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New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City• Major League Soccer, USA

#80.6:1.00-3FT30/09 · Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison3.0:1.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.83PINX4.33B36521.95SBOMargin at best0.5%Books8Markets56Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.953.902.205.0%
Pinnacle3.024.002.135.1%
Betfair2.884.002.107.3%
Marathonbet2.973.822.107.5%
Bet3652.903.802.108.4%
BetVictor2.883.802.059.8%
William Hill2.903.602.109.9%
SBO2.753.492.0015.0%
Best of all books3.024.002.203.6%
Average2.913.802.108.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 8 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

New York Red BullsSt. Louis City
Last 109Form pts · last 5130.6Goals for · last 53.01.0Goals against · last 51.817Attack rating8364Defence rating3639Form rating6150H2H rating5040Goals model6044Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:50 UTC

New York Red Bulls

3W 2D 5L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

14 OctADC United1-2L
10 OctHSan Diego4-1W
30 SepHSt. Louis City0-3L
18 SepANew York City FC1-0W
12 SepAColumbus Crew1-0W
10 SepALos Angeles FC0-2L
6 SepASeattle Sounders0-0D
29 AugHPhiladelphia Union1-3L
22 AugHChicago Fire1-1D
19 AugHNashville SC0-1L

St. Louis City

7W 3D 0L · goals 29:12 · per match 2.9 for, 1.2 against

15 OctHVancouver Whitecaps0-0D
11 OctHLos Angeles Galaxy6-2W
30 SepANew York Red Bulls3-0W
20 SepHToronto FC3-1W
17 SepAColorado Rapids3-0W
13 SepHMinnesota United FC4-2W
10 SepAPortland Timbers2-2D
6 SepAVancouver Whitecaps3-1W
30 AugHFC Dallas3-3D
23 AugHHouston Dynamo2-1W

Head to head

1New York Red Bulls wins
1draws
1St. Louis City wins

3 meetings · goals 5:4 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for New York Red Bulls

24 Jan 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsNew York Red Bulls3-1St. Louis City
29 Jan 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsNew York Red Bulls0-1St. Louis City
10 Feb 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsSt. Louis City2-2New York Red Bulls

Major League Soccer tableEastern Conferenceupdated 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nashville SC29206363:22+4166
2Inter Miami291410570:50+2052
3New England Revolution291541048:41+749
4Chicago Fire29146952:43+948
5Charlotte29137951:43+846
6Philadelphia Union291361059:46+1345
7Orlando City SC291151354:69-1538
8New York Red Bulls291061339:54-1536
9FC Cincinnati28991060:68-836
10New York City FC29891242:40+233
11Toronto FC297121044:55-1133
12DC United28712936:47-1133
13Columbus Crew29951544:47-332
14Atlanta United FC29861536:48-1230
15CF Montreal29661735:59-2424

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.62X23%4.11251%1.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

23 Sep 00:0130 Sep 18:311 3.62X 4.102 1.83
12.91 → 3.62 +24.4%X3.80 → 4.10 +7.9%22.10 → 1.83 -12.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.452.824.4%
Pinnacle1.432.815.5%
Bet3651.442.706.5%
BetVictor1.402.807.1%
Marathonbet1.382.6210.6%
Best of all books1.452.824.4%
Average1.422.756.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.402.826.9%
William Hill1.402.807.1%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
BetVictor1.362.908.0%
Marathonbet1.372.808.7%
Best of all books1.402.905.9%
Average1.392.817.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

New York Red Bulls 10%Draw 45%St. Louis City 45%

The statistical model rated New York Red Bulls at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and St. Louis City at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.62 | 4.11 | 1.83, which imply roughly 24.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, New York Red Bulls averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; St. Louis City averaged 3 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : St. Louis City.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

New York Red Bulls

4-3-3

Coach: Michael Bradley

Goalkeeper

  • 34E. Horvath

Defence

  • 12D. Nealis
  • 14J. Bazán
  • 26T. Parker
  • 59D. Padelford

Midfield

  • 37M. Sofo
  • 60S. Kone
  • 10E. Forsberg

Attack

  • 11J. Ruvalcaba
  • 13E. Choupo-Moting
  • 7C. Cowell
Substitutes (7)
  • 45C. Faello
  • 88Pedro Henrique Severiano Castro
  • 80N. Worth
  • 6R. Voloder
  • 66T. Rosborough
  • 70A. Rojas
  • 77J. McCarthy

St. Louis City

3-4-3

Coach: Y. Damet

Goalkeeper

  • 1R. Bürki

Defence

  • 21D. Polvara
  • 32T. Baumgartl
  • 27F. Fall

Midfield

  • 6C. Wallem
  • 8C. Durkin
  • 24D. Edelman
  • 14T. Totland

Attack

  • 19C. Holse
  • 9Rafael Navarro
  • 23A. Mățan
Substitutes (9)
  • 28M. Perez
  • 20Rafael Santos
  • 11S. Becher
  • 77Jeong Sang-Bin
  • 59M. Joyner
  • 39B. Lundt
  • 5L. MacNaughton
  • 99J. Orozco
  • 7T. Ostrák

Match Statistics

New York Red BullsSt. Louis City
338Passes accurate413
5Shots insidebox10
5Shots outsidebox5
2Blocked Shots4
12Free Kicks12
5Shots on Goal8
5Goalkeeper Saves4
3Shots off Goal3
3Offsides4
423Total passes505
10Total Shots15
1Yellow Cards1
4Corner Kicks3
12Fouls12
0Red Cards0
45%Ball Possession55%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.913.802.10

Double chance

1XX212
1.671.381.23

Draw no bet

12
2.191.62

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.392.81

1st half

1X2
3.262.482.53

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0422.01.73

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.0
1.51.115.86
2.51.422.75
3.52.041.74
4.53.301.31
5.56.021.11
6.511.41.05
7.518.81.02
8.551.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.105.05
21.124.65
2.251.253.28
2.751.502.48
31.632.21
3.251.841.93
3.752.281.59
42.721.42
4.252.881.32
4.753.741.19
54.851.11
5.255.101.10
68.901.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.901.40
-0.252.571.48
02.261.60
+0.251.921.86
+0.51.722.11
+0.751.532.40
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.501.03
-1.756.881.07
-1.55.521.12
-1.255.231.13
-14.481.19
-0.753.381.29
+11.362.98
+1.251.313.25
+1.51.243.57
+1.751.174.38
+21.106.08
+2.251.106.80
+2.51.066.95
+3.51.0212.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.273.55
8.51.472.55
9.51.811.92
10.52.351.55
11.53.151.33