Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar Odds Analysis & Prediction – Premier League (Jul 3, 2026)

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 45%Draw 45%Bahardar 10%

The statistical model rates Ethiopia Nigd Bank at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bahardar at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.86 | 2.77 | 2.51, which imply roughly 35% for a Ethiopia Nigd Bank win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Ethiopia Nigd Bank are 11th (44 pts, 34-34 goals), Bahardar 3rd (54 pts, 40-24).

Over their last five matches, Ethiopia Nigd Bank averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Bahardar averaged 0.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Ethiopia Nigd Bank or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar — model comparison

63%

Form

38%

75%

Attack

25%

44%

Defence

56%

50%

Head to head

50%

43%

Goals

57%

54.5%

Overall

45.7%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

Premier League

2025/2026 Standings• Premier League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ethiopian Medhin	34	22	7	5	+34	73
2	Ethiopia Bunna	34	17	9	8	+14	60
3	Bahardar	34	15	9	10	+16	54
4	Awassa Kenema	34	14	11	9	+9	53
5	Sidama Bunna	34	12	13	9	-1	49
6	Welayta Dicha	34	13	9	12	-4	48
7	Arba Minch Kenema	34	13	8	13	+1	47
8	Hadiya Hosaena	34	12	11	11	+1	47
9	Kedus Giorgis	34	12	10	12	0	46
10	Mekelakeya	34	10	15	9	+4	45
11	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	34	10	14	10	0	44
12	Mebrat Hayl	34	11	11	12	-1	44
13	Dire Dawa Kenema	34	10	13	11	-2	43
14	Fasil Ketema	34	9	16	9	-2	43
15	Mekelle Kenema	34	10	11	13	-9	41
16	Adama Kenema	34	10	9	15	-11	39
17	Suhul Shire	34	3	13	18	-24	22
18	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	34	2	13	19	-25	19
19	Wolkite Ketema	0	0	0	0	0	0

Betting Odds

Full time

2.86

2.77

2.51

Double chance

1.41

1.34

Both teams to score

Yes

2.18

1.59

Match goals

Over 3.75

7.10

Under 3.75

1.04

Over 4.5

11.00

Under 4.5

1.01

Over 1.5

1.56

Under 1.5

2.19

Over 1.75

1.75

Under 1.75

1.89

Over 2

2.07

Under 2

1.61

Over 2.25

2.42

Under 2.25

1.44

Over 2.5

2.71

Under 2.5

1.38

Over 2.75

3.34

Under 2.75

1.24

Over 3.5

5.43

Under 3.5

1.10

Over 0.5

1.09

Under 0.5

5.82

Over 0.75

1.12

Under 0.75

4.75

Over 1

1.16

Under 1

4.15

Over 1.25

1.36

Under 1.25

2.69

Over 3

4.75

Under 3

1.12

Over 3.25

5.10

Under 3.25

1.10

Draw no bet

1.92

1.71

Asian handicap

Home 1.5

1.08

Away 1.5

1.05

1st half

3.72

1.83

3.33

First team to score

Home

2.25

No Goal

5.35

Away

2.04

Ethiopia Nigd BankvsBahardar• Premier League,Ethiopia