Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake• Major League Soccer, USA

#64.0:1.023:30Today · Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia0.8:1.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.37BTNX5.88PIN28.25BTNMargin at best2.1%Books9Markets80Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 20:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.37	5.70	8.25	2.7%
Pinnacle	1.35	5.88	7.87	3.8%
Dafabet	1.35	5.80	7.80	4.1%
Betfair	1.33	5.50	8.00	5.9%
Bet365	1.36	5.00	8.00	6.0%
Marathonbet	1.35	5.15	7.10	7.6%
BetVictor	1.30	5.50	8.00	7.6%
SBO	1.33	5.03	6.47	10.5%
William Hill	1.33	5.00	6.50	10.6%
Best of all books	1.37	5.88	8.25	2.1%
Average	1.34	5.40	7.55	6.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Philadelphia UnionReal Salt Lake

Last 1015Form pts · last 534.0Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.883Attack rating1764Defence rating3683Form rating1720H2H rating8071Goals model2960Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:10 UTC

Philadelphia Union

7W 2D 1L · goals 29:13 · per match 2.9 for, 1.3 against

26 Sep	H	Orlando City SC	4-2	W
20 Sep	A	Sporting Kansas City	4-3	W
14 Sep	A	San Diego	5-0	W
9 Sep	H	FC Cincinnati	5-0	W
5 Sep	H	CF Montreal	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	New York Red Bulls	3-1	W
23 Aug	A	Austin	1-1	D
19 Aug	H	Inter Miami	2-2	D
16 Aug	A	New York City FC	3-2	W
13 Aug	H	Santos Laguna	0-2	L

Real Salt Lake

1W 1D 8L · goals 10:21 · per match 1.0 for, 2.1 against

27 Sep	H	New England Revolution	3-0	W
24 Sep	A	Seattle Sounders	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Vancouver Whitecaps	0-3	L
13 Sep	H	New York City FC	0-2	L
10 Sep	A	Houston Dynamo	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Los Angeles FC	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	Colorado Rapids	0-1	L
26 Aug	A	Leon	0-3	L
22 Aug	A	Orlando City SC	1-2	L
20 Aug	H	FC Dallas	3-4	L

Head to head

1Philadelphia Union wins

4draws

4Real Salt Lake wins

9 meetings · goals 13:17 · last 9: 1W 4D 4L for Philadelphia Union

27 Apr 2024Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Philadelphia Union1-2Real Salt Lake
14 Jul 2019Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Real Salt Lake4-0Philadelphia Union
19 May 2018Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Philadelphia Union4-1Real Salt Lake
28 May 2017Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Real Salt Lake1-0Philadelphia Union
31 Jul 2016Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Philadelphia Union1-2Real Salt Lake
15 Mar 2015Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Real Salt Lake3-3Philadelphia Union
12 Apr 2014Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Philadelphia Union2-2Real Salt Lake
4 Jul 2013Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Real Salt Lake2-2Philadelphia Union
24 Aug 2012Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Philadelphia Union0-0Real Salt Lake

Major League Soccer tableEastern Conferenceupdated 10 Oct 21:31 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	55:21	+34	60
2	Chicago Fire	28	14	6	8	51:40	+11	48
3	New England Revolution	27	14	4	9	45:36	+9	46
4	Inter Miami	27	12	10	5	64:50	+14	46
5	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	47:38	+9	43
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	54:44	+10	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	10	4	13	48:64	-16	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	9	6	12	34:51	-17	33
9	New York City FC	28	8	9	11	42:38	+4	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	55:64	-9	33
11	Toronto FC	28	7	11	10	41:52	-11	32
12	DC United	26	6	12	8	34:42	-8	30
13	Columbus Crew	27	8	5	14	39:43	-4	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	7	6	14	32:45	-13	27
15	CF Montreal	28	6	6	16	35:56	-21	24

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg170%1.34X17%5.40212%7.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.41 → 1.34 -5.0%X4.82 → 5.40 +12.0%26.10 → 7.55 +23.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.37	3.21	4.1%
Betano	1.42	2.95	4.3%
Betfair	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Bet365	1.40	2.88	6.2%
BetVictor	1.33	3.10	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.81	10.8%
Best of all books	1.42	3.21	1.6%
Average	1.37	3.01	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betano	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.24	8.7%
Best of all books	1.65	2.38	2.6%
Average	1.59	2.25	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Philadelphia Union 45%Draw 45%Real Salt Lake 10%

The statistical model rates Philadelphia Union at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Salt Lake at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.34 | 5.40 | 7.55, which imply roughly 74.6% for a Philadelphia Union win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Philadelphia Union averaged 4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Real Salt Lake averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Philadelphia Union.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.34	5.40	7.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	3.09	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.11	5.96

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
1.74	2.80	6.18

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	23.0	3.04

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.5
1.5	1.10	6.58
2.5	1.37	3.01
3.5	1.96	1.82
4.5	3.15	1.34
5.5	5.59	1.13
6.5	10.5	1.05
7.5	17.5	1.02
8.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.09	5.40
2	1.11	4.95
2.25	1.22	3.50
2.75	1.45	2.61
3	1.55	2.38
3.25	1.75	2.03
3.75	2.13	1.66
4	2.53	1.49
4.25	2.66	1.37
4.75	3.42	1.23
5	4.40	1.14
5.25	4.70	1.12
6	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.77	1.40
-2	2.50	1.50
-1.75	2.12	1.69
-1.5	1.90	1.89
-1.25	1.69	2.11
-1	1.51	2.51

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	8.90	1.01
-3.5	5.67	1.11
-3.25	5.23	1.13
-3	4.83	1.15
-2.75	3.60	1.24
-2.5	3.13	1.33
-0.75	1.38	2.84
-0.5	1.36	3.12
-0.25	1.24	3.82
0	1.10	5.95
+0.25	1.10	5.98
+0.5	1.10	6.80
+1.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.35	3.05
4	1.50	2.50
4.5	1.78	1.99
5	2.25	1.61
5.5	2.36	1.55
6	3.05	1.33

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.01	17.0
5.5	1.02	10.0
6.5	1.09	6.65
7.5	1.16	4.47
8.5	1.32	3.05
9.5	1.55	2.29
10.5	1.94	1.79
11.5	2.49	1.47
12.5	3.31	1.28
13.5	4.58	1.16
14.5	6.45	1.09
15.5	8.25	1.05
16.5	10.5	1.03

2 more lines

Line	Over	Under
10	1.77	2.01
11	2.18	1.65