Ukraine U21 vs Croatia U21• UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification, World

1.0:1.21-0FT02/10 · DVTK Stadion, Miskolc2.6:0.2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.35PINX3.781XB22.16SBOMargin at best2.6%Books6Markets45Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.26	3.78	2.09	5.0%
Pinnacle	3.26	3.43	2.14	6.6%
Marathonbet	3.20	3.38	2.09	8.7%
Betfair	3.30	3.40	2.00	9.7%
Bet365	2.90	3.60	2.05	11.0%
William Hill	3.00	3.30	2.00	13.6%
Best of all books	3.30	3.78	2.14	3.5%
Average	3.15	3.48	2.06	8.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ukraine U21Croatia U21

Last 107Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 52.61.2Goals against · last 50.228Attack rating7214Defence rating8625Form rating7550H2H rating5022Goals model7834Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Oct 11:51 UTC

Ukraine U21

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against

2 Oct	H	Croatia U21	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Turkey U21	2-2	D
8 Jun	A	Japan U21	0-3	L
5 Jun	A	USA U21	1-3	L
31 Mar	A	Hungary U21	2-1	W
27 Mar	H	Lithuania U21	1-1	D
17 Nov	A	Albania U21	0-2	L
14 Nov	A	Turkey U21	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	Croatia U21	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	Hungary U21	3-3	D

Croatia U21

6W 3D 1L · goals 19:6 · per match 1.9 for, 0.6 against

2 Oct	A	Ukraine U21	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Hungary U21	3-1	W
6 Jun	H	Republic of Ireland U21	2-2	D
3 Jun	H	Qatar U23	2-0	W
30 May	H	Greece U21	1-1	D
31 Mar	H	Turkey U21	3-0	W
18 Nov	A	Hungary U21	2-0	W
13 Nov	H	Lithuania U21	4-0	W
14 Oct	H	Ukraine U21	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Turkey U21	1-1	D

Head to head

1Ukraine U21 wins

0draws

1Croatia U21 wins

2 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Ukraine U21

14 Oct 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification	Croatia U211-0Ukraine U21
21 Jun 2023UEFA U21 Championship	UEFA U21 Championship	Ukraine U212-0Croatia U21

UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification tableGroup Cupdated 6 Oct 17:51 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	France U21	9	7	2	0	27:7	+20	23
2	Switzerland U21	9	5	2	2	16:10	+6	17
3	Iceland U21	9	4	3	2	20:11	+9	15
4	Faroe Islands U21	9	4	0	5	8:15	-7	12
5	Luxembourg U21	9	2	1	6	10:22	-12	7
6	Estonia U21	9	0	2	7	9:25	-16	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.14X27%3.38244%2.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.15 → 3.14 -0.3%X3.48 → 3.38 -2.9%22.06 → 2.09 +1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.85	1.96	5.1%
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.89	1.89	5.8%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.87	7.0%
Best of all books	1.90	1.96	3.7%
Average	1.88	1.90	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.70	2.04	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.70	2.01	8.6%
William Hill	1.67	2.00	9.9%
Best of all books	1.80	2.10	3.2%
Average	1.71	2.01	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ukraine U21 10%Draw 45%Croatia U21 45%

The statistical model rated Ukraine U21 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Croatia U21 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.14 | 3.38 | 2.09, which imply roughly 29.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Ukraine U21 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Croatia U21 averaged 2.6 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Croatia U21.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.15	3.48	2.06

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.65	1.31	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.30	1.55

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	2.01

1st half

1	X	2
3.69	2.18	2.72

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.20	10.0	1.79

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.3
1.5	1.27	3.48
2.5	1.88	1.90
3.5	3.13	1.33
4.5	5.94	1.10
5.5	11.0	1.03
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.50
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.14	4.69
1.75	1.31	2.92
2	1.41	2.67
2.25	1.65	2.15
2.75	2.07	1.66
3	2.49	1.47
3.25	2.81	1.37
3.75	3.72	1.20
4	5.00	1.10
4.25	5.42	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.04	1.36
-0.25	2.66	1.43
0	2.33	1.56
+0.25	1.91	1.81
+0.5	1.69	2.12
+0.75	1.49	2.42

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-1.75	8.38	1.01
-1.5	6.54	1.07
-1.25	5.91	1.09
-1	5.45	1.11
-0.75	3.81	1.22
+1	1.31	3.16
+1.25	1.25	3.51
+1.5	1.21	3.84
+1.75	1.13	4.98
+2	1.04	7.10
+2.5	1.03	8.03