5	2.89	1.39
5.5	5.03	1.16
6.5	9.00	1.07
7.5	16.2	1.02
8.5	25.3	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.07	5.95
2	1.08	5.45
2.25	1.19	3.74
2.75	1.36	2.69
3	1.50	2.53
3.25	1.69	2.12
3.75	2.05	1.73
4	2.36	1.56
4.25	2.56	1.40
4.75	3.28	1.25
5	4.25	1.15
5.25	4.55	1.13
6	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.50	1.53
-0.25	2.20	1.64
0	1.92	1.86
+0.25	1.67	2.14
+0.5	1.56	2.42
+0.75	1.39	2.81

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	8.50	1.03
-2	7.80	1.02
-1.75	5.60	1.11
-1.5	4.41	1.17
-1.25	4.07	1.19
-1	3.73	1.25
-0.75	2.93	1.37
+1	1.26	3.59
+1.25	1.21	3.84
+1.5	1.19	4.13
+1.75	1.13	5.35
+2	1.03	7.30
+2.5	1.04	8.00
+3.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3	1.26	3.53
3.5	1.54	2.40
4	1.81	1.98
4.5	2.05	1.73
5	2.83	1.39
5.5	2.81	1.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	12.0
5.5	1.06	7.90
6.5	1.12	5.23
7.5	1.26	3.41
8.5	1.50	2.41
9.5	1.89	1.84
10.5	2.40	1.51
11.5	3.20	1.30
12.5	4.55	1.16
13.5	6.50	1.09
14.5	8.90	1.04
15.5	11.5	1.02

2 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9	1.73	2.09
10	2.12	1.68