OddsFilter

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal• Major League Soccer, USA

#111.4:2.62-1FTToday · BMO Field, Toronto0.8:1.6#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00BTNX4.00BFR23.75BTNMargin at best1.7%Books9Markets68Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 08:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.003.903.752.3%
Pinnacle1.953.913.763.5%
Dafabet1.993.903.554.1%
Betfair1.914.003.605.1%
Bet3651.953.803.605.4%
BetVictor1.933.903.406.9%
Marathonbet1.893.743.587.6%
William Hill1.853.603.5010.4%
SBO1.963.523.1910.8%
Best of all books2.004.003.761.6%
Average1.943.813.556.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Toronto FCCF Montreal
Last 10#11Table position#151.14Points per game0.864Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 50.82.6Goals against · last 51.664Attack rating3638Defence rating6257Form rating4375H2H rating2565Goals model3562Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 18:51 UTC

Toronto FC

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:20 · per match 1.6 for, 2.0 against

27 SepANashville SC0-2L
20 SepASt. Louis City1-3L
12 SepAOrlando City SC0-3L
9 SepHNashville SC2-1W
5 SepHChicago Fire4-4D
29 AugHNew York City FC1-1D
22 AugAInter Miami2-1W
19 AugHCharlotte3-3D
15 AugHNew England Revolution2-1W
31 JulANew York City FC1-1D

CF Montreal

3W 2D 5L · goals 12:20 · per match 1.2 for, 2.0 against

26 SepHFC Cincinnati3-1W
19 SepHColumbus Crew0-2L
16 SepHVancouver Whitecaps2-1W
13 SepAColorado Rapids0-1L
9 SepHCharlotte1-2L
5 SepAPhiladelphia Union0-2L
3 SepAVancouver Whitecaps1-1D
29 AugAInter Miami1-7L
22 AugHLos Angeles Galaxy2-2D
19 AugAColumbus Crew2-1W

Head to head

22Toronto FC wins
10draws
19CF Montreal wins

51 meetings · goals 88:70 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Toronto FC

16 Jul 2026Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerCF Montreal0-0Toronto FC
30 Aug 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerToronto FC1-1CF Montreal
17 May 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerCF Montreal1-6Toronto FC
30 Apr 2025Canadian ChampionshipCanadian ChampionshipToronto FC2-2CF Montreal
20 Jul 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerCF Montreal0-1Toronto FC
18 May 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerToronto FC5-1CF Montreal
20 Aug 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerToronto FC2-3CF Montreal
13 May 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerCF Montreal2-0Toronto FC
9 May 2023Canadian ChampionshipCanadian ChampionshipToronto FC1-2CF Montreal
4 Sep 2022Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerToronto FC3-4CF Montreal

Major League Soccer tableEastern Conferenceupdated 10 Oct 21:31 UTC

In the Major League Soccer table, Toronto FC sit 11th with 32 points from 28 games, while CF Montreal are 15th with 24 points from 28.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nashville SC27186355:21+3460
2Chicago Fire28146851:40+1148
3New England Revolution27144945:36+946
4Inter Miami271210564:50+1446
5Charlotte27127847:38+943
6Philadelphia Union271161054:44+1039
7Orlando City SC271041348:64-1634
8New York Red Bulls27961234:51-1733
9New York City FC28891142:38+433
10FC Cincinnati2689955:64-933
11Toronto FC287111041:52-1132
12DC United26612834:42-830
13Columbus Crew27851439:43-429
14Atlanta United FC27761432:45-1327
15CF Montreal28661635:56-2124

