OddsFilter

Chicago Fire vs New York City FC• Major League Soccer, USA

#41.2:1.41-1LiveToday · Soldier Field, Chicago1.0:1.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.03DAFX3.97PIN23.70BTNMargin at best1.5%Books9Markets71Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 16:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.003.903.702.7%
Pinnacle1.983.973.603.5%
Dafabet2.033.853.454.2%
Bet3651.953.803.605.4%
BetVictor1.933.903.406.9%
Betfair1.913.903.407.4%
Marathonbet1.893.783.557.5%
William Hill1.913.603.3010.4%
SBO1.963.523.2010.7%
Best of all books2.033.973.701.5%
Average1.953.803.476.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Chicago FireNew York City FC
Last 10#4Table position#91.67Points per game1.227Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.055Attack rating4542Defence rating5858Form rating4215H2H rating8556Goals model4443Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 20:02 UTC

Chicago Fire

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

7 OctHVancouver Whitecaps3-1W
26 SepACharlotte1-0W
20 SepANashville SC0-3L
13 SepHNew England Revolution1-2L
10 SepHInter Miami1-1D
5 SepAToronto FC4-4D
29 AugASeattle Sounders2-2D
26 AugAMonterrey1-2L
22 AugANew York Red Bulls1-1D
19 AugAOrlando City SC2-1W

New York City FC

1W 4D 5L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

26 SepAAtlanta United FC2-2D
18 SepHNew York Red Bulls0-1L
13 SepAReal Salt Lake2-0W
10 SepHNew England Revolution1-2L
4 SepHNashville SC0-0D
29 AugAToronto FC1-1D
23 AugANew England Revolution1-1D
19 AugAFC Cincinnati1-2L
16 AugHPhiladelphia Union2-3L
13 AugHNecaxa1-2L

Head to head

3Chicago Fire wins
8draws
14New York City FC wins

25 meetings · goals 25:43 · last 10: 0W 3D 7L for Chicago Fire

25 Jul 2026Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNew York City FC3-1Chicago Fire
14 Sep 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerChicago Fire1-3New York City FC
25 May 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNew York City FC3-1Chicago Fire
24 Aug 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNew York City FC2-2Chicago Fire
14 Jul 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerChicago Fire0-0New York City FC
22 Oct 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNew York City FC1-0Chicago Fire
5 Mar 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerChicago Fire1-1New York City FC
21 Aug 2022Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerChicago Fire0-2New York City FC
22 May 2022Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNew York City FC1-0Chicago Fire
27 Oct 2021Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNew York City FC1-0Chicago Fire

Major League Soccer tableEastern Conferenceupdated 10 Oct 19:21 UTC

In the Major League Soccer table, Chicago Fire sit 4th with 45 points from 27 games, while New York City FC are 9th with 33 points from 27.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nashville SC27186355:21+3460
2New England Revolution27144945:36+946
3Inter Miami271210564:50+1446
4Chicago Fire27136849:39+1045
5Charlotte27127847:38+943
6Philadelphia Union271161054:44+1039
7Orlando City SC271041348:64-1634
8New York Red Bulls27961234:51-1733
9New York City FC27891041:36+533
10FC Cincinnati2689955:64-933
11DC United26612834:42-830
12Columbus Crew27851439:43-429
13Toronto FC276111039:51-1229
14Atlanta United FC27761432:45-1327
15CF Montreal27661534:54-2024

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.95X25%3.80227%3.47

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 17:401 1.95X 3.802 3.47
11.75 → 1.95 +11.4%X3.96 → 3.80 -4.0%23.93 → 3.47 -11.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.542.593.5%
Betano1.532.574.3%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betfair1.502.506.7%
BetVictor1.492.389.1%
Marathonbet1.472.3510.6%
Best of all books1.542.593.5%
Average1.512.486.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.452.607.4%
Betfair1.442.637.5%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
Marathonbet1.462.498.7%
BetVictor1.442.558.7%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Best of all books1.462.636.5%
Average1.452.568.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chicago Fire 10%Draw 45%New York City FC 45%

The statistical model rates Chicago Fire at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and New York City FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.47, which imply roughly 26.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Major League Soccer table: Chicago Fire are 4th (45 pts, 49-39 goals), New York City FC 9th (33 pts, 41-36).

Over their last five matches, Chicago Fire averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; New York City FC averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or New York City FC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Chicago Fire

4-4-2

Coach: G. Berhalter

Goalkeeper

  • 1C. Brady

Defence

  • 24J. Dean
  • 3J. Elliott
  • 4M. Mbokazi
  • 2Leonardo Barroso

Midfield

  • 11P. Zinckernagel
  • 6A. Salétros
  • 42T. D'Avilla
  • 19J. Bamba

Attack

  • 9R. Lewandowski
  • 7M. Haile-Selassie
Substitutes (9)
  • 32N. Allen
  • 44J. Cohen
  • 12P. Dithejane
  • 18J. Gómez
  • 21A. Hanche-Olsen
  • 35S. Oregel
  • 22M. Pineda
  • 29D. Poręba
  • 15A. Gutman

New York City FC

4-2-3-1

Coach: P. Jansen

Goalkeeper

  • 49M. Freese

Defence

  • 24T. Gray
  • 13Thiago Martins
  • 6J. Sands
  • 2Nico Cavallo

Midfield

  • 21A. O'Neill
  • 8A. Perea
  • 26A. Ojeda
  • 7N. Fernández Mercau
  • 17H. Wolf

Attack

  • 16A. Martínez
Substitutes (9)
  • 3M. Miazga
  • 23Maxwell Murray
  • 22K. O'Toole
  • 34Raul Gustavo
  • 30T. Romero
  • 32J. Shore
  • 9B. Traoré
  • 20Luighi Hanri
  • 88M. Jones

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.953.803.47

Double chance

1XX212
1.271.831.23

Draw no bet

12
1.452.59

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.442.57

1st half

1X2
2.412.413.78

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6517.92.25

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.3
1.51.145.34
2.51.512.48
3.52.261.61
4.53.901.23
5.57.361.08
6.513.01.03
7.522.31.02
8.551.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.134.50
21.174.00
2.251.322.88
2.751.632.19
31.801.98
3.252.051.74
3.752.601.41
43.201.27
4.253.501.22
4.754.801.12
56.551.05
5.256.901.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.961.37
-12.641.47
-0.752.171.66
-0.51.951.87
-0.251.682.13
01.442.64
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.511.01.02
-2.757.301.03
-2.56.471.09
-2.256.081.10
-25.631.11
-1.754.021.20
-1.53.201.33
+0.251.353.03
+0.51.313.51
+0.751.174.35
+11.096.40
+1.251.076.82
+1.51.066.90
+2.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.372.95
31.472.58
3.51.861.89
42.251.61
4.52.691.43

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0210.6
5.51.077.15
6.51.144.75
7.51.313.13
8.51.572.27
9.51.971.79
10.52.581.45
11.53.581.24
12.55.001.13
13.57.251.07
14.59.751.03
15.513.81.02
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
91.702.09
102.201.63