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.95X25%3.73227%3.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:029 Oct 20:301 1.93X 3.792 3.53
11.90 → 1.93 +1.6%X3.72 → 3.79 +1.9%23.46 → 3.53 +2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.562.523.8%
Betano1.552.524.2%
Betfair1.502.555.9%
Bet3651.532.407.0%
BetVictor1.502.369.0%
Marathonbet1.452.4110.5%
Best of all books1.562.553.3%
Average1.512.466.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.472.636.1%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
William Hill1.502.506.7%
Betano1.472.557.2%
BetVictor1.442.558.7%
Marathonbet1.452.518.8%
Best of all books1.502.634.7%
Average1.472.547.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Toronto FC 45%Draw 45%CF Montreal 10%

The statistical model rated Toronto FC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and CF Montreal at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.95 | 3.73 | 3.52, which imply roughly 51.3% for a Toronto FC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Major League Soccer table: Toronto FC are 11th (32 pts, 41-52 goals), CF Montreal 15th (24 pts, 35-56).

Over their last five matches, Toronto FC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; CF Montreal averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Toronto FC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Toronto FC

4-3-3

Coach: R. Fraser

Goalkeeper

  • 1L. Gavran

Defence

  • 22R. Laryea
  • 15N. Gomis
  • 13B. Kuscevic
  • 3Matheus Pereira

Midfield

  • 6N. Dorsch
  • 14Alonso Coello
  • 21J. Osorio

Attack

  • 20D. Sallói
  • 7T. Corbeanu
  • 9J. Sargent
Substitutes (9)
  • 23W. Yarbrough
  • 11D. Etienne
  • 96R. Chukwu
  • 17Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga
  • 38J. Gilman
  • 10D. Mihailović
  • 12Z. Monlouis
  • 90L. Morgan
  • 27A. Piedrahita

CF Montreal

3-4-2-1

Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy

Goalkeeper

  • 1S. Breza

Defence

  • 2J. Neal
  • 4B. Vera
  • 27D. Bugaj
  • 13L. Petrasso

Midfield

  • 5B. Craig
  • 22V. Loturi
  • 8M. Longstaff

Attack

  • 14D. Ríos
  • 10A. Sánchez
  • 9P. Owusu
Substitutes (9)
  • 16W. Carmona
  • 21F. Herbers
  • 41S. Keita
  • 24E. Morales
  • 7D. Pereira
  • 6S. Piette
  • 28V. Radojević
  • 23N. Streit
  • 18H. Synchuk

Match Statistics

Toronto FCCF Montreal
1.7Expected Goals1.57
273Passes accurate253
12Shots insidebox12
2Shots outsidebox4
2Blocked Shots4
17Free Kicks9
5Shots on Goal7
6Goalkeeper Saves3
7Shots off Goal5
4Offsides2
351Total passes339
14Total Shots16
1Yellow Cards3
8Corner Kicks6
9Fouls17
0Red Cards0
52%Ball Possession48%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.943.813.55

Double chance

1XX212
1.271.831.23

Draw no bet

12
1.432.63

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.472.54

1st half

1X2
2.392.423.81

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6517.92.25

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.3
1.51.145.29
2.51.522.46
3.52.271.61
4.53.931.23
5.57.601.08
6.513.81.03
7.522.51.02
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.134.60
21.164.10
2.251.312.92
2.751.632.19
31.821.96
3.252.051.73
3.752.531.43
43.121.28
4.253.421.23
4.754.651.12
56.251.06
5.256.651.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.961.37
-12.631.47
-0.752.161.67
-0.51.941.88
-0.251.672.14
01.442.66
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.511.01.02
-2.56.271.09
-2.255.901.10
-25.581.12
-1.753.951.21
-1.53.251.31
+0.251.343.07
+0.51.293.64
+0.751.174.35
+11.086.50
+1.251.076.93
+1.51.057.15
+2.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.402.81
31.542.41
3.51.941.81
42.441.53
4.52.861.38

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.049.25
6.51.096.10
7.51.213.82
8.51.422.67
9.51.722.03
10.52.191.60
11.52.861.36
12.53.971.20
13.55.451.12
14.57.351.07
15.59.631.03
16.511.31.02
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
91.612.26
101.951.82